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Prospectus Hit List for June 11



by Jason Wojciechowski

Hit List for June 8 Hit List for June 12
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

As the Angels crack the top 10.

RkTmWLW1W2 W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

35

26

37.6

40.9

40.4

.631

.650

91.3%

7.1%

98.4%

-0.8%

-0.4%

I wish Robert Ross were terrible so that we could snark snark snark about his six "wins" and zero "losses," but he has a 120 FRA+.
2

39

22

36.3

36.9

36.1

.608

.589

59.4%

20.9%

80.3%

1.6%

18.1%

The Dodgers are third in the National League in scoring despite a .228/.276/.278 line from their leadoff hitters. Told you batting order doesn't matter.
3

31

30

36.1

37.0

35.6

.572

.553

47.6%

11.8%

59.4%

-5.1%

2.4%

Jason Motte was the victim of Jason-on-Jason violence when Jason Kipnis took him deep in the ninth. This is very personal for me.
4

33

27

33.6

34.5

34.6

.566

.585

45.7%

8.7%

54.3%

-9.8%

-13.0%

Just like that, Adam Dunn has 20 homers, putting him just 16 from 400 on his career. He's still only 32.
5

35

23

33.0

35.4

34.4

.594

.575

29.9%

27.2%

57.1%

5.9%

15.7%

Bryce Harper got the day off to rest his sore back, but scored the go-ahead run in the ninth inning anyway.
6

29

31

32.0

33.0

33.3

.530

.550

6.7%

22.0%

28.7%

-8.7%

-25.6%

Bobby Valentine didn't like the strike zone and demanded a review of the umpires in the Boston-Washington series. I demand a review of Bobby Valentine's face.
7

34

25

33.7

33.5

33.1

.569

.589

63.4%

24.8%

88.2%

0.0%

13.4%

Oprah went to the Mets-Yankees game. You get a blown save! You get a blown save! EVERYBODY GETS A BLOWN SAVE.
8

35

25

33.0

31.5

32.7

.550

.570

24.8%

43.3%

68.1%

7.9%

7.9%

Desmond Jennings has a six-game hitting streak since returning from the disabled list. Desmond Jennings has a .266/.327/.403 line since returning from the disabled list.
9

32

29

32.9

32.7

32.3

.532

.552

8.7%

51.2%

59.8%

4.3%

5.9%

The Angels built a home-run Trumbaco with a Mark Trumbo shell and Torii Hunter filling. This sounds disgusting, but the point is that after two more homers, Trumbo's slugging percentage is up to .632.
10

31

29

33.4

31.3

32.0

.532

.552

1.2%

7.1%

8.3%

1.6%

1.2%

Edwin Encarnacion, 29 years old, in his 1401st professional baseball game, played in the outfield for the first time, starting in left. Sadly, he did not make an error.
11

34

26

33.2

31.7

31.7

.544

.524

53.9%

23.2%

77.2%

-1.6%

17.7%

The last time Chipper Jones played before yesterday was May 23rd. The last time the Braves lost before yesterday June 3rd. Boooo, go home.
12

30

30

30.3

31.9

31.6

.516

.496

8.7%

24.4%

33.1%

5.1%

13.4%

Joe Saunders is closing in on Oddibe "A Player With A Name Chris Berman Wouldn't Have Such An Easy Time With" McDowell for 11th on the all-time list of Baseball-Reference WAR for no. 12-overall draft picks. Did you know that?
13

29

33

30.9

31.9

31.5

.497

.477

2.8%

11.0%

13.8%

-4.3%

-14.6%

"What's in a name? That which we call a rose / By any other name would smell as sweet." Or Savery, as the case may be.
14

34

27

31.1

31.5

31.0

.523

.503

31.9%

31.9%

63.8%

8.7%

5.5%

Pablo Sandoval did fine in his first game back, but contributed to the Giants being three-hit in his second. He's obviously too out-of-shape for baseball.
15

32

27

27.8

30.2

30.6

.511

.531

41.3%

12.2%

53.5%

7.5%

12.2%

Don't look now, but Ubaldo Jimenez has allowed one walk in his past 13 2/3 innings. No, really, don't look. This will end badly.
16

34

26

29.6

28.9

30.2

.511

.531

3.9%

11.0%

15.0%

-2.0%

-0.4%

The Orioles lead baseball in times reached via catcher inference.
17

32

27

31.3

29.5

29.1

.517

.497

30.3%

17.7%

48.0%

-7.9%

-14.6%

One is a data point and two is a pattern, so Aroldis Chapman is going to lose every game he pitches for the rest of the year.
18

31

29

26.8

29.2

29.0

.484

.464

9.4%

13.0%

22.4%

-0.4%

-33.1%

There was a time in my life when I would have thought that Donovan Solano's .474 batting average in 20 plate appearances meant something. I was an idiot when I was seven.
19

27

35

29.7

28.0

28.6

.457

.477

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

-0.4%

Michael Saunders has been a legitimately pretty solid player. That's the good news. The bad news is that that's all it takes to lead the Mariners in WARP.
20

32

29

28.5

28.3

28.6

.481

.461

3.9%

6.7%

10.6%

-3.1%

-15.4%

Oprah went to-- what? I already did that joke? Uhhh ... Scott Hairston has a .595 slugging percentage?
21

28

32

28.3

28.0

28.5

.470

.490

13.0%

12.2%

25.2%

0.4%

-1.2%

One is a data point and two is a pattern, so Brayan Villareal is going to win every game for the Tigers for the rest of the year.
22

28

32

27.9

28.1

27.1

.463

.443

19.3%

8.3%

27.6%

-1.2%

1.2%

There's a demon infestation going around. Adam Dunn exorcised his, but the pesky thing has taken root in poor Rickie Weeks. Hence the 38 walks and 32 hits.
23

26

34

27.1

25.7

26.3

.438

.418

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Does any double-play combo have a better combined on-base percentage than Jose Altuve and Jed Lowrie? The solution is left as an exercise for the reader.
24

24

34

25.7

25.8

26.1

.438

.458

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Bruce Chen may be unfazed by racism, but he got totally fazed by Andrew McCutchen, who knocked a double and a homer and stole a base.
25

26

35

27.3

24.6

25.4

.423

.443

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.0%

0.4%

Sean Doolittle has nine strikeouts in four major-league innings. He is thus the most valuable first baseman on the A's roster.
26

32

27

27.3

24.8

24.8

.462

.442

2.8%

3.1%

5.9%

1.6%

4.7%

Jason Grilli and Juan Cruz, the surprisingly effective setup men for the Pirates, became pro ballplayers three weeks apart in 1997. The immortal Travis Harper signed halfway between their signing dates. Get him on the phone!
27

20

40

24.2

24.3

24.4

.387

.368

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Starlin Castro has 10 errors on the season, eight of which came on plays when he wasn't looking at the batter and got beaned by a line drive.
28

24

35

22.8

24.5

24.3

.405

.424

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If you put your hand on your computer screen so that you can't see anything below Justin Morneau, the Twins lineup looks pretty good.
29

20

41

22.6

23.2

23.7

.367

.348

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Will Venable is in his fifth year of being an above-average hitter with solid defense, but this is the first time anyone has ever said his name.
30

24

35

26.5

23.2

22.6

.408

.389

0.0%

0.8%

0.8%

0.8%

-1.2%

After in-depth study of Christian Friedrich's start against the Angels, I have decided that the best advice anyone can give him is: don't give up three homers in four innings.

Jason Wojciechowski is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Jason's other articles. You can contact Jason by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
BP staff member Matt Kory

[applauds] Excellent job, Jason. I'll be Wally Pipp'd before I know it.

Jun 11, 2012 09:39 AM
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pobothecat

What Matt said. Except for the Wally Pipp part. Fun read.

Jun 11, 2012 11:49 AM
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