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Prospectus Hit List for June 6



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 5 Hit List for June 7
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Tampa Bay Rays: NOT a sick joke

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

33

23

35.0

37.5

36.9

.635

.654

92.1%

4.7%

96.9%

0.8%

-2.0%

Four American League teams have winning records against the East. Three of them are in the East. The other is the Rangers, who have now successfully avoided another Ron Washington spanking.
2

31

24

31.2

32.7

32.7

.580

.600

62.2%

11.0%

73.2%

-4.7%

10.6%

Adam Dunn's turnaround from worst hitter in baseball back to 40-homer powerhouse is remarkable. Expect Kenny Williams to trade him any day.
3

35

21

32.0

33.5

32.9

.596

.576

56.3%

18.1%

74.4%

9.1%

-2.8%

The Dodgers are 21-9 at home, which is both the most wins and fewest losses of any team at their home park.
4

30

24

30.1

29.9

29.5

.554

.573

53.5%

24.8%

78.3%

-0.8%

8.3%

Andy Pettitte has a 2.78 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 35 2/3 innings after not pitching for a season. Pitchers who take a season off don't usually pitch well upon return. Therefore, Andy Pettitte is a zombie cyborg. Aristotelian logic.
5

31

22

29.8

32.8

31.9

.592

.572

18.5%

21.3%

39.8%

0.8%

-6.3%

Bryce Harper is hitting .288/.375/.528. Bryce Harper is 19 years old. Nineteen years old. NINETEEN! Nineteen... [cries]
6

28

28

32.8

34.0

32.7

.569

.550

44.9%

16.9%

61.8%

3.5%

-16.1%

The Cardinals have outscored their opposition by 47 runs. The team directly ahead of St. Louis in the standings, Pittsburgh, has been outscored by 22 runs. This makes sense if you close your eyes and hit yourself in the head with a brick.
7

31

24

28.7

27.9

28.9

.529

.549

21.7%

33.5%

55.1%

-0.4%

-5.9%

Looking at the Rays lineup makes me wonder, "Is this some sort of sick joke?" Then I look at their AL-leading 3.45 ERA and I remember, nope. Not at all.
8

28

27

29.4

29.4

29.4

.529

.548

19.7%

27.2%

46.9%

-0.4%

-5.1%

It's not often that you pull one over on the Rangers, but the Red Sox did just that when they got Jarrod Saltalamacchia (.279/.325/.593) from Texas for a used mousetrap and a Best of Charles In Charge DVD.
9

29

26

30.1

27.9

28.4

.525

.545

1.6%

7.5%

9.1%

-3.9%

0.8%

The Blue Jays are 9-3 against the AL Central, likely out of jealousy.
10

31

24

27.7

27.7

28.5

.522

.542

3.5%

10.6%

14.2%

2.0%

-0.4%

Orioles bullpen ERAs from 2008 to the present: 4.57, 4.83, 4.44, 4.18, 2.50. If at first you don't succeed, just wait five years.
11

29

28

29.7

30.1

29.8

.520

.540

7.9%

50.0%

57.9%

3.5%

6.7%

After two more hits Tuesday, Albert Pujols' OPS has now crossed the .700 barrier, or as I like to refer to it, the T-hole line, named after Josh Thole.
12

29

25

24.7

27.1

27.3

.501

.521

23.2%

17.3%

40.6%

7.5%

-7.1%

Hey everyone! Ubaldo Jimenez wasn't awful! Party at my place!
13

30

25

30.4

28.8

28.8

.536

.516

34.6%

31.9%

66.5%

3.1%

5.1%

The best thing about Dan Uggla's 11 total bases -- two homers a double, and a single -- is that none of them set off Miami's giant demon machine.
14

31

25

28.7

30.5

29.9

.536

.516

33.9%

24.8%

58.7%

0.4%

9.8%

Goodness gracious, Brandon Belt. Really, .229/.349/.333? Freedom isn't free, friend.
15

31

24

26.8

28.1

28.0

.518

.498

35.8%

22.8%

58.7%

1.6%

11.4%

The Marlins have given up fewer homers than any team in baseball, 31, which is fewest than half what the Phillies have given up and about what the Twins give up over a long weekend.
16

30

24

28.9

26.3

26.4

.517

.497

42.9%

18.1%

61.0%

-6.3%

-8.7%

Zack Cozart is a member in good standing of the sub-.300-OBP club, which includes such benefits as free coffee, wi-fi, and opportunity to hit leadoff.
17

28

29

29.1

29.6

29.4

.509

.489

4.7%

10.6%

15.4%

-6.7%

-9.1%

Pitcher wins are the best way to judge pitchers because Cliff Lee is 0-3 in nine starts and as we all know Cliff Lee is terrible because he's 0-3 in nine starts. See? Case closed!
18

25

30

25.8

25.8

26.1

.467

.487

14.6%

11.0%

25.6%

-5.5%

-7.9%

The Tigers are 25-30. If you subtract the games they've played against last place Boston, Minnesota, and Oakland, they're 16-23, which, uh, is actually worse. Where was this going? Never mind.
19

31

25

27.2

27.0

27.1

.501

.481

6.3%

6.3%

12.6%

-3.9%

3.5%

Per a previous agreement, Chris Young gave up six hits last night so Johan Santana gets to club him six times in the elbow with a shovel.
20

25

33

28.6

26.4

26.6

.459

.479

0.0%

0.8%

0.8%

0.8%

0.4%

How is it that Justin Smoak has 10 homers and only a .400 slugging percentage? He has three doubles and no triples this season.
21

26

30

27.0

28.5

28.8

.493

.473

9.8%

13.4%

23.2%

3.5%

7.1%

There's something bothersome about having the name "D-Backs" on the team's uniforms. Is Diamondbacks too long? If so, why'd you make that the team's name?
22

24

30

24.5

24.3

24.4

.450

.470

0.0%

1.2%

1.2%

1.2%

1.2%

When the Royals meet the Twins you know it's going to be an eye-gouger. That's what makes it surprising that 23,934 came to Kaufman Stadium for spork night.
23

28

26

24.2

22.7

22.9

.453

.433

2.0%

2.4%

4.3%

2.0%

3.5%

The Pirates scoring eight runs is like a toddler using the potty on their own for the first time. So I just want to say good going, Pirates! Nice job! Good Pirates!
24

24

31

26.1

24.3

24.7

.451

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jose Altuve is hitting .327 and, possibly most impressively, he's doing it without facing the Astros pitching staff.
25

24

32

24.6

21.4

21.9

.410

.430

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.0%

0.4%

A's catchers are un-hitting .195/.250/.246. You can't call that hitting. You just can't.
26

24

31

24.3

24.5

24.2

.441

.421

10.2%

12.2%

22.4%

-5.5%

2.4%

Against the Cubs pitching staff, the Brewers put the ball in play 28 times and got five hits. That's a .179 team batting average which wouldn't be so bad if the Brewers weren't a professional baseball team.
27

24

31

26.1

22.5

21.9

.429

.410

0.0%

0.8%

0.8%

-2.0%

0.0%

The Rockies have the most extra-base hits in baseball, which tells us the humidor isn't working. Time to go the other direction. The Rockies need to buy a juicer, or a French press. Or maybe I'm just thirsty.
28

21

34

20.3

21.5

21.3

.382

.401

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Francisco Liriano may have taken the loss, but eight strikeouts, one walk, four hits, and one run in six innings is nothing to snarf milk at.
29

19

36

22.9

23.5

23.9

.406

.387

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.4%

0.4%

The Cubs' largest margin of victory of the year, 10-0 over the Brewers, was overshadowed by the Braves winning 11-0. Oh, and the Diamondbacks won 10-0 too.
30

19

37

20.8

21.2

21.9

.370

.352

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

Logan Forsythe's homer gave the Padres a victory as well as outed him as a British secret agent. I mean, really. 'Logan Forsythe.' Sure. Tell me another one, British people.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


11 comments have been left for this article.
Matthew Avery

Uggla had two HRs last night but no triple. :-)

Jun 06, 2012 07:01 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

I had the total bases right, just mixed up the components.

Thanks, fixed.

Jun 06, 2012 08:39 AM
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ahemmer

Adam Dunn watch! 30 strikeouts in his last 64 plate appearances.

Jun 06, 2012 08:31 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Yup, with five homers he's hitting .157/.328/.471 over that span.

Jun 06, 2012 08:41 AM
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stevebro

Re: Pettitte.
It's either that cyborg thing or he's back on the juice.

Jun 06, 2012 09:24 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Nah, they test for steroids now. But MLB doesn't test for zombie cyborgs, despite a test being available and comparatively inexpensive. Inexplicable!!

Jun 06, 2012 09:41 AM
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Chucko

Per your Arizona comment. Last week I was ranting at my girlfriend about the D-backs when she inquired as to what they'd done that I should refer to an entire team as such. To which I responded "Huh?" To which she responded "D-bags. Why are you calling them all douchebags?!" True story.

Jun 06, 2012 11:24 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

If I could use photoshop I would join the likely legions of people who have made that uniform alteration, but sadly, I can't. Also, sadly for my sense of humor and your reading pleasure, I still find it funny. For that, I'm sorry. He he he...

Know what's weird? Here at the Hit List our numbers aren't showing. What an egalitarian place this is!

Jun 06, 2012 11:32 AM
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jimcal

If Kenny Williams can sell Adam Dunn before trade deadline and get considerable prospects in return, it would actually be really non-Kenny Williams. I expect him trade for this year by mortgage the future.

Jun 06, 2012 15:10 PM
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Brnstrm1001

This is one of my favorite BP features, truly it is, but what in heck is an "eye-gauger"? Do the teams sit around before the game and assess each other's visual acuity? (That would make for an interesting wrestling bout, too.)

Jun 06, 2012 16:58 PM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Yeah, I can't spell. ARG. I meant "eye-gouge."

Jun 06, 2012 23:16 PM
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