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Prospectus Hit List for May 9



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 8 Hit List for May 10
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

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RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC% Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

20

10

21.4

22.1

21.7

.710

.726

78.2%

18.3%

96.5%

0.1%

4.0%

When asked about his four-homer game Tuesday, Josh Hamilton homered.
2

19

11

22.0

22.9

22.0

.716

.699

69.8%

20.1%

90.0%

0.7%

5.1%

Carlos Beltran has been worth 8.1 VORP, or almost the opposite of Albert Pujols' -7.9. (That fulfills the obligatory Albert Pujols requirement.)
3

16

13

15.9

16.1

15.3

.545

.565

57.1%

23.3%

80.4%

2.3%

-8.4%

Alex Rodriguez is slugging just .430. How come nobody ever gets on his case?
4

13

18

14.9

14.8

13.0

.449

.469

21.7%

52.9%

74.6%

-0.7%

2.7%

Mike Trout hit .403/.467/.623 in Triple-A but has struggled since being promoted to Anaheim. A suggestion to improve his hitting: trade him to St. Louis.
5

15

14

14.3

12.6

12.1

.466

.486

57.6%

12.5%

70.1%

-0.1%

6.4%

Don Kelly dove into the stands after a foul ball in the ninth for one reason: because Jose Valverde knows how to close a game.
6

14

17

14.9

13.9

14.8

.465

.445

36.8%

22.1%

58.8%

1.0%

-0.6%

Why can't the Phillies score runs? The players with the sixth-, seventh-, and eighth-most plate appearances on the team are Freddy Galvis, Juan Pierre, and Ty Wigginton.
7

19

12

17.9

17.0

16.0

.564

.544

34.8%

22.7%

57.4%

-1.6%

4.7%

Hoping for for the Braves' sake that Chipper Jones' family is as fun to be around as Andy Pettitte's.
8

12

17

13.8

14.5

13.7

.466

.486

22.4%

31.6%

54.1%

-3.2%

-2.3%

After giving up a three-run homer, reliever Matt Albers walked into the clubhouse, took starter Daniel Bard's sandwich out of his hand, stomped on it, and then left to take a shower.
9

13

17

12.0

11.5

12.0

.405

.386

15.5%

35.8%

51.3%

-0.2%

-3.8%

Aramis Ramirez hit his second triple this season and, surprisingly, the 21st in his career, though he hasn't had two in a season since 2008.
10

19

11

16.1

16.1

16.1

.561

.581

18.0%

29.4%

47.4%

0.4%

-3.8%

Raul Ibanez: .289/.341/.553 at home. How many plate appearances, you ask? Aw, why do you have to go and be so responsible.
11

17

12

14.7

15.4

14.1

.527

.547

31.8%

15.2%

47.0%

3.1%

9.7%

If you're ever looking to be mean to Ned Colletti, mail him an anonymous postcard with just the words "Carlos Santana for Casey Blake" on it.
12

15

14

15.1

14.1

14.6

.507

.487

14.0%

32.6%

46.6%

0.7%

1.8%

Joey Votto has hit just two homers, but leads the majors with 14 doubles on the year. One of these days those doubles will turn into homers.
13

15

15

14.5

15.3

16.0

.507

.487

37.1%

7.0%

44.1%

-2.1%

-10.3%

With Brandon Belt, Angel Pagan, and now Brett Pill, it's tough to figure out whose name to make fun of.
14

15

15

14.9

14.7

15.2

.498

.478

20.3%

21.0%

41.4%

1.1%

-8.7%

Carlos Zen-brano, amirite?
15

14

17

14.9

15.5

17.2

.496

.476

25.0%

7.1%

32.1%

-2.5%

-1.3%

Since getting dumped by the Yankees, Ian Kennedy has thrown 455 innings of 3.30 ball. I mean, he's no Freddy Garcia, but still.
16

19

11

17.2

17.4

17.8

.595

.575

18.9%

6.6%

25.5%

6.1%

11.4%

An encouraging sign for the Dodgers is Andre Ethier's showing against left-handers (.286/.352/.449).
17

14

17

15.5

16.9

17.0

.512

.532

9.9%

7.1%

17.0%

-0.6%

-9.9%

Adam Dunn now has 24 walks to lead the American League. Dunn bid to become the first man to walk 100 times and steal 200 bases in a season is still likely to fall 200 stolen bases short.
18

11

20

12.9

12.8

14.1

.410

.391

9.3%

4.0%

13.3%

-1.0%

-7.5%

Jeff Suppan and Will Venable: the keys to nobody's World Series winning team.
19

12

17

13.6

11.4

12.0

.422

.403

9.7%

3.4%

13.0%

-1.2%

2.6%

The Rockies are like the early-aughts Phillies. They have three or four All-Stars, Jamie Moyer, and then everyone else can be replaced with lawn furniture.
20

18

11

16.2

17.7

17.7

.600

.581

5.0%

8.0%

12.9%

-1.1%

5.3%

Henry Rodriguez has thrown six wild pitches, which leads the league, in just 13 innings. He led the league last year, with 14.
21

17

13

12.6

13.1

14.4

.476

.456

3.2%

6.4%

9.6%

0.2%

1.1%

Whatever was bothering David Wright (the economy, too many water-skiing chipmunk, the decline of haberdashery) last year has ceased to bother him this year (.375/.479/.552).
22

16

14

16.7

15.6

15.3

.530

.550

1.8%

4.7%

6.5%

-0.0%

2.3%

Prediction: giving up a game-winning grand slam to a player who was unemployed a few weeks ago will not make it onto the team's end-of-season DVD.
23

19

11

16.7

15.5

14.2

.546

.565

0.7%

2.7%

3.4%

-1.0%

0.8%

The Orioles were 19-9 before rumors of them signing MIguel Tejada broke. Now they're 19-11! íNo firme a Miguel Tejada!
24

12

18

12.7

14.5

16.6

.465

.445

0.4%

2.1%

2.5%

-0.1%

1.1%

Hey everyone! Alfonso Soriano got a hit! Want to trade for him?
25

13

16

11.3

10.8

12.5

.410

.391

0.2%

1.2%

1.4%

0.1%

-0.9%

San Diego on Tuesday passed 100 runs on the season, leaving only the Pirates below that mark. Good news though: they can do it today if they score 17.
26

16

14

13.7

12.6

12.6

.457

.477

0.1%

0.8%

0.9%

-0.1%

-0.0%

The A's are 5-2 against the AL East despite an almost pathological inability to hit.
27

8

21

8.6

9.3

9.8

.307

.325

0.5%

0.4%

0.9%

-0.2%

-1.4%

How bad are the Twins? They're further out of first place than any team in baseball, in a division with the worst first-place team in baseball.
28

14

18

15.4

15.0

14.5

.460

.480

0.0%

0.7%

0.7%

0.2%

-0.1%

The Mariners have been issued one intentional walk so far this season, the fewest in baseball.
29

10

19

11.1

11.1

10.9

.372

.390

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

-0.1%

0.1%

Home runs can cover up a lot, like the 4 1/3 innings of lousiness from starter Danny Duffy, all wiped out by one three-run swing of Billy Butler's bat.
30

14

16

16.2

15.7

16.7

.521

.501

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If Brian Bogusevic doesn't can it with the game-winning hits, the Astros will lose their good draft position and be forced to keep playing Brian Bogusevic.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
ahemmer

Adam Dunn has struck out at least once in every game he's played this year. How long will that continue?

May 09, 2012 10:35 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

As long as he keeps hitting like he is I doubt the White Sox care. Still, it's an interesting streak. To answer your question: I'll go with 'forever' and hope I'm right.

May 09, 2012 10:54 AM
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