Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for April 25



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for April 24 Hit List for April 26
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Good teams, bad teams, Texas beats 'em all.

RkTmWLW1 W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

14

4

14.2

14.4

14.2

.788

.801

75.0%

17.8%

92.8%

0.3%

0.9%

Shutting out the Yankees, the highest-scoring team in the league (on a per-game basis) isn't a bad way to get your season going, right Yu Darvish?
2

11

7

12.8

13.4

13.0

.698

.681

56.4%

26.5%

82.9%

-0.9%

-2.9%

Adam Wainwright went into last night's contest with an uncharacteristic 9.88 ERA. Six innings of one-run ball chopped 2.56 runs off it, proving once again that, hey, it's still early.
3

13

4

10.5

11.7

10.8

.676

.658

8.5%

11.4%

19.9%

1.0%

-0.9%

Bryce Harper update: still yes, please.
4

13

5

10.6

11.2

11.4

.641

.623

9.6%

4.7%

14.4%

0.8%

-0.7%

Of course it's early, but Josh Hamilton is slugging .760. That's silly, which makes Matt Kemp's .952 certifiable.
5

10

7

10.4

10.7

10.6

.614

.632

17.0%

9.6%

26.6%

-0.9%

7.8%

After a strong start from Gavin Floyd Tuesday, John Danks is the only White Sox starter with an ERA higher than 3.60.
6

10

7

10.2

10.1

9.9

.591

.610

64.7%

23.4%

88.1%

-1.1%

-0.9%

Despite getting shut out, the Yankees have scored a baseball-leading 97 runs, almost three times what the Pirates have. So when you're looking for what the extra $157,860,567 buys, that's it.
7

11

7

11.1

9.8

9.3

.572

.553

27.0%

20.8%

47.8%

-0.0%

7.4%

For someone supposedly about to retire, Chipper Jones (.281/.368/.594) isn't acting like it.
8

9

8

8.8

9.7

9.8

.549

.530

48.1%

10.2%

58.3%

-1.1%

1.6%

Only five of Buster Posey's 19 hits are for extra bases, raising the question, if he loves singles so much, why doesn't he marry them?
9

10

7

9.5

9.7

9.0

.562

.581

0.6%

3.7%

4.3%

-0.9%

-1.6%

Everyone in the AL East except Boston is 10-7, because that's what the cool kids are doing and Boston's not cool.
10

6

12

9.6

9.6

10.2

.492

.472

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Unlike his more impressive half-brother Chuck, Astros starter Bud Norris hasn't shut down anyone.
11

10

7

8.8

8.9

8.9

.538

.558

17.8%

38.0%

55.7%

1.3%

3.1%

All David Price needed to get on track was nine innings of shutout ball and a pool filled with Jell-O. Mission accomplished!
12

9

9

8.5

8.6

9.5

.495

.475

23.3%

8.5%

31.8%

0.6%

-9.6%

When you get beat by Pete Orr and Laynce Nix you don't tip your cap so much as you set it on fire.
13

9

10

8.7

8.1

8.0

.444

.464

0.1%

1.1%

1.2%

-0.1%

-0.2%

How do you win when you get six guys on base all night? Eight shutout innings from your starter is a good beginning.
14

9

6

7.8

8.1

6.7

.527

.546

26.2%

11.4%

37.6%

0.6%

1.5%

By now, beating the Royals has all the drama of buying toilet paper at the supermarket.
15

7

9

8.4

7.6

7.2

.472

.452

28.0%

21.0%

48.9%

-2.2%

1.9%

Going back to New York might have been emotional for Jose Reyes, but looking at his .215/.278/.354 line probably elicited a different emotion from Mets fans.
16

9

8

6.5

7.5

9.3

.475

.455

2.3%

4.9%

7.1%

0.1%

-2.0%

After 11 strikeouts in six innings, Johan Santana has the highest K/9 of any starter in baseball.
17

6

10

6.7

7.5

7.7

.436

.455

16.8%

37.5%

54.2%

1.8%

2.1%

For the second time in three games, the Red Sox went into the sixth inning up eight or more runs, but this time they managed to win. Baby steps.
18

8

10

8.5

7.5

8.5

.450

.431

34.3%

21.6%

55.9%

0.6%

-4.1%

At this point, the Phillies are a less extreme and more brightly colored version of the Pirates.
19

10

7

8.3

7.5

7.0

.482

.502

0.2%

1.9%

2.1%

-0.3%

-0.7%

Tommy Hunter and Henderson Alvarez combined to throw 13 innings, to allow three runs, and to strike out just three hitters.
20

8

9

7.5

7.4

8.3

.458

.438

17.7%

27.6%

45.4%

1.1%

6.5%

Scott Rolen would like to apologize for last night's seventh-inning double. He was trying to ground out to the third baseman but missed.
21

9

9

8.2

7.3

6.8

.435

.415

25.4%

31.1%

56.6%

0.9%

-0.5%

The four homers hit by the Brewers against Houston are the most ever hit in a game not started by Clay Buchholz.
22

6

11

7.5

7.2

6.2

.397

.416

24.8%

44.0%

68.8%

-0.5%

-2.3%

Albert Pujols, after another 0-for-4 night, is hitting .232/.284/.333. When Pujols returns to being Pujols the Angels will move up the standings. But they're 7 1/2 games out, so the move will be limited.
23

8

10

8.0

7.2

6.8

.416

.436

0.1%

0.5%

0.6%

0.1%

-0.1%

Last year's Mariners plated a pathetic 556 runs, but 54 of them came against Detroit, the most scored against a non-division opponent. They dropped seven on the Tigers Tuesday.
24

8

8

7.4

7.1

7.3

.466

.446

6.2%

3.9%

10.1%

-0.5%

1.7%

The Rockies gave up consecutive two-run innings to Pittsburgh to ruin Jamie Moyer's start. That, by the way, equates to 11 percent of the Pirates' total offensive output for the season.
25

5

13

7.5

7.0

7.7

.378

.359

12.8%

5.9%

18.7%

-0.2%

3.0%

The 5-13 Padres aren't as bad as their record says, which isn't to say they are good. They are not good.
26

3

14

5.9

7.0

6.9

.334

.353

0.2%

0.2%

0.4%

-0.0%

-0.1%

We're going to reach a point with this losing streak where I run out of jokes. Come to think of it... 12 in a row? I think I just have.
27

10

7

8.7

6.8

6.6

.472

.492

55.4%

10.1%

65.5%

0.1%

-9.5%

After starting 9-3, the Tigers have gone 1-4. Panic!
28

6

12

6.8

6.3

7.2

.366

.347

0.2%

0.7%

0.9%

0.1%

-1.3%

Marlon Byrd had three hits in 47 plate appearances before he was traded to Boston, where in nine plate appearances he has three hits. This is what it is like to be the Cubs.
29

5

13

5.4

5.7

6.3

.311

.328

1.1%

0.8%

1.9%

-0.3%

-0.0%

Seventeen runs and two losses ago the Twins were licking their lips to see the disorganized remnants of the Red Sox arriving for a three-game series.
30

7

9

6.0

5.1

6.5

.385

.366

0.3%

1.1%

1.4%

-0.2%

-0.1%

Octogenarian Jamie Moyer stymied the Pirates for six innings, but fortunately for Pittsburgh, the Rockies bullpen was there to help.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


0 comments have been left for this article.
Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content.
<< Previous Article
Pebble Hunting: Albert... (04/24)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (04/24)
Next Column >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (04/26)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Collateral Damage Dail... (04/25)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article The View from the Loge Level: The Alex Jacks...
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Power Outage
Premium Article What You Need to Know: September 19, 2014
Premium Article Raising Aces: Carlos in Charge
Notes About Baseball: The Second-Hardest Par...
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Cueto's Quirks
Premium Article Moonshot: Detecting the Best Medicine

MORE FROM APRIL 25, 2012 08:04 AM
Premium Article The Platoon Advantage: What Valentine Brings...
The Lineup Card: 12 Favorite Batting Stances
Premium Article Heartburn Hardball: Centerpiece in Center Fi...
Fantasy Article Value Picks: First, Third, and DH for 4/25/1...
Brew Crew's Good Cause
Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Wednesday, April 25
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, April 25

MORE BY MATTHEW KORY
2012-04-30 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, April 30
2012-04-27 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, April 27
2012-04-26 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, April 26
2012-04-25 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, April 25...
2012-04-24 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, April 24
2012-04-23 - Out of Left Field: Designing a Nervous Break...
2012-04-23 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, April 23
More...

MORE THE PROSPECTUS HIT LIST
2012-04-30 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, April 30
2012-04-27 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, April 27
2012-04-26 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, April 26
2012-04-25 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, April 25...
2012-04-24 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, April 24
2012-04-23 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, April 23
2012-04-20 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, April 20
More...