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Prospectus Hit List for July 29



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 25
Hit List updates are published Monday and Friday through the 2016 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

This Hit List will not stay throwed.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

61

40

66.9

71.1

69.4

.664

.660

94.1%

5.0%

99.1%

0.5%

0.4%

Congrats to the Cubs on their new closer. Be glad the height of the mound doesn’t reflect the road the team is taking because Aroldis Chapman would be pitching from a hole in the middle of the field.
2

60

42

63.4

66.7

66.3

.628

.624

89.7%

7.3%

97.1%

0.4%

0.2%

Bryce Harper is hitting .237. He’s lucky Jonathan Papelbon is having such a lousy season, otherwise he might get punched!
3

57

45

58.1

63.7

63.7

.594

.590

66.2%

22.9%

89.1%

0.9%

7.7%

Do you have someone in your family you’d like to trade? How about your grandma? Maybe your pet dog, Mr. Piggles? The Dodgers are officially interested in Mr. Piggles!
4

57

42

58.2

58.5

57.4

.583

.588

90.4%

5.1%

95.5%

0.1%

-2.6%

Can’t the Indians move to New York for a season, save up some money, and then come back to Cleveland? Think of all the players they could sign then!
5

55

45

57.6

60.4

60.4

.583

.588

33.4%

33.9%

67.3%

-4.0%

-21.5%

Hanley Ramirez’s two-run ninth inning error was the stuff of dreams, like the time you fell naked into high school history class next to your crush then pooped your pants and then woke up and only the first part of that was a dream.
6

55

47

60.8

62.6

62.3

.590

.585

5.1%

50.3%

55.4%

8.1%

7.2%

Look, Jeremy Hazelbaker might not be very good, but he’s fast and plays center field so by golly He. Will. Bat. Leadoff!
7

57

45

58.8

60.0

59.9

.578

.583

38.7%

35.2%

73.8%

0.4%

-4.4%

The Jays traded Drew Storen for Joaquin Benoit which is like trading a headache for a slightly more pleasantly named toothache.
8

59

43

56.7

56.7

55.8

.559

.554

33.6%

38.3%

71.9%

-5.1%

-12.6%

The Giants got Eduardo Nunez from the Twins, which makes them more like the Twins and less like the Giants. Bad trade!
9

55

46

56.8

55.6

54.2

.548

.553

34.2%

25.2%

59.4%

1.2%

7.9%

Is Jose Altuve a Hall of Famer? And what are the chances this is just another “Jose Altuve is short” joke? Let's just say "sure" and move quickly on.
10

58

43

53.8

52.0

51.8

.534

.539

24.6%

33.4%

58.0%

-2.5%

8.9%

[looks at rotation] [looks at bullpen] Are the Orioles the Royals? [checks] No, they are the Orioles.
11

51

48

53.7

52.0

51.6

.526

.531

11.5%

14.4%

25.9%

1.0%

0.6%

It might be a good time for the Mariners to consider trading Taijuan Walker right now. Oops, the moment passed, never mind.
12

53

48

52.6

54.8

55.3

.534

.529

6.2%

34.1%

40.4%

-4.9%

-0.8%

What does it take to get through the ninth inning? It takes a Familia. More specifically, it takes a Familia to stop giving up runs.
13

55

47

52.7

54.4

53.9

.529

.524

4.0%

26.3%

30.3%

-2.6%

-5.4%

Dee Gordon has been reinstated by the Marlins, but with one stipulation: he must change his middle name to “Rugs.”
14

53

48

50.2

52.3

51.9

.513

.518

7.7%

21.9%

29.6%

0.7%

9.9%

Dave Dombrowski is like the tooth fairy but for prospects. Just because he’s been gone a year doesn’t mean there are any more teeth left under the pillow.
15

59

44

51.6

48.6

49.1

.506

.511

54.2%

17.8%

72.0%

3.5%

0.3%

How good is the Rangers front office? They could trade Ian Kinsler for Prince Fielder and still have the best record in the American League.
16

52

49

47.9

49.0

49.5

.491

.496

3.3%

7.8%

11.1%

0.6%

3.3%

Would the Yankees go after Chris Sale? If he cut their uniforms up, sure as heckfire they would.
17

52

48

50.3

47.7

48.8

.497

.492

0.8%

13.9%

14.7%

1.7%

1.7%

I forgot to write the Pirates comment, which kinda writes the Pirates comment, doesn't it?
18

50

52

51.0

51.2

49.8

.495

.490

0.2%

1.8%

1.9%

1.1%

1.5%

David Dahl hit his first MLB home run this week, meaning it’s only a matter of time before the Rockies have a David bobblehead Dahl giveaway.
19

50

52

47.7

46.3

47.1

.468

.473

1.6%

3.7%

5.3%

-1.1%

1.1%

What kind of wardrobe damage does a guy have to do to get out of this town? One more step and I cut you…’re t-shirts!
20

46

56

51.4

46.3

46.5

.466

.471

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.0%

It’s nice when your plans come together perfectly, like last night, but less so when that was just the 47th time out of 103.
21

49

52

44.9

43.8

44.7

.452

.457

0.4%

1.4%

1.8%

0.1%

-3.5%

The Royals will trade you Wade Davis if you’ll take Ian Kennedy, which pretty much tells you all you need to know about how their season has gone.
22

39

61

43.8

47.1

48.4

.446

.451

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Rays are 19-30 (.388) at home and 20-31 (.392) on the road so they pretty much just have to learn how to win at home and they’ll be good.
23

47

55

43.8

42.2

42.0

.429

.434

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

0.1%

Billy Beane has announced that he has traded the entire A’s roster and, in return, he has received the entire A’s roster. He was bored, okay?
24

44

58

46.1

41.7

42.8

.428

.423

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Matt Kemp walks in 3.5 percent of his plate appearances. That’s ridiculous. You walk in more than 3.5 percent of your plate appearances and you don’t even have any plate appearances.
25

42

60

43.0

44.0

44.9

.426

.421

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

The Diamondbacks are 17-35 at home, which takes winning this year and improving home attendance and smacks them both in the face with the same dead fish.
26

38

63

42.5

43.5

43.2

.414

.419

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Some don’t like the Twins trading Eduardo Nunez, but the overwhelming majority of people think [in foreign language] “Eduardo Nunez? Who are Twins what baseball?”
27

44

56

43.3

40.9

41.1

.423

.418

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

The Brewers are definitely going to trade Jonathan Lucroy, but maybe they should reconsider. Maybe they should just trade Jonathan L and keep the ucroy. Never know when some extra ucroy could be useful, right?
28

47

57

40.2

39.2

39.4

.399

.394

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

At the bank teller the other day, my 7-year-old was offered a lollipop. He politely declined but countered by offering Jeremy Hellickson for a top 20 prospect. Now I need to find a new bank.
29

35

67

36.2

39.3

39.8

.368

.364

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Braves are like Hansel and Gretel. They’re headed out of town and they’re leaving ballparks behind to mark the way home.
30

40

61

37.0

31.9

32.8

.350

.346

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If the Reds traded literally everybody and then gave out ice cream instead of playing baseball for the rest of the season that would be alright, right?

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
mhmckay

Pardon my literalism, but it would be a challenge to be both naked AND poop your pants.

Jul 29, 2016 10:26 AM
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+2

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BP staff member Matt Kory

Dreams don't always make perfect sense. In that way they're kinda like Hit List comments.

Jul 29, 2016 14:59 PM
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