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Prospectus Hit List for July 22



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 18
Hit List updates are published Monday and Friday through the 2016 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

[Slow warbling from a bat-smashed record player, left to die in a scorched desert] ...gotta get down on Friday...

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

57

37

62.8

66.8

65.2

.621

.616

94.2%

4.5%

98.8%

-0.3%

0.2%

“If you could kindly go back to losing and then deal us Andrew Miller for lesser prospects before the deadline we’d be ever so thankful. Sincerely, Cubs.” - A note found under the windshield of Brian Cashman’s Buick.
2

56

38

56.8

56.8

55.6

.586

.591

96.1%

2.0%

98.1%

-0.4%

2.8%

At least after this week, the Indians can only be the recipient of the second loudest boos in Cleveland history.
3

57

39

60.5

63.5

62.9

.593

.589

86.7%

10.2%

96.8%

-1.0%

-0.4%

Stephen Strasburg’s quest to win 14 games was stymied yesterday, forcing the Nationals to shut him down for the season.
4

54

43

54.9

60.1

59.8

.579

.574

47.0%

34.4%

81.4%

1.4%

-1.7%

The only thing that could derail the Dodgers this season was an injury to Clayton Kershaw. So, which one of you Giants fans did this?
5

54

39

54.7

57.7

58.0

.567

.572

56.0%

32.7%

88.8%

2.4%

21.0%

Five hits for Dustin Pedroia yesterday. The last time Pedroia did that was six years ago and he broke his foot the next day.
6

54

42

56.8

57.9

58.2

.558

.563

31.5%

46.7%

78.3%

-1.9%

3.6%

Jose Bautista should return later this week, despite a planned protest by baseball bats.
7

51

44

57.8

60.6

59.9

.557

.552

5.0%

43.3%

48.2%

2.5%

9.0%

Matt Holliday was hit in the face by a pitch but the Cardinals won 100 games last season so this is all probably part of the plan.
8

51

44

52.1

50.6

49.3

.543

.548

29.2%

22.3%

51.5%

1.8%

4.5%

According to a report, to become one of the best hitters in baseball, Jose Altuve made a “small mental switch.” Yes, he’s short, we know, we know, gosh!
9

57

38

53.8

53.6

53.0

.543

.538

52.9%

31.5%

84.5%

-1.3%

-11.3%

Matt Cain gave up five runs in 2.1 innings to Boston on Wednesday. This is in contrast to when he was the Giants ace and only looked like he should give up five runs every 2.1 innings.
10

50

44

49.2

50.6

50.6

.536

.531

7.8%

33.4%

41.2%

-5.1%

-4.3%

Yoenis Cespedes hurt his leg and there is growing concern he may miss significant time which begs the question: does Cespedes know he doesn’t pitch for the Mets?
11

48

46

51.0

49.5

48.9

.525

.530

13.5%

11.8%

25.2%

-0.6%

-3.2%

The Mariners lost first rounder Kyle Lewis to a torn ACL which lets them off the hook for coming up with ways to ruin him manually.
12

49

46

46.8

48.6

48.3

.502

.507

2.7%

17.0%

19.7%

1.3%

-1.0%

Did you know Justin Verlander is pretty good again? Nice to know that, isn’t it?
13

48

47

44.5

46.4

46.8

.501

.506

1.4%

6.4%

7.8%

-3.7%

0.3%

The Yankees have been out-scored by the Reds, Twins, and Padres. But sure, $15 for a Bud is totally fair.
14

55

41

48.2

45.0

45.9

.498

.503

57.2%

14.6%

71.8%

-2.2%

-10.5%

The Rangers may have lost Prince Fielder for the season. Reached for comment, the Rangers said, “Well, we wouldn’t say we LOST him.”
15

54

40

50.1

47.9

47.8

.497

.502

11.0%

38.1%

49.1%

5.3%

-4.8%

The Orioles' experiment to see if they can win a baseball division with one legitimate starting pitcher has hit a snag. Well, if we’re being specific, four snags.
16

52

43

48.1

50.1

49.6

.507

.502

5.6%

30.1%

35.7%

3.6%

11.6%

Commissioner Manfred said he’d consider putting a limit on the number of pitching changes in a game. Jeffrey Loria was excited about this until he was reminded that pitchers don’t get paid based on appearances.
17

46

49

44.7

44.1

44.3

.490

.495

0.5%

3.7%

4.2%

-1.9%

-10.7%

The White Sox have gone from sure buyers to sellers in… how long has this season been going?
18

38

57

41.6

45.3

46.8

.489

.494

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Relative to pre-season projections, the Rays have been the weakest team in baseball. Global warming is a hoax!
19

49

46

47.2

45.2

46.5

.496

.491

0.8%

12.2%

13.0%

0.4%

-2.6%

David Freese has been better this year than Andrew McCutchen and it isn’t close, in case you were wondering a reason the Pirates are 8.5 games back.
20

44

51

46.1

47.3

46.4

.475

.470

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.1%

-0.1%

The Rockies' plan to improve their pitching by thickening the air with lots of cream cheese is perfect. Give me one reason why it will fail-- see, you can’t.
21

47

47

43.4

42.8

44.1

.463

.468

0.7%

4.5%

5.2%

0.1%

-2.2%

Last year was something, wasn’t it Royals fans? Sweet sweet memories forever. And! Now you can look forward to making the playoffs again in 2046!
22

43

52

47.9

42.3

42.3

.459

.464

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.1%

0.2%

Angels pitchers lead baseball with seven balks. They should probably stop looking at team payroll numbers while on the mound.
23

40

55

40.8

41.4

43.1

.459

.454

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

The Diamondbacks apparently asked for a top 20 overall pitching prospect from Boston for Brad Ziegler before settling for two mediocre prospects. “Aim high,” my grandfather always taught me, “before totally capitulating in every conceivable way.”
24

35

60

39.3

40.1

39.8

.443

.448

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The last company that still manufactured VCRs will stop this month ensuring the Twins 2016 team video will come out on video tape.
25

42

54

40.1

38.0

37.7

.438

.443

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Sonny Gray has eight walks and seven strikeouts in 12 innings over his last two games so right now the needle is pointing away from Sonny and towards Gray.
26

40

53

39.2

36.9

36.7

.440

.435

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.1%

The Brewers have some relievers who may interest other teams but really Milwaukee is known for their sandwiches.
27

41

55

42.5

38.5

39.1

.436

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

The Padres trade away Drew Pomeranz and in his first outing with Boston he gives up five runs in three innings. This is called timing.
28

44

53

37.7

35.9

36.2

.412

.407

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.2%

Should the Phillies trade Jeremy Hellickson? That’s like asking if you should continue breathing oxygen. If you’re not an idiot, then yes, probably should.
29

33

63

33.9

36.3

36.9

.388

.384

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Braves are like the kid in Kindergarten with all the new Legos who nobody likes because he refuses to share them. Also, he has a good farm system.
30

36

59

33.2

28.2

28.8

.387

.382

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In attempt to drum up fan interest, the Reds will play the rest of the season with a B in front of their team name. Please don’t anyone tell them “B-R-E-D isn’t how you spell “bread.”

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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