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Prospectus Hit List for June 24



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 20
Hit List updates are published Monday and Friday through the 2016 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Gotta get down on Friday.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

47

24

52.5

53.7

53.3

.649

.645

97.3%

2.4%

99.8%

0.2%

0.0%

Can the Cubs please sign Taylor Featherstone so I can make a bad bird joke about Dexter Fowler going on the DL thanks.
2

43

30

44.5

47.8

47.4

.588

.584

77.5%

14.8%

92.3%

0.4%

-4.6%

Good job if you guessed the problem with the 2014 and 2015 Washington Nationals was not enough Dusty Baker and Jonathan Papelbon.
3

41

30

42.7

42.4

41.4

.576

.581

80.7%

9.9%

90.6%

1.3%

18.9%

According to rumors, Michael Brantley’s health is a deciding factor with respect to how the club approaches the trade deadline. Because the Indians problem is they only have one spot left to add a good player.
4

41

33

42.6

45.5

45.7

.583

.578

36.6%

45.2%

81.9%

0.4%

16.0%

A little known by-product of the Brexit vote in England is a provision preventing the Dodgers from signing Cuban players. Look, don’t ask me, I just report the news.
5

40

32

43.4

45.8

46.1

.569

.574

48.4%

22.9%

71.2%

4.0%

-0.6%

The Red Sox lost their third starting left fielder to injury, so, like the Secretary of Labor after an assassination, Hanley Ramirez edges closer to playing the outfield again.
6

47

27

44.1

43.5

43.7

.559

.554

62.5%

29.5%

92.0%

2.0%

10.8%

You just know poor Mac Williamson had some dolt in high school follow him around to yell “and cheese” any time he introduced himself.
7

38

33

42.6

45.0

45.3

.555

.550

2.6%

46.1%

48.7%

1.8%

0.8%

The Cubs have lost four straight and the Cardinals have won three straight. Do that three more times and we’ll have ourselves an ol’ AL Central showdown!
8

40

34

40.9

41.8

42.4

.542

.547

27.5%

27.6%

55.1%

-1.8%

-5.9%

Jose Bautista’s injury will force Edwin Encarnacion to shoulder a bigger load which could be difficult what with one of his shoulders already taken up by an imaginary parrot.
9

38

33

37.7

39.3

37.6

.545

.541

17.8%

34.5%

52.3%

-5.6%

-18.3%

The Mets were prepared to sign Cuban superstar Yulieski Gurriel to a six year contract after a private workout until someone noticed that it he looked an awful lot like Mr. Met with a false mustache.
10

36

36

40.8

39.0

38.2

.531

.536

8.6%

21.6%

30.2%

-0.3%

-16.9%

The Mariners are Lucy holding the football and their fans are Charlie Brown. “Come on, kick it,” they say. “I’ll totally hold it for you!”
11

37

36

36.4

37.8

37.4

.529

.534

12.1%

26.9%

39.0%

-0.8%

13.7%

So does this mean they won’t be winning the World Series next year?
12

47

26

40.6

37.2

37.0

.525

.530

79.2%

12.3%

91.5%

-0.6%

7.5%

Today in weird news: the Rangers have the largest lead of any division leader in baseball.
13

37

35

36.1

38.5

37.3

.507

.512

7.4%

16.4%

23.9%

-0.4%

-4.1%

The Tigers won on a walk-off wild pitch, which doesn’t have the symmetry of a walk-off walk but hey, their owner is very old, so you take the win.
14

41

30

38.3

37.1

37.2

.507

.512

17.3%

21.8%

39.1%

-0.0%

1.6%

Rumor has it the Orioles are interested in Francisco Liriano, which surprised me because I thought he was already on the Orioles.
15

31

39

32.6

34.7

35.6

.506

.511

2.5%

5.6%

8.1%

-0.6%

-15.5%

Is anyone else getting the feeling the Rays franchise is entering the last few chapters of Flowers for Algernon?
16

36

37

35.3

33.7

34.3

.493

.498

4.9%

11.1%

16.1%

-3.0%

-5.1%

James Shields’ command is like one of those paintings at the mall. At first you think it’s all over the place, but if you relax your eyes you’ll see a ship!
17

35

36

33.1

32.8

33.2

.493

.498

4.3%

6.9%

11.2%

0.2%

1.9%

If the Yankees decide to blow it up they’ll be arrested because blowing things up is illegal.
18

39

34

36.7

38.0

37.8

.499

.494

4.7%

18.3%

23.0%

2.6%

6.9%

The Marlins, led by their $325 million best player, walked off the Cubs, who are the best team in baseball. There is so much improbable in that sentence in order to understand it fully, I want you to read it 400 times or until your eyes explode, which ever happens first.
19

38

33

35.2

34.1

34.4

.483

.488

6.9%

16.4%

23.3%

1.7%

4.9%

The Royals aren’t trading Yordano Ventura. Shoot him to the moon? Maybe, but trade him, no.
20

35

40

35.7

36.3

38.2

.482

.477

0.5%

2.4%

2.9%

0.5%

1.5%

A magic trick: Open the Diamondbacks roster and scroll down while reading the names. I’ll close my eyes. I predict I will know the exact moment when you read the name Socrates Brito.
21

34

39

34.0

33.7

34.4

.482

.477

0.0%

3.5%

3.5%

-2.0%

-9.1%

The Pirates are in trouble. Quick plan: fire the manager and move Phil Kessel to the third line!
22

34

38

35.3

37.5

37.7

.481

.476

0.3%

2.8%

3.1%

-0.5%

-3.4%

On Wednesday starter Jon Gray was taken to the trainers room with “arm fatigue,” at which point thousands of fans at the game and watching on TV had to be treated for what was later called “Rockies fatigue.”
23

31

42

33.5

30.2

30.4

.442

.447

0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

0.1%

-0.4%

If you had ‘one’ in the ‘how many games until Tim Lincecum’s name comes up in trade rumors you win a cookie! (sorry, it’s burned)
24

30

42

29.1

27.9

27.4

.434

.439

0.0%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

-0.0%

Step 1: Hit Tim Lincecum. Step 2: Step 3: Win World Series!
25

32

40

29.9

28.8

27.4

.440

.435

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.1%

-0.4%

Did you know? The Brewers are 19-17 at home, the second best home record in the division! What’s their away record, you say? crackle crackle what crackle you’re breaking up crackle crackle zip
26

31

43

31.4

28.4

29.2

.434

.429

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.0%

Since trading James Shields the Padres are 8-8. Considering their record, perhaps they should re-trade for him so they can deal him away again.
27

23

49

24.9

26.3

26.1

.415

.420

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

In the battle between the easily stoppable force (the Phillies) and the entirely movable object (Twins) the object blinked, and that was pretty weird because objects don’t have eyes.
28

25

47

25.2

27.3

28.3

.393

.388

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Braves fans are all like Ctrl+ATL+Del
29

28

45

26.5

21.5

21.8

.387

.383

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Joey Votto’s WARP by year since 2013: 6.7, 1.7, 7.6, 1.2. Dude’s trying to give us stat geeks vertigo.
30

31

43

25.4

23.5

24.0

.384

.379

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.2%

Congratulations to the Phillies for picking first overall in the draft and then immediately playing like a team that picked first overall in the draft.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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