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Prospectus Hit List for July 29



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 27
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

There's a theology joke in this one.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

56

45

58.5

60.4

60.6

.583

.602

51.6%

34.7%

86.3%

4.8%

13.0%

It's not the Year of the Triple, but Evan Gattis has seven triples. It's not even the year of the Evan Gattis Triple, though.
2

61

38

58.1

55.6

55.7

.582

.601

97.4%

1.8%

99.2%

0.9%

6.1%

Joe Blanton has been designated for assignment. The assignment: research the last time the Royals will make the World Series. If all goes right, this will be a brief assignment.
3

57

42

55.1

57.6

57.0

.572

.592

85.3%

9.2%

94.5%

1.6%

14.2%

The Yankees scored 11 runs in an inning because they wanted to highlight the lowest non-Jeter number that has yet to be retired by the Yankees.
4

64

36

63.2

57.7

57.4

.606

.587

90.9%

8.9%

99.8%

-0.1%

0.4%

Eerily quiet at the trade deadline, loudly ruining your psyche in the NLDS. That's The Cardinal Way.
5

55

44

55.8

54.2

54.4

.554

.574

47.1%

35.0%

82.1%

-6.7%

-5.2%

The Angels acquired DeJesus, but if I know my theology, it's going to take more 40 days to get there.
6

56

45

57.3

62.9

61.1

.587

.568

73.2%

17.1%

90.3%

-0.5%

-1.8%

Justin Turner missed last night's game due to an infected pimple, and is questionable for tonight's prom.
7

50

51

59.8

54.7

54.5

.542

.562

7.8%

29.5%

37.3%

-4.7%

-8.1%

If anyone's going to be the first one in baseball history to head to the DL with a moose bite, it's gonna be Troy Tulowitzki.
8

45

56

54.9

55.8

56.2

.525

.545

0.2%

1.6%

1.8%

0.4%

-3.9%

Sean Manaea has four A's in his name, and they got him for Ben Zobrist, who could play multiple positions and therefore felt like four A's. Good trade.
9

50

49

54.6

51.2

51.1

.523

.542

3.5%

16.7%

20.2%

4.7%

4.7%

Whatever Chris Davis is doing, it's working. Even if it's eating the pizza crust first. Weird as heck, but it's working.
10

58

41

55.7

54.9

53.2

.560

.540

8.3%

76.6%

84.9%

5.9%

8.1%

In a few months we're going to find out that Jaff Decker's name is actually spelled Jeff, and we're all going to sit there going, "how did we miss that?"
11

55

45

55.5

55.5

54.5

.551

.531

26.0%

37.2%

63.2%

-0.9%

24.6%

Chris Heston, Joe Panik, Matt Duffy ... where to the Giants keep finding these fringe prospects that turn into solid major leaguers? Turns out, their very own minor league system.
12

51

51

49.5

51.0

51.5

.498

.518

3.3%

18.0%

21.3%

3.8%

3.3%

The Rays pretty much had to trade David DeJesus before the deadline once they realized they still had him on the roster.
13

52

46

52.0

52.8

51.4

.531

.511

64.4%

6.2%

70.6%

1.9%

-6.6%

I got one word for you: #Papeltude
14

45

54

44.0

50.4

51.2

.481

.501

0.1%

2.5%

2.6%

-1.4%

-10.6%

Trading away David Murphy at the deadline makes you wonder: are the Indians sellers, or are they dancers?
15

52

47

50.3

44.1

43.9

.480

.500

1.3%

24.2%

25.5%

-2.0%

-3.8%

Byron Buxton said he'll alter the way he slides into the base after getting injured last month, and he's strongly considering just not running the bases while carrying scissors at all.
16

48

52

46.4

47.9

48.5

.477

.497

0.8%

11.4%

12.2%

-2.3%

-13.3%

The year is 2186. Neptunians have enslaved the human race and our future is doomed to perpetual labor in the Andromedan carbon mines. The Tigers are still thinking of adding an arm or two for the stretch run.
17

52

47

49.2

51.8

51.8

.517

.497

0.8%

40.3%

41.1%

-2.8%

-30.0%

If Kris Bryant is making Cubs fans believe again, think back to when Kris Bryant struck out a bunch of times in his debut, and it made all of us believe in continuity.
18

52

48

49.8

50.2

50.3

.506

.486

34.8%

9.4%

44.2%

-5.0%

5.3%

Jenrry Mejia was suspended 162 games, which means he'll rejoin the team just in time for next season's second-half collapse.
19

46

55

44.2

47.3

49.5

.463

.483

0.4%

2.1%

2.5%

-0.7%

-0.4%

Mariners catchers this season are hitting just ... well, Mariners catchers this season are hitting.
20

48

51

50.0

49.9

49.5

.498

.478

0.7%

2.6%

3.3%

0.9%

1.4%

This year's team leader in wins is still probably a picture of Randy Johnson from 2001, because with that hair, how can you lose?
21

48

50

42.9

42.9

43.5

.452

.472

0.4%

8.7%

9.1%

3.2%

7.5%

Six wins in a row, and now the White Sox are looking to see if Jose Abreu has a brother, who is perhaps also a pitcher.
22

47

52

44.6

42.8

43.7

.450

.469

0.7%

3.8%

4.5%

-1.2%

-0.3%

Trade talks have intensified for the Rangers, looking to acquire a retractable roof from a non-contender.
23

44

57

43.3

45.6

46.0

.443

.462

0.2%

0.6%

0.8%

-0.4%

-3.2%

Maybe their pitching isn't the problem. Maybe it's society pressuring us all at a very early age to be good pitchers, man. ERA is a social construct.
24

42

58

47.0

49.9

49.8

.472

.452

0.3%

0.1%

0.4%

0.1%

0.1%

Jose Fernandez joins Sandy Koufax, Christy Mathewson, Dizzy Dean and Mark Fidrych, among others, in pitchers that have never lost in Marlins Park.
25

44

54

43.6

47.5

46.5

.463

.443

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.1%

Hear me out: trade Bryan Price to a contending team that needs a pitching coach.
26

44

57

46.0

43.7

44.1

.440

.420

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.4%

Craig Counsell experienced his first managerial ejection, which turned out to be his 300th career time being grounded from video games.
27

43

55

43.6

42.9

42.3

.438

.419

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

They got out from under Troy Tulowitzki's contract, so now they can use that money toward building a proper baseball stadium, one built several feet inside the Rocky Mountains.
28

46

54

44.4

42.1

42.0

.436

.417

0.5%

0.2%

0.6%

0.3%

-0.8%

Andrelton Simmons, an elite defender with a career OPS of .667, is somehow untouchable on the trade market. Maybe his average would go up if he stopped fielding his own ground balls.
29

47

53

43.5

41.3

42.4

.436

.416

0.2%

1.0%

1.1%

-0.1%

-0.2%

Did they score zero runs last night or was their part of the scoreboard just in camouflage?
30

38

63

35.8

35.1

35.5

.357

.339

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They've won 9 of 10. Break up the Phillies? Well, that's exactly what they plan on doing before the deadline.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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