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Prospectus Hit List for July 6



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 3
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's like prospect rankings, but with teams and math!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

46

37

48.2

52.3

50.5

.593

.573

86.6%

5.1%

91.7%

-1.6%

0.0%

Ever watch Fourth of July fireworks with Vin Scully? I highly recommend it, as he seems to know the childhood story of every bottle rocket fired in the neighborhood.
2

48

36

48.2

49.9

50.0

.543

.563

54.1%

25.6%

79.7%

-3.5%

13.6%

Jose Altuve just barely got into the All-Star Game starting lineup, both in terms of online votes and signed permission slips.
3

44

38

43.6

43.0

43.9

.539

.559

36.3%

29.5%

65.8%

6.0%

17.2%

Johnny Giavotella now has a higher on-base percentage than Erick Aybar. I'm scared too.
4

53

28

51.9

47.7

47.4

.576

.556

79.0%

20.0%

98.9%

0.5%

-0.1%

Jhonny Peralta now has as many All-Star apperances, and is therefore as good a shortstop, as Omar Vizquel.
5

43

41

50.3

46.0

45.9

.534

.554

23.8%

20.4%

44.1%

5.4%

-4.8%

It's probably best for Marco Estrada to give up a base hit in the first inning of every game moving forward, so he avoids the dreaded Dave Stieb Shell Shock.
6

38

47

48.0

49.6

49.5

.530

.550

1.8%

5.1%

6.9%

-1.4%

2.4%

If Billy Burns has 59 more slugging percentage points than Billy Butler, then perhaps Billy Butler can also play the outfield? [montage of Billy Butler playing the outfield, but poorly]
7

46

36

45.3

47.2

45.4

.561

.542

85.0%

4.3%

89.3%

1.1%

3.4%

It's a good thing the Nationals won their Fourth of July weekend series against the Giants, otherwise per MLB rule the capital would relocate to San Francisco.
8

44

38

42.9

44.9

45.0

.521

.541

38.5%

20.3%

58.8%

-6.8%

3.3%

Congratulations to the Women's World Cup winners! With A 5-2 win, the championship showed once and for all tható you know what, this space was probably meant for the baseball Yankees.
9

46

33

44.8

44.2

44.3

.511

.531

65.1%

9.6%

74.7%

4.1%

-4.8%

While history will ultimately deem it a failure, the Omar Infante All-Star voting campaign will give hope to all baseball players hitting .230 with no power that you, too, could make the All-Star game someday.
10

43

41

42.2

42.4

42.5

.511

.531

16.8%

18.0%

34.7%

5.1%

-23.5%

USA soccer scored five goals in their championship match. The Rays haven't scored more than five goals in any of their last 19 games.
11

43

39

46.6

43.2

42.7

.508

.528

15.9%

15.5%

31.4%

3.9%

-10.5%

With Luis Yander La O leaving Cuba to become a free agent, who among us haven't dreamed of La O wearing an O's hat?
12

47

34

47.3

47.4

45.6

.547

.527

11.4%

65.7%

77.1%

2.8%

19.1%

Gerrit Cole already has 12 wins, which is something no Pirates pitcher did from 2008 to 2010.
13

44

36

42.5

44.3

45.0

.546

.526

9.6%

67.4%

77.0%

2.7%

17.8%

Picking up Clayton Richard off the scrap heap to have him post a quality start is the least Cubs transaction in history.
14

38

43

38.2

43.2

43.9

.501

.521

9.5%

7.3%

16.8%

-4.4%

9.5%

There is a non-zero chance Lonnie Chisenhall just changed his name to Giovanny Urshela and didn't tell anyone.
15

39

45

37.5

40.0

40.5

.500

.520

5.0%

6.4%

11.4%

0.7%

4.4%

So David Ortiz gets a rare start at first base in with American League rules, and nobody throws it to him all game for a putout. Then again with the Red Sox pitching, you really need fielders position beyond the outfield wall.
16

41

40

39.2

41.5

42.1

.500

.520

17.5%

12.9%

30.4%

-9.3%

-12.5%

Very peculiar that the day after it was announced Miguel Cabrera would miss six weeks, Brad Ausmus left on a six-week cruise around the world.
17

38

44

36.2

37.7

39.7

.491

.511

2.8%

7.7%

10.6%

2.5%

1.2%

If this is the end of Willie Bloomquist's career, let us not forget all those positions he played, all of those quality at bats, and some of those intangibles.
18

42

41

42.7

44.0

43.1

.527

.507

10.3%

16.6%

26.8%

-5.3%

-27.8%

They will say in the box score that Ryan Vogelsong was ejected for arguing balls and strikes, but in reality he was arguing balls *or* strikes. Certainly not both.
19

41

42

39.5

37.5

38.4

.486

.506

4.8%

10.6%

15.4%

-2.0%

-0.6%

You don't sit near your teammate if he's throwing a no-hitter, but I imagine if Colby Lewis is in the middle of a start where he's allowing 10 earned runs, you're probably scouting out a seat just as far away.
20

42

41

40.1

39.4

38.8

.502

.482

13.1%

10.3%

23.4%

3.3%

-7.2%

Steven Matz's batting average plummeted .500 points to .500. In two starts he's on pace to owe the Mets .500 points.
21

43

39

41.4

35.7

35.7

.459

.479

6.7%

9.5%

16.1%

0.5%

3.8%

Glen Perkins was absent from their two walkoff losses, but shut the door on their two wins in the Royals series, further adding to the regret that they didn't sign multiple Glen Perkinses.
22

40

42

41.1

41.2

40.9

.485

.465

2.0%

5.0%

6.9%

-0.1%

2.2%

With Giancarlo Stanton on the mend, Paul Goldschmidt is the interim Giancarlo Stanton: a beacon of hope on an otherwise hopeless team stuck in an interminable hot climate.
23

36

43

30.4

30.1

31.0

.442

.462

1.3%

1.6%

2.9%

-0.7%

1.5%

If it were up to Bill Veeck, they'd flip Jeff Samardzija for about 20 bounce houses, all positioned in the outfield during games.
24

35

48

37.0

40.0

40.5

.476

.456

0.9%

0.5%

1.5%

-0.8%

0.0%

Sure, Mat Latos lost the game despite allowing one hit, but he only allowed one T in his first name and that looks pretty unnatural too.
25

39

45

37.2

34.1

35.3

.468

.448

1.2%

2.8%

4.0%

-0.2%

-4.6%

Platooning Yonder Alonso and Melvin Upton, Jr. as leadoff hitters in a series? Hey, if you're not going to win every game, at least make it weird.
26

36

44

36.2

38.5

37.4

.462

.442

0.0%

0.6%

0.6%

-0.5%

-2.6%

Billy Hamilton stole his 41st base of the season on what felt like his 39th time on base.
27

36

48

36.5

34.4

34.5

.452

.432

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.0%

0.2%

70 runs in their last 10 games? Remember, buzzed scoreboard operating is drunk scoreboard operating.
28

40

42

38.0

36.2

35.6

.441

.422

1.0%

1.5%

2.5%

-1.6%

0.1%

Word is the Braves are shopping Chris Johnson to other teams. Or maybe it's Kelly Johnson. Or maybe it's Jim Johnson. I forget which, but it's the one who is the underwhelming journeyman veteran.
29

35

47

35.2

33.3

32.9

.433

.413

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.6%

Jorge De La Rosa's lost the game against opposing pitcher Rubby De La Rosa. It truly was a War De La Rosas.
30

28

56

27.8

27.7

27.7

.375

.356

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The speech at the end of Independence Day really embodies the 2015 Phillies, since both Bill Pullman and the core of this team peaked in 1996.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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4 comments have been left for this article.
timber

Billy Butler was drafted as an outfielder.

Jul 06, 2015 13:26 PM
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therealn0d


Alex Gordon was drafted as a third baseman.

Jul 06, 2015 15:57 PM
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therealn0d


Alex Gordon was drafted as a third baseman.

Jul 06, 2015 15:57 PM
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therealn0d

The Texas Rangers comment...isn't it about time somebody said that?

Jul 06, 2015 15:59 PM
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