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Prospectus Hit List for September 14



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for September 11
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

There is so much of Luiz Gohara to love.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

90

56

96.3

100.7

98.6

.660

.665

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

No matter how you feel about the 21- or 22-win total controversy, it’s clear that this is the best winning streak in the Statcast Era.
2

94

52

91.5

95.5

94.6

.643

.639

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It’s gonna be hysterical when the Dodgers make it farther in the playoffs than the Indians do.
3

79

66

88.1

92.9

92.4

.608

.612

23.6%

75.9%

99.6%

0.4%

4.9%

The only time Jaime Garcia should be allowed to argue about his usage is if Joe Girardi asks him to start in the playoffs.
4

87

58

85.7

89.4

88.9

.605

.610

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Lance McCullers was scratched from his last start with arm fatigue, or as Dusty Baker and Terry Collins would call it, phantom pain syndrome.
5

88

57

86.9

88.5

86.2

.603

.598

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

This weekend’s Dodgers-Nationals matchup should be a fun preview between the two teams most likely to lose the World Series.
6

84

62

87.5

87.1

87.3

.592

.588

0.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Congrats to Paul Goldschmidt on his 1,000th career hit and his 2,000th time being referred to as “underrated.”
7

82

63

82.9

79.6

80.6

.560

.565

76.4%

23.6%

99.9%

-0.0%

0.4%

Looks like David Price will get yet another chance to kill Boston in the playoffs as a reliever.
8

79

66

81.3

85.0

83.1

.566

.561

70.5%

4.2%

74.7%

8.9%

-17.5%

The year is 3052. Koji Uehara is coming off the DL just in time to pitch in the playoffs. He throws 45 mph. He has a 2.46 ERA.
9

76

69

80.5

81.1

80.5

.549

.544

14.9%

4.7%

19.6%

-10.6%

-21.2%

If you lose a series to the Reds you should automatically be disqualified from the playoffs. That might actually be the case anyway if the Cards lose today.
10

80

66

77.5

74.5

74.2

.524

.519

0.0%

86.3%

86.3%

-3.3%

35.6%

I know that scheduling must be a difficult job, but it still seems unacceptable that the Rockies have played 42% of their games against the D-Backs this year.
11

72

75

71.8

78.5

79.7

.513

.518

0.0%

2.0%

2.0%

-2.3%

-4.2%

If history has taught us anything, Dan Johnson will hit a homer in a big spot against the Red Sox this weekend.
12

76

69

73.3

73.2

72.7

.509

.514

0.0%

66.2%

66.2%

4.5%

27.1%

I’m sure that relying on Matt Belisle as a closer will in no way come to haunt the Twins during the postseason. Nothing to see there, no siree.
13

72

73

74.9

71.7

72.2

.501

.506

0.0%

5.9%

5.9%

-5.3%

-9.8%

It’s too bad the Rangers aren’t going to make the playoffs, because they have so, so many injured candidates for the next Kirk Gibson moment.
14

74

71

73.7

69.7

71.1

.497

.502

0.0%

17.6%

17.6%

3.8%

-7.0%

J.C. Ramirez is getting the exact same treatment for his arm as Garrett Richards got? What could go wrong?!
15

77

69

75.7

71.9

71.4

.507

.502

14.6%

4.8%

19.4%

4.8%

4.1%

By unleashing a 104 mph throw from center field, Brett Phillips proved that he’s probably Milwaukee’s third-best starter.
16

73

73

72.1

71.3

71.8

.493

.498

0.0%

5.8%

5.8%

1.5%

3.1%

Somehow, some way, the Mariners will finish this season with an exactly .500 record. It just has to happen.
17

72

74

68.9

65.8

67.7

.470

.475

0.0%

1.1%

1.1%

0.2%

-10.0%

Chance Sisco is quite possibly the best baseball name since Terrmel Sledge, or at least since Lastings Milledge.
18

68

77

67.9

68.4

68.1

.470

.465

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.9%

“Bullpen troubles cost Marlins in 15-innings loss” reads the Marlins.com headline that’s either tough on their relievers or doesn’t give enough credit to their starter who went 14 innings.
19

72

73

65.1

62.5

64.2

.455

.460

0.0%

1.9%

1.9%

-2.8%

-4.4%

This has been the most precipitous decline for a group of Royals since the Romanovs.
20

64

81

62.9

67.7

68.7

.454

.459

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Congrats to the A’s on finally maybe getting approval for a ballpark that could theoretically open perhaps sometime in 2023! Progress!
21

68

78

63.8

64.2

66.1

.449

.454

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

“Warmoth leads Canadians to title” reads the BlueJays.com headline that is way, way better without context.
22

66

78

65.5

64.7

63.9

.452

.447

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Luiz Gohara is the spiritual successor to Bartolo Colon’s body, and he is beautiful.
23

68

79

65.7

63.8

64.2

.445

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

“Cervelli holding out hope for return this season” reads the Pirates.com headline that, I mean, why?
24

63

83

63.8

63.3

63.9

.435

.430

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Despite some pretty stiff competition, “2017 Reds pitch shutout” is still the strangest thing I’ve read this year.
25

60

85

61.4

61.8

62.6

.424

.429

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It seems like every Tigers infielder is on paternity leave these days. Given the state of the Tigers’ farm system, that’s probably a good thing ...
26

63

82

63.3

61.3

61.8

.430

.425

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

This time it’s Harvey getting its ass kicked.
27

58

87

61.8

59.2

61.2

.414

.419

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

James is the least effective Shields since the Maginot Line.
28

56

89

61.0

61.0

60.5

.411

.406

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The whole internet loves Rhys Hoskins, a lovely rookie who hits homers! *5 seconds later* We regret to inform ...
29

65

81

56.0

57.6

59.3

.407

.403

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

What is there to say about the Padres that hasn’t already been said about unbuttered wheat toast, room-temperature tap water or beige sedans?
30

57

91

58.6

54.5

55.5

.381

.376

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

“Shark looks to thwart D-Backs” reads the Giants.com headline that also doubles as the plot of Sharknado 5: Snakebitten.

Ben Carsley is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Ben's other articles. You can contact Ben by clicking here


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