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Prospectus Hit List for August 21



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for August 17
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Only Mark Reynolds can look directly into the eclipse.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

87

35

83.7

85.1

84.4

.697

.693

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Dodgers fans sure are ready for the eclipse; they deal with blackouts all the time.
2

76

48

77.4

80.2

79.3

.631

.636

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

“Marisnick reveals story behind ‘Big Fudge’” reads the Astros.com headline that I’m more tempted to click on than I care to admit.
3

68

54

74.8

77.5

76.0

.607

.612

97.0%

2.2%

99.1%

-0.3%

1.7%

“Cerebral Bauer unable to explain recent success” reads the Indians.com headline that must come as a blow for one of *the* most scientific players in baseball.
4

74

48

74.1

77.4

75.1

.616

.611

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It’s amazing that now Max Scherzer is on the DL too and yet the Nationals are still Washington’s highest-functioning body.
5

66

57

72.7

78.5

77.7

.599

.604

21.8%

69.9%

91.7%

-2.6%

7.4%

To be fair to the Yankees, it’s rare for a mega-deal for a reliever *not* to work out.
6

71

52

71.9

68.3

68.3

.568

.573

78.0%

21.2%

99.2%

0.7%

1.8%

Listen, Rafael Devers has been great, but renaming Yawkey Way after him at this juncture seems a little premature.
7

67

57

70.9

70.4

70.9

.563

.558

0.0%

82.1%

82.1%

-3.7%

-7.7%

The last time some Twins dispatched with snakes that easily Harry Potter was still in school.
8

66

57

67.0

71.1

70.7

.558

.554

74.6%

9.6%

84.2%

3.8%

11.5%

Ugh, it truly is a year of firsts for Jon Lester :(
9

63

61

67.0

68.2

68.8

.538

.533

15.1%

16.4%

31.5%

-3.0%

-12.5%

If the Cardinals just swiped on of the taller LLWS players and installed him as their new shortstop would anyone outside of Missouri even notice?
10

68

56

66.8

63.3

62.5

.526

.521

0.0%

74.3%

74.3%

-5.1%

-4.0%

So what you’re saying is that relying on an army of rookie pitchers in Coors Field might *not* work for an entire season? Hmmm.
11

61

65

61.3

66.4

67.2

.508

.513

0.1%

5.3%

5.4%

0.2%

-17.4%

“Hechavarria turns DP on fly ball off catwalk” reads the Rays.com headline that makes it abundantly clear once again that Tropicana Field should be burned to the ground.
12

61

62

64.9

61.4

61.2

.505

.510

0.0%

12.4%

12.4%

-5.1%

3.1%

Huh, it’s so unlike Matt Bush to collide with something and get off relatively light.
13

63

62

61.3

60.9

61.5

.493

.498

0.0%

14.1%

14.1%

-6.2%

1.1%

With Mitch Haniger returning from injury, the Mariners finally have their full contingent of outfielannnnnnd there goes Jarrod Dyson on the DL. Sigh.
14

64

60

61.8

58.7

60.0

.493

.498

0.0%

26.1%

26.1%

5.1%

3.7%

My commentary for every pitching prospect is next year’s top-101 is just gonna be “Parker Bridwell ¯\_(ツ)_/¯”
15

65

60

64.6

61.0

60.1

.501

.496

9.7%

9.9%

19.6%

5.5%

10.8%

TINO listeners have been waiting for this Jesus Aguilar hot streak for about four years, to be honest.
16

60

62

59.7

60.2

60.6

.493

.488

0.0%

7.0%

7.1%

2.3%

3.4%

So in all the years to come, we’ll talk about how the Homerun Derby fixed Giancarlo Stanton’s swing. Right?
17

63

59

56.9

56.6

57.5

.479

.484

2.1%

31.4%

33.4%

5.0%

9.5%

The Twins put on such an offensive show against the D-Backs I’m shocked Trump hasn’t publicly supported them yet.
18

62

61

58.6

56.8

57.9

.478

.483

1.0%

14.0%

15.0%

4.2%

-3.2%

“Sledge” suits up for KC on Player’s Weekend” reads the Royals.com headline that is somehow not about Terrmel.
19

60

64

57.4

54.5

56.0

.459

.464

0.0%

1.9%

1.9%

-0.4%

-5.0%

Three homers capped off by a grand slam? Some day, when Manny Machado retires, they’ll be playing the highlights from that game on the jumbotron at Yankee Stadium.
20

54

69

56.4

56.9

56.6

.455

.460

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.4%

If I’m Ian Kinsler I show up to my next game wearing like 12 white wristbands.
21

60

64

57.7

56.0

55.6

.462

.457

0.6%

0.6%

1.1%

0.2%

-1.3%

We all owe the Pirates a debt of gratitude for beating the Cardinals at the Little League Classic. Thank you for setting a good example for our nation’s youth.
22

59

65

53.7

54.0

55.6

.448

.453

0.0%

1.5%

1.5%

-0.7%

-2.4%

Josh Donaldson at short and Jose Bautista at third? We’re officially in the “ehh, why not?” stage of the Blue Jays’ season.
23

54

70

51.5

56.4

57.6

.442

.447

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

I believe “Graveman’s sinker” is technically a spoiler for the latest GoT episode.
24

55

67

54.1

52.4

52.0

.438

.433

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Tyler Flowers is having a much better season than the rest of the Tyrells.
25

54

68

55.3

51.9

52.3

.438

.433

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.3%

If the Night’s King was a Met he would’ve torn his UCL on that hurl.
26

53

72

53.1

53.4

54.6

.428

.423

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Steve Bannon thinks the Reds starting rotation is having a rough six months.
27

47

74

50.8

48.8

50.6

.408

.412

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

A 47-74 record? More like Stop White Sox Genocide, amiright?
28

55

69

46.1

50.3

51.2

.408

.404

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Is Jabari Blash the player whose name most sounds like what he does well?
29

45

77

49.4

49.6

49.2

.396

.391

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Frankly, if you’re a Phillies fan, you might be better off if you do look directly into the eclipse today.
30

50

76

51.5

46.9

47.8

.389

.385

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Sorry, but if you can’t take a series from the Phillies, you don’t get a Hit List comment. Thems the rules.

Ben Carsley is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Ben's other articles. You can contact Ben by clicking here


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