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Prospectus Hit List for July 31



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 29
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

SOURCES: The Hit List has been traded to Fox Sports for three of Ken Rosenthal's bowties.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

58

45

60.2

62.3

62.5

.590

.609

68.9%

26.4%

95.3%

5.7%

14.0%

Now that the Astros have traded all their prospects, we can all look forward to them losing 120 games a season from 2022-2025. Gonna be some lean years!
2

57

44

55.7

58.2

57.4

.565

.584

80.0%

13.0%

93.0%

-0.5%

7.0%

Images of endangered species will be projected on the Empire State Building Saturday night. No word on how many Yankees will be included.
3

65

37

64.1

58.7

58.4

.604

.584

92.9%

6.8%

99.8%

0.0%

0.0%

Now with Brandon Moss, the Cardinals can win those World * pop! * never mind.
4

61

40

57.5

54.2

54.7

.563

.583

95.8%

2.3%

98.1%

-0.6%

3.6%

With Johnny Cueto in the fold, the Royals just have to get Paul Goldschmidt and they’ll be deadline champs!
5

52

51

61.7

57.3

56.8

.553

.573

12.9%

33.3%

46.2%

9.0%

-0.0%

“He’s a heck of a pitcher but giving up Daniel Norris is a huge Price to pay.” I’ll land an MLB headline writing gig yet!
6

57

45

58.1

63.4

61.7

.589

.569

75.0%

14.8%

89.8%

-0.4%

-3.4%

Yesterday the Dodgers traded for and cut Michael Morse. Today they will draft, sign, develop, and then cut Michael Morse, Jr. Sure is a busy time of year!
7

55

46

56.1

54.4

54.7

.545

.565

30.2%

47.2%

77.4%

-4.5%

-9.5%

According to medical experts, nothing inflames a wrist like excessive awesomeness. Tough news for Mike Trout.
8

51

50

55.7

52.4

52.3

.523

.543

4.0%

15.7%

19.7%

-5.2%

9.7%

The Blue Jays can get anyone except Dan Duquette. In your face, Toronto!
9

45

58

55.3

56.3

56.8

.518

.538

0.1%

0.9%

1.0%

-0.7%

-3.4%

Stephen Vogt is hitting .176/.208/.243 for July. Good to see he’s finally getting in line with the rest of the team.
10

56

45

56.5

56.4

55.4

.555

.536

23.8%

36.1%

59.9%

-5.9%

20.2%

Getting Mike Leake from the Reds is weird since I thought Leake was already with the Giants.
11

59

42

56.2

55.0

53.4

.553

.533

6.1%

76.2%

82.4%

-3.4%

-1.7%

David Price? No. Cole Hamels? No. Mike Leake? No. Scott Kazmir? No. Joe Blanton? HECK YES!
12

54

46

53.7

54.7

53.3

.539

.519

76.8%

4.4%

81.2%

6.5%

2.6%

Having added Jonathan Papelbon, the Nationals have finally reached the necessary level of crazy in their bullpen. Playoff success can’t be far behind!
13

47

54

46.5

53.4

54.3

.498

.518

0.3%

3.1%

3.4%

1.3%

-8.0%

The good news is the Indians can probably have C.C. Sabathia back now.
14

51

52

49.9

51.6

52.1

.497

.517

2.9%

15.8%

18.7%

-2.4%

3.8%

We can talk more in 24 hours. You know, because everything will be exactly the same.
15

54

47

50.6

53.7

53.5

.524

.504

0.9%

48.8%

49.7%

9.5%

-20.2%

The Red Sox have DFA’d outfielder Daniel Nava so you can expect to see him in a Cubs uniform in… three… two… one…
16

50

52

47.6

49.2

49.7

.482

.502

1.2%

10.4%

11.5%

-0.1%

-10.1%

Trading David Price and Joakim Soria? Eh… you want to shock me, trade Miguel Cabrera.
17

53

48

51.0

45.4

44.9

.481

.501

1.9%

17.4%

19.4%

1.3%

-10.9%

A little surprising the Twins didn’t trade for Troy Tulowitzki, Cole Hamels, and David Price, but I guess wonders never do cease in this crazy, crazy world of ours.
18

49

51

51.2

51.1

50.7

.505

.485

0.6%

2.2%

2.8%

-0.1%

1.3%

The Diamondbacks are reportedly trying to acquire Aroldis Chapman which makes sense if you don’t think about it at all.
19

52

50

50.1

50.3

50.2

.497

.477

23.0%

7.8%

30.8%

-7.0%

1.2%

The Mets had Carlos Gomez but nixed the trade because they didn’t want to pay the rest of his $8 million salary and his $9 million salary next season. The Mets front office picked a bad time for Pretend It's The '70s Week.
20

49

52

46.0

44.2

45.1

.456

.476

0.7%

4.9%

5.6%

0.4%

0.2%

Now, with Cole Hamels on the team, the Rangers can not win better.
21

49

51

44.0

44.2

44.9

.455

.475

0.8%

8.1%

8.9%

-2.4%

6.9%

Rumors suggest the White Sox look to be going all in on this season, so I guess the flip came up heads.
22

46

57

44.1

47.1

49.5

.453

.473

0.1%

1.1%

1.2%

-1.4%

-1.8%

Dustin Ackley, we knew ye only too well.
23

45

58

44.2

46.3

46.6

.442

.462

0.1%

0.5%

0.7%

0.2%

-1.4%

David Ortiz is hitting .309/.404/.642 for July. So it’s the rest of the team’s fault then.
24

46

54

45.8

49.3

48.4

.474

.454

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.1%

-0.1%

Last night the Reds beat the likely playoff-bound Pirates 15-5. And Johnny Cueto and Mike Leake would have got away with it too, if it weren't for you darned kids!
25

42

60

47.3

50.0

50.0

.464

.444

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.1%

-1.1%

Now that the Marlins have dealt Mat Latos and his cat, Cat Latos, finding a replacement will be tough. Anyone know anyone named Mog who can pitch?
26

49

53

45.1

43.2

44.4

.445

.425

0.5%

2.5%

3.0%

1.5%

2.3%

Justin Upton pulled a fake #hugwatch on the deadline-crazed baseball world yesterday thereby increasing his trade value immeasurably in my eyes.
27

43

57

44.4

43.6

43.1

.435

.416

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

/notices Tulowitzki trade /goes to Denver /puts on Rockies cap /cuts arm /feels nothing
28

44

59

46.1

43.8

44.2

.432

.413

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.1%

Now that they’re in a dealing mood, can the Brewers go back in time and trade the Seligs?
29

46

56

44.8

42.4

42.3

.430

.411

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

-0.3%

-0.9%

Step 1: Lose 4-1 to the Phillies. Step 2: Be 46-56. Step 3: Have Nick Markakis for three more years. Step 4: Success!
30

39

64

36.4

35.4

35.8

.356

.338

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Now, without Cole Hamels or Jonathan Papelbon, the Phillies will win 60 straight games and lose the division by one game.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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