Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for May 22



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for May 18
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It turns out the Astros aren't invicible.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

25

16

25.7

27.5

28.1

.649

.653

38.8%

22.6%

61.4%

0.5%

-0.3%

We finally made it. Please mark 5/22/2017 as the day I became sick of the Aaron Judge puns.
2

29

15

27.6

26.6

26.8

.625

.630

86.4%

9.9%

96.2%

-0.6%

-0.1%

“Wow the Astros look pretty unbeatable” you thought, jinxing them and leading to Brian McCann and Dallas Keuchel hitting the DL as Houston is swept by Cleveland. You’re a bad person.
3

26

19

29.2

28.9

28.0

.623

.618

76.3%

19.1%

95.4%

1.3%

0.4%

Tough break for Julio Urias, getting optioned back to Triple-A where he’ll still be the youngest dude on his team by like 12 years.
4

26

19

27.4

27.7

26.8

.599

.595

9.4%

41.4%

50.8%

-2.3%

17.1%

The D-Backs had to put Taijuan Walker on the DL with a blister, so expect the Dodgers to make a godfather offer for him any day now.
5

26

17

25.3

24.9

23.8

.582

.577

84.5%

4.6%

89.2%

3.5%

-1.7%

Koda Glover recorded a four-out save yesterday, making him the most distinguished Nationals closer in team history.
6

23

23

25.2

27.9

28.6

.569

.574

18.6%

20.4%

38.9%

-4.7%

8.0%

Corey Dickerson is hitting .343/.394/.639 with 11 bombs in his second year with the Rays, but I’m still willing to attribute the performance to Coors Field.
7

23

19

22.8

24.4

25.0

.566

.571

78.5%

8.7%

87.3%

0.9%

1.8%

The Indians just swept the Astros, are back in first place and have Corey Kluber coming off the DL shortly. It must be nice!
8

28

17

24.2

24.8

25.4

.569

.564

13.1%

48.7%

61.8%

5.8%

6.4%

Mike Dunn has a 10.13 ERA since coming off the DL on May 3, but at least he’s only under contract for two more years and $19 million,
9

22

19

22.3

22.5

22.6

.545

.540

15.9%

17.4%

33.3%

5.5%

-11.2%

Hmm, the Cardinals lost a close match-up in extra innings thanks to a largely anonymous Giant preying on their bullpen. Where have we seen that before?
10

25

17

22.2

20.4

21.0

.528

.533

10.4%

14.2%

24.6%

-3.9%

-3.4%

Hello! Just your weekly reminder that Wade Miley has a better strikeout rate than Stephen Strasburg.
11

22

20

22.6

22.4

22.9

.535

.530

59.6%

14.3%

73.9%

2.4%

4.7%

More Cubs relievers dancing in the bullpen and fewer Dancing With The Stars recaps, please.
12

22

21

22.3

22.8

22.9

.524

.529

29.9%

22.9%

52.8%

6.7%

-1.7%

Any time your de facto captain refers to your current play as “whale [excrement]” you know things are going well!
13

20

22

23.4

22.1

21.9

.520

.525

2.5%

4.5%

7.0%

1.0%

-0.4%

Add Luis Robert to the promising list of future young guns who look like they’ll compose the Next Great White Sox Team That Will Still Be Overshadowed By The Cubs.
14

25

19

24.6

21.2

21.2

.523

.518

17.8%

18.5%

36.3%

-5.8%

2.3%

Sure, the Brewers might seem a little petty for calling out the Cubs for their premature rain delay decision, but cut ‘em some slack: they’re too used to dealing with the perfect weather in Milwaukee.
15

22

18

19.4

19.8

19.8

.506

.511

10.7%

15.9%

26.6%

-0.6%

-1.0%

The Twins are now 7-1 against Kansas City this season. They’re so effective against Royals Melisandre’s gonna recruit them any day now.
16

24

21

25.1

21.2

20.6

.505

.510

8.9%

31.9%

40.9%

4.7%

12.7%

Most things in the world are terrible right now, but Adrian Beltre has resumed running as he nears his return, so perhaps there’s some hope for us as a species yet.
17

20

23

21.2

22.7

22.1

.500

.495

1.9%

3.0%

4.9%

-1.5%

-5.2%

You can attribute the uptick in homers to juiced baseballs if you want. Me? I’ll blame Bronson Arroyo, who’s given up nine dongers in his last four starts
18

23

23

22.2

22.4

21.8

.486

.491

1.2%

10.2%

11.3%

3.0%

4.8%

It’s great to see Alex Meyer fulfilling his potential as the high-strikeout, walk-happy mess of a starting pitcher we all knew he could be as a prospect.
19

21

21

20.1

19.0

19.3

.473

.478

7.6%

13.1%

20.7%

-3.3%

-3.2%

Alex Avila is hitting .382/.488/.706. Finally, a case of nepotism paying off in this country.
20

20

24

17.5

22.1

21.8

.463

.468

1.0%

5.8%

6.8%

-1.6%

0.3%

The A’s have made 42 errors through 43 games. They have the collective defensive prowess of the Browns.
21

20

25

20.5

20.4

20.7

.453

.458

2.6%

13.6%

16.1%

-3.0%

-9.8%

The most surprising thing about that Sea Lion attack video? The victim wasn’t a Mariners starting pitcher.
22

18

23

18.2

19.4

18.3

.451

.446

2.0%

2.0%

4.0%

-1.1%

1.1%

Going from Freddie Freeman to Matt Adams is like trading in a filet mignon for a McDouble.
23

19

26

20.8

19.1

19.8

.437

.442

2.3%

5.0%

7.3%

1.0%

-5.9%

Thanks to the new DL rules, the Jays have been able to put Aaron Sanchez on the 10-day DL three times instead of the 15-day DL twice. Progress is amazing.
24

20

24

18.5

17.8

18.7

.426

.421

4.9%

6.6%

11.4%

1.5%

1.6%

David Freese was hit in the back with the bases loaded to force in Pittsburgh’s only run yesterday. God he’s so clutch.
25

15

26

18.6

17.3

17.4

.416

.411

0.6%

0.5%

1.0%

-0.0%

-1.1%

The good news for the Phillies: Aaron Nola is back, and he looked sharp against the Pirates yesterday. The bad news for the Phillies: literally everything else.
26

18

25

16.4

16.4

17.7

.399

.403

0.6%

1.4%

2.1%

0.0%

-1.6%

Sal Perez hit three homers in the Royals’ double-header yesterday. “I didn’t know that was even allowed,” Alex Gordon said after the game.
27

18

24

18.5

16.1

15.4

.405

.400

11.6%

10.5%

22.1%

-5.5%

-11.3%

Congrats to the Mets on now having the second-most scrutinized orb-holders in America.
28

15

28

17.1

18.6

18.5

.402

.397

1.3%

1.1%

2.4%

-0.8%

-2.9%

“I’m just glad I didn’t die,” Dee Gordon said of his near-collision with Giancarlo Stanton yesterday. But is it really surprising that Stanton failed to make contact?
29

19

26

15.7

15.5

17.1

.374

.369

1.2%

12.3%

13.5%

-2.9%

0.3%

Before we keep pushing the Matt Cain Comeback Story, we might want to make sure that Matt Cain is actually, you know, good.
30

16

30

14.2

16.6

17.5

.349

.345

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.4%

The Padres got jipped out of a bases-loaded situation with Wil Myers at the plate when a fan reached into the field of play to catch the ball, but he looks really tan and relaxed and it’s nice to see California treating Steve Bartman so well.

Ben Carsley is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Ben's other articles. You can contact Ben by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
newsense

"It turns out the Astros aren't invicible"

is that a combination of invincible and invisible?

May 22, 2017 11:31 AM
up_image

-2

down_image
 
Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content.
<< Previous Article
What You Need to Know:... (05/22)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (05/19)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pac... (05/22)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
What You Need to Know: The Name is Bonds, Mi...
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: May 22, 2017
Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pack: May 22, 2017
Short Relief: Witnessing Assault, Keeping a ...
Premium Article Rubbing Mud: The Muscle Memory of Bunting
Transaction Analysis: Have Gloves, Will Trav...
Premium Article Flu-Like Symptoms: Detroit's Earthworm Prese...

MORE FROM MAY 22, 2017 10:05 AM
Premium Article Rubbing Mud: The Muscle Memory of Bunting
Short Relief: Witnessing Assault, Keeping a ...
Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pack: May 22, 2017
What You Need to Know: The Name is Bonds, Mi...
Fantasy Article The Buyer's Guide: Justin Smoak
Fantasy Article TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 98
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of May 19-21

MORE BY BEN CARSLEY
2017-05-22 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: May 22, 2017
2017-05-19 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: May 19, 2017
2017-05-17 - Let It Eat: The Worst Hitter From Each Team ...
2017-05-15 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: May 15, 2017
More...

MORE THE PROSPECTUS HIT LIST
2017-05-22 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: May 22, 2017
2017-05-19 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: May 19, 2017
2017-05-15 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: May 15, 2017
2017-05-11 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: May 11, 2017
More...