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Prospectus Hit List for September 21



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for September 14
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

And down the stretch they come ...

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

95

57

100.3

104.9

102.4

.662

.667

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They peaked too early so who cares.
2

96

56

94.0

99.2

98.4

.638

.633

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Bahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha they might get swept by the Phillies.
3

85

67

94.5

99.8

98.9

.622

.627

12.4%

87.6%

100.0%

0.0%

0.4%

Would love Brian McCann to weigh in on Didi Gregorius’ bat flip apology. Classy or classless? I bet I know where he’d land.
4

93

58

90.4

94.4

93.6

.615

.620

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Awww a six-game winning streak. Isn’t that cute!
5

92

59

90.7

92.3

90.2

.605

.600

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

With Trea Turner returning and Bryce Harper working his way back, the Nats might be at something close to fully loaded when they disappoint us in October.
6

88

65

91.6

91.0

90.5

.590

.585

0.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Zack Greinke appears to be taking sign-stealing prevention a little too literally.
7

88

64

88.8

83.9

84.8

.568

.573

87.6%

12.4%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Congrats to the Red Sox on sweeping the Orioles to secure a playoff spot, effectively ending The Curse of Robert Andino.
8

84

67

85.5

88.9

87.2

.572

.567

87.6%

6.7%

94.4%

-0.1%

19.7%

We know Jon Lester doesn’t want to throw to first, but I’m not sure giving up all these first-inning homers is really a great solution.
9

79

72

83.6

84.4

84.0

.548

.543

2.8%

10.9%

13.6%

7.7%

-5.9%

The Cardinals are just 2.5 games back in the Wild Card hunt, somehow. They are the Bill Cassady health care proposals of baseball.
10

74

78

74.1

81.2

82.7

.513

.518

0.0%

1.8%

1.8%

0.9%

-0.2%

Congrats to Blake Snell on becoming the first eight-year-old to toss seven scoreless innings in MLB history.
11

82

70

81.3

77.7

76.8

.523

.518

0.0%

61.8%

61.8%

-6.4%

-24.5%

Bahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha they got swept by the Giants.
12

81

71

80.2

77.3

76.7

.518

.513

9.6%

20.6%

30.2%

-1.3%

10.8%

Brett Phillips’ throws from the outfield should be illegal. Someone is going to get hurt.
13

78

74

75.7

74.7

74.5

.498

.503

0.0%

65.0%

65.0%

-2.4%

-1.1%

“Forced to throw strikes, Berrios has off night” reads the Twins.com headline that, well ...
14

75

76

77.6

73.3

73.7

.496

.501

0.0%

9.0%

9.0%

3.9%

3.0%

There’s something so perfect about the Rangers and M’s doing jussssst enough damage to each other to ensure neither make the playoffs.
15

76

75

76.0

72.4

74.2

.494

.499

0.0%

20.4%

20.4%

-2.9%

2.8%

Ok, Andrelton Simmons is great, but I’m not sure if it’s an “amazing play” if you upped the degree of difficulty by making a mistake in the first place ...
16

74

78

74.2

73.9

74.7

.488

.493

0.0%

1.3%

1.3%

-0.7%

-4.4%

Somehow, some way, the Mariners will manage to finish exactly .500. It’s just too right.
17

69

83

67.2

72.1

72.8

.462

.467

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Midland RockHounds have won four consecutive Texas League championships, so who says Billy Beane is past his prime as a GM?
18

72

80

71.2

71.4

70.8

.470

.465

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Honestly if Giancarlo Stanton can stop riiiiight at 60 homers he’d be doing all of us a big favor.
19

74

77

68.3

65.7

67.8

.457

.462

0.0%

2.4%

2.4%

1.3%

0.5%

Props to Mike Moustakas on setting the new club record for homers, and for making his impending departure from the Royals as painful as possible!
20

73

80

69.5

67.1

69.7

.456

.461

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-1.1%

Once again, the Orioles will not be using Zach Britton in October.
21

71

81

66.1

66.6

68.3

.447

.452

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Carlos Ramirez’s streak is over, and so is any feel-good story associated in any way with the Blue Jays.
22

67

83

66.9

66.1

65.4

.442

.437

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Lucas Sims. Max Fried. Luiz Gohara. Mike Foltynewicz. The Braves rotation reads like a Baseball America Prospect Handbook 2014 list.
23

69

84

67.8

65.2

65.6

.437

.432

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Outrighting Drew Hutchison? Looks like the Pirates might’ve lost that Francisco Liriano trade after all.
24

66

86

66.2

66.0

66.7

.436

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Can’t wait for the Homer Bailey Revenge Game tonight, in which he will try *not* to give up 10 runs to the Cardinals.
25

62

90

64.1

64.7

65.0

.421

.426

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Poor Jeff Ferrell. As if being a Tigers reliever isn’t traumatic enough.
26

60

91

64.8

62.0

63.8

.415

.420

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Just when you think the White Sox rebuild is starting to show signs of promise, they get one-hit by Matt Boyd ...
27

65

87

64.8

63.3

63.7

.422

.418

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Per an article on Mets.com, Yoenis Cespedes’ offseason workouts will primarily center around running, so I guess Jon Lester will be leading them.
28

61

91

65.7

64.5

64.1

.420

.415

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Sure, Odubel Herrera’s game-ending catch was huge, but to be considered a truly special catch it'd have to speak English.
29

68

84

57.0

59.6

61.8

.405

.400

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Great, after Harvey, Irma, Jose and Maria, now we have to deal with Rocky Gale, too.
30

60

93

61.7

57.4

58.8

.389

.384

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The last time Giants did that much damage to Brewers Castle Black almost fell.

Ben Carsley is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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