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Prospectus Hit List for May 20



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 18
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Some good ones in here. Trust us.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

24

14

25.0

27.1

26.1

.633

.614

86.3%

9.5%

95.8%

0.2%

-1.2%

Another pitcher injury for the Dodgers, with Hyun-Jin Ryu likely to need season-ending surgery. If this season were a chess game, Andrew Friedman would have 'accidentally' knocked all of the pieces over by now--then been furious when he realized he'd been in first place.
2

25

14

25.6

26.3

26.1

.556

.576

31.6%

19.1%

50.7%

4.4%

8.6%

The Royals have five different relievers who have thrown at least four innings while giving up one or fewer runs.
3

23

17

21.3

23.6

23.9

.543

.563

45.0%

18.2%

63.2%

-4.6%

-6.0%

Victor Martinez's knees are acting up again. See them perform as Brick and Big Daddy at the Warner Theatre's production of Cat on a Hot Tin Roof!
4

26

13

25.5

23.3

23.0

.579

.559

67.3%

18.2%

85.5%

2.3%

-2.7%

The Cardinals don't ever actually lose, do they? They have the 13 in their record to throw suspicious persons off the track, but I'm on to you, Cardinals!
5

26

14

22.7

24.0

23.9

.539

.559

36.8%

20.2%

57.0%

1.8%

15.6%

Two hits for Evan Gattis puts him at .193, only seven points from the Mendoza line. (Mario Mendoza actually hit .215, but maybe better to not tell Gattis.)
6

22

18

22.2

23.0

22.8

.539

.559

30.6%

20.3%

50.9%

3.4%

4.1%

The Rays used six pitchers last night and every pitcher got a win, a hold, or a save. It's like a little kid's birthday at Tropicana Field!
7

23

17

22.7

22.5

21.8

.568

.548

71.9%

15.5%

87.4%

2.5%

12.0%

Bryce Harper is those 1950s nuclear bomb alerts in public schools. When he's up, climb under your desk!
8

22

18

21.4

22.9

23.7

.526

.546

24.6%

17.7%

42.3%

-7.0%

-14.2%

Andrew Miller gave up his first runs in his 18th appearance of the season. Remember when Andrew Miller used to give up his 18th run of the season in his first appearance? Ah memories'
9

20

19

19.7

17.8

18.2

.521

.540

40.0%

19.1%

59.1%

3.3%

4.1%

Only one single for Mike Trout, so Bryce Harper pulls even closer. Right now he's only three MVP-quality seasons behind! Yikes!
10

17

19

18.6

19.1

19.1

.497

.517

7.6%

8.7%

16.3%

2.9%

2.4%

The Orioles don't need Nelson Cruz because they have Jimmy Paredes is a sentence that would have got you laughed out of whereever you watch Orioles games each of the last two seasons.
11

21

17

18.9

21.3

20.7

.537

.517

25.1%

33.7%

58.8%

-4.2%

5.5%

The Cubs gave up three unearned runs and lost 4-3 on what I can only assume was turn back the clock night.
12

19

20

16.1

17.3

17.7

.496

.517

30.4%

19.0%

49.5%

2.0%

8.5%

First the Red Sox removed Allen Craig from the team, and now the 40-man roster. The next step is for Ben Cherington to suddenly need to 'use the bathroom' when he sees Craig at dinner parties.
13

14

27

19.9

21.9

21.9

.496

.516

2.8%

3.5%

6.3%

-2.1%

-7.6%

So A's fans, if you value your health, probably don't look up what Josh Donaldson is doing in Toronto. So, how about Brett Lawrie's tattoos, huh? Extensive!
14

17

21

17.1

17.1

17.6

.495

.515

17.3%

14.6%

31.9%

-1.2%

-9.2%

Nelson Cruz homered again, so narrows it down to either Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, or Saturday.
15

18

23

21.8

19.0

19.2

.489

.509

6.8%

9.4%

16.1%

-3.7%

-15.3%

Edwin Encarnacion has only hit three of his nine homers at home, meaning there are probably a few perturbed parrots waiting for some exercise in Toronto.
16

21

18

19.7

21.2

20.8

.526

.506

7.9%

34.4%

42.2%

2.9%

9.4%

Tim Hudson's single gave him more hits yesterday than Hunter Pence and Buster Posey combined, so as long as the DH stands for Designated Hudson, we're cool.
17

15

23

17.0

19.0

19.4

.485

.505

7.1%

7.6%

14.6%

3.3%

2.5%

'Swisher' S-W-I-S-H-E-R, Swisher.' 'That's correct, Billy! You remain in the finals. Okay, Anthony your turn. Rzepczynski.'
18

23

17

22.5

19.8

19.6

.521

.501

24.8%

29.5%

54.2%

-3.4%

-1.3%

With a first-place team and the fewest home losses of any team in baseball, Mets fans are overwhelming city psychiatric facilities claiming to hear phantom falling footwear.
19

18

21

20.7

19.6

19.2

.504

.484

5.6%

14.8%

20.5%

-0.7%

-10.2%

Pedro Alvarez homered into a boat yesterday in Pittsburgh. This beats Nelson Cruz's homer into a train in Houston, but not Giancarlo Stanton's homer into a satellite orbiting Mars. Better luck next time, Pedro!
20

16

23

17.3

17.1

17.6

.462

.482

3.1%

3.3%

6.4%

-1.8%

-4.0%

Your American League batting leader is Prince Fielder but he's likely to regress as years of study shows us vegetarians don't hit for high batting averages.
21

22

17

20.0

16.0

16.9

.460

.480

6.0%

8.7%

14.8%

2.4%

2.9%

Joe Mauer is an ex-catcher turned-first-baseman with no homers but two triples this season. Keep your labels to yourself dude.
22

18

18

14.7

14.2

14.6

.459

.479

10.3%

10.6%

21.0%

-3.3%

7.5%

The Marlins did not hire Dan Jennings the White Sox reliever as their new manager which, now that I think about it, is the most disappointing part of that move.
23

20

20

18.6

16.1

16.4

.485

.465

5.3%

24.7%

30.0%

2.5%

-0.7%

After years of low-scoring teams in a pitcher-friendly ballpark, this year's team must be the baseball equivalent of getting sideswiped by a tank.
24

16

24

18.8

20.2

20.2

.484

.464

2.5%

6.6%

9.1%

-0.9%

-7.2%

With Dan Jennings at the helm, the Marlins are poised for success, because if there is one thing a person with no managerial experience can do it's suddenly and dramatically improve a baseball team's pitching and hitting.
25

17

21

19.7

18.2

17.7

.466

.446

0.3%

2.2%

2.5%

0.0%

-2.1%

Get excited for that first overall draft pick, Arizona! Just think, in three to five years, you might get a major-league player out of this!
26

18

21

17.2

17.9

17.6

.457

.437

1.0%

3.8%

4.8%

-0.9%

-2.3%

Billy Hamilton had a sac bunt and two strikeouts. Joey Votto batted four times and didn't walk once. Did I avoid making a joke about reliever J.J. Hoover? Yay!
27

18

20

18.5

16.7

16.2

.444

.425

0.7%

2.5%

3.2%

-0.2%

1.0%

The Braves didn't win but they did get another solid outing from Mike Foltyn... Foltyn... Foltynotgonnapitchanymoreforawhile.
28

15

25

15.0

14.0

14.4

.431

.411

1.0%

2.7%

3.7%

0.3%

-0.1%

Back-to-back-to-back homers helped the future-ex-Brewers beat the Tigers, 8-1.
29

14

22

13.2

13.9

14.0

.421

.401

0.2%

1.6%

1.8%

-0.3%

-0.4%

Now that Bruce Chen has retired, who are the Rockies going to pick up to throw 40 meaningless and mediocre innings in September?
30

17

24

14.3

15.4

15.3

.394

.375

0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

-0.1%

0.2%

To paraphrase the old saying, 'Hamels, Harang, pray for good prospects in return.'

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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