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Prospectus Hit List for July 3



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 1
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Dear Reader. Happy Almost America Day. Sincerely, the Hit List.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

45

35

47.5

51.4

50.0

.600

.581

86.3%

7.1%

93.4%

0.6%

4.2%

In his last three starts Clayton Kershaw is 0-3 with a 3.15 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 20 innings. Clearly this is Yasiel Puig’s fault.
2

47

34

47.0

49.0

49.0

.546

.566

62.3%

19.3%

81.6%

-0.4%

12.3%

George Springer has a broken wrist but the Astros have a train filled with oranges parked in left field so Springer seems like a smaller problem.
3

51

27

50.0

46.3

46.1

.577

.557

80.4%

18.1%

98.5%

-0.2%

0.4%

Cardinals scouting director Chris Correa has been fired, not for his role in hacking the Astros computer system, but for knowing about computers.
4

42

39

49.0

44.9

44.7

.537

.557

26.0%

21.4%

47.4%

-2.5%

0.3%

Jose Reyes went 0-for-6 and the Blue Jays still scored six runs. Perhaps convert him to a reliever?
5

37

45

46.8

48.1

48.0

.532

.552

2.8%

6.1%

8.9%

1.5%

-2.3%

The A’s run differential is better than the first place Orioles and the same as the first place Royals. The A’s are 11 games back. Their stuff doesn’t work in the regular season either!
6

41

38

39.3

38.9

40.4

.523

.543

21.6%

25.1%

46.7%

2.7%

0.0%

If you see Mike Trout sacrifice bunt you’ll know Mike Scioscia has won.
7

42

37

41.8

43.7

43.7

.522

.542

32.8%

20.9%

53.7%

1.0%

1.8%

Nathan Eovaldi is 8-2 with a 4.52 ERA. Some say he knows how to pitch to the score, but if he pitched to the score, wouldn’t he be 10-0?
8

43

36

42.8

44.5

42.4

.554

.534

79.8%

3.4%

83.2%

-1.8%

-2.3%

Max Scherzer was baseball weirdness away from getting doused in chocolate sauce. Though, when you think about it, that sentence tells you really nothing at all.
9

44

32

43.3

42.9

43.2

.512

.532

62.4%

10.3%

72.6%

-4.7%

2.7%

The Royals have lost three straight. That would worry most fan bases, but Royals fans are thinking, ‘Big deal. Wake me when they get to 10.’
10

42

39

40.3

40.6

40.6

.510

.530

17.5%

19.0%

36.5%

-4.2%

-27.6%

The Rays have received the worst production from first base in baseball. It sure is Loney at the bottom.
11

42

37

44.4

41.8

41.6

.510

.530

19.6%

17.6%

37.2%

-2.7%

6.8%

The Orioles aren’t exceptional defensively, offensively, or on the mound, but they do make a mean quiche lorraine so that ain’t nothing.
12

45

33

45.7

45.6

43.6

.547

.527

10.1%

63.3%

73.4%

5.1%

16.5%

Antonio Bastardo gave up three runs in two-thirds of an inning, proving again you can take the player out of Philadelphia but you can’t take the Philadelphia out of the player.
13

42

35

40.2

43.1

43.8

.545

.525

9.4%

64.1%

73.4%

5.8%

1.7%

The Cubs have reportedly signed the Dominican Republic.
14

39

39

37.5

39.6

40.1

.503

.523

18.2%

12.3%

30.4%

-3.3%

-7.6%

Jose Iglesias is hitting .324 with a .387 slugging percentage because of course he is.
15

37

41

36.7

41.8

42.5

.501

.521

10.5%

9.1%

19.6%

4.1%

5.7%

There comes a time when all the cosmic tumblers have clicked into place and the universe opens itself up a few seconds to show you what’s possible… then it slams closed on your fingers and your nails turn purple and fall off. – Field of Indians Fans' Dreams
16

41

39

40.6

38.2

39.0

.500

.520

10.2%

17.6%

27.8%

4.5%

8.8%

The Rangers really shouldn’t be batting Rougned Odor leadoff because you never get a second chance to make a first impression.
17

37

44

35.8

38.1

38.5

.496

.516

4.2%

6.1%

10.3%

1.3%

2.6%

The Red Sox are only six games back so the Reds would do Craig Breslow for Johnny Cueto now, right?
18

42

38

42.2

43.6

42.6

.536

.516

11.7%

27.8%

39.5%

-8.2%

-12.7%

The Giants signed someone named Lucius Fox. I don’t care if he knows how many outs there are in an inning and neither do you.
19

36

43

34.3

36.2

38.1

.491

.511

3.1%

5.9%

9.0%

-2.0%

-2.0%

The Mariners have DFA’d Willie Bloomquist presumably because he plays defense too well. Well, it couldn’t be because he can’t hit because if so, how do you explain the continued existence of the Mariners?
20

40

40

37.7

37.1

36.1

.496

.476

15.8%

6.0%

21.8%

-4.0%

-0.6%

It used to be if the Mets scored five runs or more everyone in attendance got a fast food burger. Now, if the Mets get a runner to first base, everyone gets sesame seeds covered in special sauce and they work up from there.
21

42

37

39.9

33.9

33.7

.455

.474

7.7%

8.2%

15.9%

4.5%

-0.7%

Bring on the trade deadline, a time where the Twins will totally not trade Byron Buxton for relief help! Right, Twins? Hello?
22

38

41

39.3

38.8

38.9

.481

.461

1.0%

3.5%

4.5%

0.5%

-1.9%

Yasmany Tomas has an .801 OPS, so who is laughing now, people who thought Dave Stewart wasn’t qualified to be GM?? In your face!
23

34

42

29.7

28.6

29.5

.440

.460

1.3%

1.0%

2.3%

0.3%

-0.8%

The White Sox signed Fernando Tatis, Jr. during the international signing period. They also signed Fernando Tatis, Sr. because, really, why not?
24

34

46

36.2

38.3

38.8

.476

.456

2.1%

0.5%

2.6%

0.5%

0.7%

Jose Fernandez came back from Tommy John Surgery and homered, causing several Marlins pitchers to slam their elbows into the cement wall of the dugout in celebration.
25

36

41

36.8

39.2

38.1

.476

.456

0.1%

2.2%

2.3%

-0.2%

-2.5%

Thursday’s win might have been Johnny Cueto’s last as a Red in Great American Ballpark, which… wait a minute. A Red in Great American Ballpark? Alert Joe McCarthy!
26

38

43

36.0

32.6

33.7

.467

.447

1.0%

2.5%

3.5%

1.1%

-3.0%

The best part about Yangervis Solarte’s homer is that it came with the Padres not the Yankees so John Sterling couldn't sing Dean Martin’s “Volare” with Solarte’s name instead.
27

38

41

36.4

35.1

34.8

.442

.423

2.3%

1.3%

3.6%

0.9%

-0.0%

In Manny Banuelos’ first career start, he went five and two thirds innings before leaving with an injury. If he can do that once a year, there's real value there!
28

33

48

32.9

30.7

30.9

.437

.417

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

Milwaukee has lost five straight and is 20 games behind first place St. Louis. So, uh… sandwiches sure are delicious!
29

34

45

34.0

32.6

32.3

.436

.417

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.1%

-0.3%

Last season in Philadelphia, Kyle Kendrick gave up 25 homers in 199 innings. This season, in 96.1 innings, he’s given up 23 homers. It’s almost like, sometimes, occasionally, every once in a while… you can predict baseball.
30

27

54

26.5

25.8

25.7

.371

.352

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Phillies had to put Aaron Harang on the DL but that’s okay because they weren’t planning on trading him until 2018 anyway.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
Sharky

Favorite recurring feature!! Comments about the As and Mets were spot on. And so sad.

Jul 03, 2015 13:19 PM
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