Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for June 26



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for June 22
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Those plucky, upstart Los Angeles Dodgers are riding high.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

51

26

52.7

52.8

52.4

.678

.674

88.5%

11.4%

99.9%

-0.0%

0.3%

The Dodgers are back in first place in the NL West after a 10-game winning streak. What a feel-good story.
2

52

25

50.2

52.2

51.5

.669

.673

99.1%

0.9%

100.0%

0.0%

0.4%

Risky play by the Astros, keeping Dallas Keuchel on the DL until after the All-Star Break. He probably won’t have health insurance by then.
3

40

33

45.6

49.2

48.4

.627

.632

45.3%

26.5%

71.8%

-2.3%

-6.8%

If the Yankees really wanted to celebrate Old-Timers’ Day they should just bring back the 2013 roster.
4

48

28

49.1

47.0

45.4

.623

.619

8.4%

86.2%

94.5%

0.9%

4.5%

If you have to go to extra innings to defeat the Phillies is it really a victory? Feels like the D-Backs should only be awarded a half-win for yesterday’s rally.
5

45

30

45.8

47.4

45.3

.612

.607

96.4%

0.7%

97.0%

-0.7%

0.2%

“Numbers don’t tell full story of Roark’s start” reads the Nationals.com headline that’s a compelling remake of Lies, Damn Lies And Statistics.
6

39

35

41.8

45.0

44.7

.576

.581

81.6%

6.8%

88.4%

-2.8%

-1.6%

“Being clutch isn’t real,” the Indians fan says to himself as he finishes his fourth glass of scotch after watching the Tribe go 1-for-23 with RISP. “It’s just luck.”
7

47

31

43.2

41.0

41.6

.554

.549

3.1%

82.8%

85.9%

-1.5%

-7.0%

Daniel Bard thinks Adam Ottavino’s four-wild-pitch inning on Sunday was tough to watch. Regression, thy name is Rockies.
8

40

38

41.1

43.6

44.1

.541

.546

13.3%

25.4%

38.7%

-3.3%

-1.6%

If Ned Stark saw the way Evan Longoria owned Chris Tillman he’d have him banished to The Wall.
9

41

34

40.6

39.6

38.8

.534

.538

37.6%

27.6%

65.2%

-5.0%

-10.1%

Touching tribute to David Ortiz by the Red Sox, scoring just five runs in two games after his number was retired to prove how much their offense misses him.
10

38

37

40.0

41.9

41.2

.537

.532

63.0%

4.0%

67.0%

-4.6%

4.8%

“Cubs rally in Miami on Lester’s milestone day” reads the Cubs.com headline that really, really stretches the meaning of the word “milestone” to include beating the Marlins.
11

39

39

38.9

38.1

39.2

.498

.503

0.4%

28.1%

28.5%

-1.8%

9.0%

“Gamel, Valencia nursing minor injuries” reads the Mariners.com headline that tells us that Ben Gamel and Danny Valencia are currently the healthiest Mariners.
12

40

39

39.8

38.0

38.7

.495

.500

0.0%

12.3%

12.3%

1.9%

6.0%

The Angels beat Doug Fister and the Red Sox yesterday in a game they let Parker Bridwell, the man they chose over Fister, start. They won the breakup!
13

38

37

40.4

34.8

35.4

.495

.500

0.4%

30.1%

30.5%

4.8%

5.9%

“Fractured right thumb tip lands Perez on DL” and “Rangers might finally start getting staff in place” are two headlines that appear back-to-back on Rangers.com.
14

41

37

40.3

37.6

37.2

.500

.495

23.1%

4.6%

27.7%

5.2%

-4.3%

Stephen Vogt might seem like a worthwhile addition to the Brewers, but we all know how disappointing Wisconsin votes can be.
15

34

40

35.6

37.6

38.0

.491

.486

8.3%

2.0%

10.3%

1.5%

-0.6%

Hitting the longest homerun ever at your home stadium is a pretty good way to announce your return with authority, Randal Grichuk.
16

36

39

35.2

35.7

35.8

.476

.481

2.8%

7.9%

10.8%

2.5%

-2.0%

The Blue Jays are 0-8 when trying to reach .500 this season. Sisyphus thinks that’s a little rough.
17

39

34

32.8

32.6

33.0

.470

.475

12.3%

17.8%

30.1%

5.3%

12.1%

“The North Remembers,” the Twins whisper as they sweep the Indians after getting swept last weekend.
18

32

42

36.6

35.2

34.8

.468

.473

0.6%

0.9%

1.5%

-0.1%

-2.8%

Carlos Rodon will return to the majors sometime this week. That’s great, because if there’s one thing the White Sox lack it’s disappointing southpaw starters.
19

34

40

35.2

35.7

36.4

.477

.472

1.4%

2.9%

4.3%

0.1%

0.8%

Ichiro became the oldest player to ever start a game in center field yesterday, a record that Tommy Joseph’s face will look to break just next season.
20

33

42

35.3

35.1

34.9

.461

.466

1.8%

2.5%

4.2%

1.0%

-5.7%

Pretty rough eight-game losing streak for the Tigers, or as the Phillies would call it, just your average week-plus.
21

36

39

34.2

35.5

33.6

.464

.459

0.8%

1.7%

2.5%

-0.5%

1.4%

Julio Teheran now has a 7.58 ERA at SunTrust Park. And here we thought he new ballpark would be toughest on Atlanta taxpayers ...
22

34

42

30.9

35.6

37.5

.454

.459

0.0%

3.8%

3.8%

1.0%

-1.5%

An injured Jed Lowrie came off the bench to deliver a key RBI against the White Sox yesterday in what’s definitely the most dramatic instance of a hurt player providing a big hit off the bench in an Athletics game in history.
23

37

37

32.8

31.1

33.0

.452

.457

3.7%

5.8%

9.5%

-1.9%

1.3%

The Royals are back at .500. All I can hear is Michael Caine’s rendition of “Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Night” from Interstellar whenever they play.
24

35

41

34.6

33.3

34.2

.451

.446

5.2%

1.0%

6.1%

-1.7%

1.2%

My favorite part of the new Game of Thrones trailer was when the revived Andrew McCutchen lit up his sword like a lightsaber, reminding us that he is in fact not dead yet.
25

34

41

34.0

32.9

33.2

.447

.442

1.4%

2.8%

4.2%

1.2%

-0.8%

Michael Conforto bruising his hand is the most 2017 Mets thing ever, because it means that another Met is hurt and that Michael Conforto won’t get playing time.
26

31

43

33.1

33.4

33.0

.441

.436

0.4%

0.1%

0.5%

0.1%

-0.3%

You know that feeling you get when you walk into work after a vacation and you have 300 unread emails and several panicked coworkers? That’s still better than how Homer Bailey feels, probably.
27

37

38

31.3

28.3

30.7

.424

.429

0.9%

3.8%

4.7%

0.7%

-2.7%

Congrats to the O’s for finally putting their-20 game streak of allowing five or more runs to bed, thus ending How To Lose A Season In 20 Games.
28

31

45

26.1

29.4

30.7

.386

.381

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

0.1%

Does the Padres playing like more of a .500 team than a truly garbage team over the last month make them more or less anonymous?
29

24

50

27.0

26.4

27.2

.354

.349

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

“Is Hellickson pitching himself onto contender” asks the Phillies.com headline that reminds us that, holy crap, the Phillies gave Jeremy Hellickson a QO.
30

27

51

27.9

27.0

27.5

.351

.346

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Buster Posey has 10 homers and only 30 RBI, which says quite a bit about his supporting cast.

Ben Carsley is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Ben's other articles. You can contact Ben by clicking here


5 comments have been left for this article.
Deadheadbrewer

re: Brewers and 'Stros quips--very good. :)

Jun 26, 2017 10:06 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
tearecrules

I really don't get the Wisconsin reference. There hasn't been a disappointing vote out of Wisconsin this decade.

Jun 26, 2017 11:33 AM
up_image

+1

down_image
 
BPKevin

Hang your head low Ben...tainting baseball with politics, tsk tsk

Jun 27, 2017 04:39 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
KerryFam4

Grichuk hitting the longest homerun in stadium history where a juiced Mark McGwire used to play should answer any outstanding questions about whether we're using a rabbit ball this year.

Jun 26, 2017 16:27 PM
up_image

0

down_image
 
roarke

Mark McGwire never played in Busch Stadium III - it opened in 2006 and he retired after 2001.

Jun 27, 2017 12:54 PM
up_image

0

down_image
 
Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content.
<< Previous Article
What You Need to Know:... (06/26)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (06/22)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Guarding The Lines: Ad... (06/26)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of June 26
Fantasy Article Closer Report: Week 13
What You Need to Know: Lucky 13
Short Relief: Love Letters to the Past and P...
Premium Article Notes from the Field: Carolina League All-St...
Premium Article The Call-Up: Tyler Wade
Baseball Therapy: The Pendulum Swings Back

MORE FROM JUNE 26, 2017 11:06 AM
Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pack: June 26, 2017
The Call-Up: Franklin Barreto
Premium Article Guarding The Lines: Advancements vs. Blips
Short Relief: Foul Fielders, Scripting Homer...
What You Need to Know: Something to Balk Abo...
Fantasy Article The Buyer's Guide: Mike Montgomery
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of June 23rd-25th

MORE BY BEN CARSLEY
2017-06-26 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 26, 2017
2017-06-22 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 22, 2017
2017-06-22 - Fantasy Article Dynasty Dynamics: The Saddest Milestone
2017-06-22 - TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 90: Boston...
More...

MORE THE PROSPECTUS HIT LIST
2017-06-26 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 26, 2017
2017-06-22 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 22, 2017
2017-06-19 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 19, 2017
2017-06-15 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 15, 2017
More...