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Prospectus Hit List for June 15



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for June 12 Hit List for June 19
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Now with more Game of Thrones references!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

38

25

42.4

45.4

44.8

.677

.681

54.8%

31.3%

86.1%

-3.4%

10.2%

The Angels snapped a six-game Yankees winning streak on Tuesday in what’s honestly a pretty solid allegory for the Book of Revelation.
2

45

22

43.6

44.1

43.4

.657

.662

97.7%

1.9%

99.6%

0.2%

-0.3%

The Astros play the Red Sox later this week. There’s a good chance Derek Fisher will face Matt Barnes. Thank you, Hit List gods.
3

41

25

43.1

42.5

42.2

.640

.635

76.6%

22.8%

99.4%

0.6%

2.0%

Ppl 4get this, but the Dodgers traded Zach Lee for Chris Taylor so if you wanted to get really abstract here you could make a Sweet Life of Zach and Cody [Bellinger] joke here.
4

41

26

42.0

40.9

39.7

.611

.606

11.0%

72.8%

83.8%

2.8%

14.2%

“D-backs needs votes to grab ASG starting spots” reads the Diamondbacks.com headline with a keen understanding of the selection process.
5

39

26

38.3

39.6

37.7

.595

.590

92.7%

2.0%

94.7%

-1.9%

-3.6%

“You can’t draft for need in baseball!” exclaims the expert who has never seen anyone from the Nationals bullpen pitch.
6

42

26

40.6

39.4

39.4

.593

.589

12.3%

73.1%

85.4%

-0.3%

2.9%

It’s utterly cruel that Carlos Gonzalez would get bad just as the Rockies get good. He’s like the West Coast Nick Markakis.
7

37

28

36.0

35.6

34.8

.552

.557

34.4%

40.1%

74.4%

5.2%

6.8%

Are the Red Sox the worst team that’s nine games over .500 in history? It’s a question worth exploring on talk radio for sure.
8

35

33

35.9

38.6

39.7

.549

.554

7.9%

29.0%

36.9%

-4.7%

4.5%

Congratulations to the Rays on landing Brendan McKay with the fourth overall pick in the draft. You should see what scouts have to say about the guy on Twitter.
9

31

31

32.2

33.4

33.7

.526

.531

68.5%

6.9%

75.4%

-0.1%

-3.9%

“Haha, the Cubs have such an embarrassing record,” the Indians say too loudly, glancing nervously around the room. “Imagine only being .500?! Haha!”
10

32

33

32.8

34.6

34.4

.515

.510

54.5%

4.9%

59.4%

-6.1%

-14.3%

Ben Zobrist is so versatile he’s about to add DL to the extensive list of positions he’s manned. Joe Maddon will respond by batting Hector Rondon leadoff.
11

33

34

33.5

33.3

34.0

.499

.504

1.3%

24.5%

25.8%

5.0%

-7.8%

Before taking to the mound on Tuesday, Carlos Ruiz had played at catcher in 969 out of his 969 MLB appearances. Nice.
12

35

34

34.4

32.6

33.0

.489

.494

0.3%

10.4%

10.7%

2.4%

4.5%

Congratulations to whatever warm body the Angels drafted in the first round on Monday, or as he’s now known, the Angels’ No. 1 prospect.
13

35

32

35.0

31.7

31.8

.498

.493

24.4%

5.5%

29.9%

6.0%

-1.1%

You can totally understand why Milwaukee cut ties with Neftali Feliz, but it’s gonna be tough to swallow when he makes the playoffs with the Vikings.
14

33

29

28.3

29.5

29.3

.485

.490

18.4%

9.8%

28.2%

-5.0%

3.0%

The Twins doing terrible things to the Mariners is the worst Game of Thrones Season 7 spoiler to date.
15

30

34

30.7

32.2

33.2

.493

.488

14.2%

4.3%

18.5%

-1.2%

3.3%

Swept by the Cubs. Swept by the Reds. Swept the Phillies. The Cardinals are streakier than Will Ferrell in Old School.
16

29

35

31.4

32.9

32.8

.492

.487

2.2%

3.4%

5.7%

0.1%

1.3%

“Straily seeks first June win vs. Braves” reads the Marlins.com headline that, if read literally, seems oddly specific ...
17

32

33

31.3

30.8

31.2

.482

.487

2.1%

12.2%

14.3%

2.5%

-1.2%

“Blue Jays struggle to contain Rays” reads the MLB.com headline that the atmosphere can sympathize with.
18

28

36

31.5

30.8

30.9

.474

.479

1.6%

0.9%

2.5%

-0.9%

-0.5%

Matt Davidson is striking out 38% of the time but has 13 homers and a .271 ISO. He is the platonic ideal of a baseball player in 2017.
19

30

34

30.9

30.0

29.8

.472

.477

8.3%

4.4%

12.6%

-0.3%

-11.9%

“I didn’t get into any accidents from 2007-2011,” Francisco Rodriguez protests after he rams into your SUV. “What is your problem??”
20

32

33

33.0

28.3

28.3

.468

.473

0.7%

19.8%

20.5%

-3.3%

9.4%

The Rangers spent 29 of their 41 draft picks on pitching, so at least they’re self-aware.
21

29

36

30.9

31.2

29.9

.465

.460

0.8%

0.6%

1.5%

-1.2%

-4.8%

Congratulations to the Reds on landing Jeter Downs in the draft, or as he’s known in New York, “ground ball to the left.”
22

30

34

28.2

26.9

28.9

.445

.450

3.3%

2.2%

5.5%

2.0%

2.0%

Congrats to Kyle Zimmer on surpassing his previous career-high innings pitched mark by logging two innings in relief in Triple-A on Tuesday.
23

29

36

29.0

30.4

29.0

.451

.446

0.6%

1.1%

1.7%

0.5%

-0.2%

Big step the Braves took in the draft, finally adding a young Wrighty to their stable of pitching prospects.
24

30

34

30.2

28.1

27.0

.451

.446

4.5%

7.2%

11.7%

2.4%

1.8%

Terry Collins would take one look at the Black Knight from Monty Python and the Holy Grail and ask him to pitch the seventh.
25

30

36

29.6

29.3

30.1

.450

.446

6.1%

1.3%

7.4%

-1.4%

1.2%

Pretty cool of the Penguins to bring the Stanley Cup to PNC Park, though they should probably keep it out of the outfield or it will wind up on the DL.
26

32

32

27.6

25.1

27.9

.440

.445

0.9%

5.1%

6.0%

1.0%

-12.0%

The Hindenburg had a more graceful fall than what the Orioles have experienced in June. They are approximately 6 for their last 656.
27

27

38

24.9

29.5

30.4

.430

.435

0.1%

1.5%

1.6%

-0.6%

-2.7%

Hmm, Stephen Vogt had a big day in Florida but it wasn’t enough to lead his side to a win? Somewhere Al Gore smiles sadly.
28

26

41

25.5

24.5

25.4

.378

.374

0.1%

0.9%

0.9%

-0.4%

-2.8%

ESURANCE VOICEOVER: Buster Posey loves control! BUSTER POSEY: /strangles Matt Moore to death.
29

27

40

22.0

25.1

26.6

.376

.371

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

If the Padres sweep the Reds but no one hears it does it really make a sound?
30

21

43

23.4

22.0

22.3

.347

.342

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

The poor Phillies. They’ve been so victimized by Boston comebacks it’s a wonder Matt Ryan isn’t on their roster.

Ben Carsley is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Ben's other articles. You can contact Ben by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
morpheusq

The Giants comment is pure gold!

Jun 16, 2017 19:43 PM
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