Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for July 5



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 1 Hit List for July 7
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The Angels comment.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

52

30

57.0

59.4

58.2

.630

.625

97.3%

2.2%

99.5%

0.4%

-0.1%

The Cubs are probably fine, but being swept by an aggregate 32-11 score in a four-game series to the Mets means it's high time to begin pulling the marionette strings for Mike Trout and Chris Sale, just to be safel.
2

50

34

52.9

55.9

55.1

.595

.590

80.9%

14.8%

95.7%

-0.3%

2.6%

Yesterday the Brewers beat the Nationals by a 1-0 score for the first time since they were not the Nationals. Great, now the Nationals are going to have to change their name again.
3

50

32

49.3

48.8

48.1

.579

.584

90.2%

6.6%

96.8%

0.9%

0.6%

Alarmingly, the Indians are a staggering 0-1 when Rajai Davis hits for the cycle during a winning streak.
4

48

37

49.1

53.1

53.0

.585

.580

42.8%

44.0%

86.7%

3.7%

11.1%

Brandon McCarthy is back, Hyun-jin Ryu will be back soon and Clayton Kershaw will also recover eventually. It'll be interesting to see if they can get rotation spots over Bud Norris, Nick Tepesch and this picture of Luke Prokopec.
5

45

37

46.4

49.4

49.6

.554

.559

40.3%

23.2%

63.5%

7.5%

3.0%

All told, it's rather impressive to use just five pitchers (including a position player) to shoulder the burden of allowing 21 runs. It was also the most runs they allowed in a game since against the Yankees in 2000, which was a game I assume lasted four days and five hours.
6

46

39

48.4

49.1

49.5

.549

.554

36.8%

22.5%

59.3%

5.1%

13.5%

Yes, they have a Fourth of July in Canada. But it's just another day they hit home runs against teams from the United States, which is the whole reason the US went to war for their own independence in the first place.
7

43

39

49.0

51.3

51.5

.551

.546

2.2%

35.7%

37.9%

-8.4%

-4.8%

If Strat-O-Matic ever makes a basebal card game exclusive to the St. Louis ball team, they are going to be despondent to hear Cards against Humanity is already taken.
8

53

32

49.2

48.7

48.2

.550

.545

57.2%

34.6%

91.8%

2.2%

-0.4%

Winning a game by going from Jake Peavy to Santiago Casilla by way of four one-out guys in a row, I guess, is why the are is known for having a suspension bridge.
9

44

39

44.4

43.9

43.1

.539

.544

15.2%

30.2%

45.4%

5.3%

2.0%

Marwin Gonzalez was once a utility player, but he has sort of evolved into a passable first baseman. That's what they call in the business "social Marwinism."
10

45

37

44.2

44.9

44.5

.546

.541

17.1%

43.0%

60.2%

5.7%

7.2%

The most shocking part of yesterday's comeback win was that when the Mets were down 6-0, their win expectancy percentage simply read "Mets%."
11

43

39

46.6

44.5

44.0

.533

.538

12.3%

23.4%

35.6%

-6.5%

3.6%

It doesn't matter if Mike Zunino's .500 average was after one major league game. Last year the highest his average ever got was .191.
12

52

32

45.6

41.7

41.9

.516

.521

72.5%

15.0%

87.5%

-2.9%

-7.3%

Backup catcher Bryan Holaday got to pitch on Friday, and made a major leaguer looks silly on a swing-and-miss knuckleball. Yes, it truly was a Holaday weekend.
13

43

39

42.0

43.6

43.1

.512

.517

4.0%

22.9%

26.8%

-2.8%

13.6%

Nick Castellanos is making a solid argument to be an All-Star reserve, but he also has Hamilton tickets that week so maybe it's time for a hitting slump?
14

43

40

41.1

40.8

41.3

.510

.515

4.3%

22.8%

27.1%

5.8%

7.4%

Tim Anderson is putting up video game numbers; specifically he has one walk in 106 plate appearances.
15

47

35

44.6

42.0

41.7

.504

.509

20.4%

18.3%

38.6%

-7.6%

-22.8%

The Orioles are that lovable team that you don't understand why they're good, but yet you keep going back to them as a team to admire. Which means that the 2016 Baltimore Orioles are the EarthBound sequel we've all been waiting for.
16

34

48

35.8

38.5

39.7

.490

.495

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

-0.1%

-3.1%

Ryan Garton earned his first major league save even though Dana Eveland got the first out in the ninth. If these two become the eighth and ninth-inning guys, you might say that Tampa Bay is the home of the Garton of Eveland.
17

42

41

41.2

39.7

40.2

.499

.494

0.5%

10.7%

11.2%

1.7%

5.4%

The good news for Jameson Taillon's latest DL stint is that he's still scheduled to return in plenty of time for the team's Wild Card game loss.
18

43

40

40.6

42.7

42.9

.499

.494

2.0%

13.5%

15.5%

-4.7%

-15.4%

Would it have hurt Fort Bragg to construct a home run sculpture out of, like, bayonets and bald eagles, and then make a copy for every other ballpark in the universe?
19

40

42

37.1

37.9

37.5

.487

.492

2.3%

2.4%

4.7%

-1.9%

-3.3%

There is one team in baseball with a collective first baseman OPS below .600 and yep it's the one with Nick Swisher toiling in Triple-A (that is, until he took a season long sa-bro-tical.
20

43

39

39.0

39.4

40.1

.476

.481

1.6%

12.4%

14.0%

-2.8%

-6.8%

Playing 16 games over .500 at home and nine games under .500 on the road means that the Royals' kingdom is getting progressively smaller and will eventually be torn apart by Visigoths.
21

37

45

39.2

41.1

41.1

.471

.466

0.0%

0.8%

0.8%

-0.2%

-3.9%

Nolan Arenado is on pace for 43 home runs and 43 doubles. Last year he had 42 home runs and 43 doubles, so he can afford to pull back ever so slightly.
22

37

48

38.6

39.8

41.4

.469

.465

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.2%

-1.2%

While Chip Hale may not win Manager of the Year, he would win the award of Manager Whose Literal Context Would Cause A Delay If It Fell From The Skies.
23

36

47

35.4

33.2

32.5

.441

.446

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.3%

The Athletics collective OPS for their designated hitters is .593. That's pretty awful! It's also 97 points better than any given National League team's set of pitchers.
24

33

50

37.6

35.4

35.4

.440

.445

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

C.J. Cron became the first person in 12 years to have a six-hit, two-homer game without extra innings, then another guy does it the very next day. Never try.
25

36

46

34.0

32.9

32.4

.440

.435

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.5%

Will Smith pitched 2/3 of an inning on Independence Day and got into exactly zero fights with aliens. Sounds like an impostor to me.
26

36

47

36.2

33.1

33.1

.439

.434

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

It's going to be fun seeing if Melvin Upton, Jr. can finally call himself an All-Star thanks to the Padres Exemption.
27

27

55

31.0

31.7

31.4

.425

.430

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Byung-ho Park was second on the team in home runs and all he got to show for it was a Triple-A demotion. Heck, David Ortiz was third on the team in home runs in 2002 and look how that turned out.
28

38

46

32.4

30.5

30.9

.407

.402

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.1%

0.1%

Odubel Herrera's .390 on-base percentage would be the first OBP that high for a Phillie starter since Chase Utley in 2009. Ryan Howard did this a couple times, but this year it's .213. Time is a wanker.
29

28

55

29.7

31.4

32.6

.389

.384

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Braves can get rid of their winless record at army bases if, by next year, they decide to militarize Cobb County.
30

30

54

28.0

23.1

24.0

.377

.373

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

There are three players with 20 home runs and 20 doubles and one of them is Adam Duvall, so there's your good story, Cincinnati. Now see what kinds of prospects you can get for him later this month.