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Prospectus Hit List for August 17



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for August 14 Hit List for August 19
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

I wanna make us a killer Hit List. I wanna make us a killer Hit List. I WANNA MAKE US A KILLER HIT LIST.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

65

54

73.4

69.0

68.8

.580

.600

46.2%

45.2%

91.4%

2.5%

6.4%

The Blue Jays have 123 more extra-base hits than the Marlins. Thatís great!
2

64

54

68.1

69.7

69.8

.576

.595

76.1%

12.0%

88.1%

3.2%

4.3%

Two homers for Colby Rasmus yesterday. Okay, he has silly hair, but you gotta admit thatís at least one more homer than you hit this weekend, right?
3

75

42

73.8

67.6

67.3

.606

.587

80.4%

19.3%

99.7%

-0.1%

-0.0%

Two homers on Sunday for Jason Heyward who is clearly just trying to pad his stats for free agency by playing better.
4

71

46

67.1

63.3

63.8

.567

.586

99.8%

0.2%

100.0%

0.1%

0.4%

The Royals have signed Joba Chamberlain. It sounds bad but Chamberlain likely wonít throw a pitch for the team unless all the 2015 Division Champion champaign bottles are infected with salmonella.
5

64

52

64.6

66.4

66.0

.562

.582

47.9%

43.3%

91.2%

-2.7%

2.3%

The last time C.C. Sabathia faced the Twins he gave up two homers. Thatís bad, but not as bad as it sounds, which is not coincidentally the title of a made-for-TV movie on C.C. Sabathiaís 2015 season.
6

67

51

66.0

73.5

71.7

.589

.570

81.5%

5.4%

86.9%

0.5%

-2.4%

Rumor has it Yasiel Puig will be flipped this winter.
7

60

56

65.5

60.5

60.2

.531

.551

4.3%

28.6%

33.0%

6.3%

13.1%

Last week, the Orioles got no-hit. Sunday, they got 26-hit.
8

69

46

65.5

63.5

62.5

.566

.546

13.9%

79.1%

93.0%

1.2%

2.5%

An in-depth investigation by Hit List has determined that not only do none of the Pirates have pet parrots, but none have peg legs either.
9

54

62

55.5

64.8

65.6

.517

.537

0.1%

4.1%

4.1%

-2.8%

-0.7%

Theyíre 16.5 games back but next year with Jake Taylor, Roger Dorn, Willie Mays Hayes, Eddie Harris, and Pedro Cerrano, it says here the Indians are gonna win the Pennant.
10

64

53

66.0

65.3

64.4

.555

.535

18.2%

14.6%

32.9%

5.0%

4.5%

The Giants have a 28 percent chance to make the playoffs, but if Madison Bumgarner pitches every day, it goes up to 112 percent.
11

67

49

61.7

64.4

64.0

.554

.534

5.7%

80.6%

86.3%

-5.5%

3.9%

When it comes to allowing homers, Dan Haren is like that guy during Halloween who comes to the door with a bucket of candy and says, ďTake as much as you want!Ē
12

60

57

61.5

58.9

59.6

.513

.533

15.6%

22.3%

37.9%

-5.9%

-30.6%

In their spare time in the bullpen, Huston Street and Joe Smith spend their time writing a magazine about football.
13

58

59

56.6

60.2

60.5

.503

.523

1.5%

14.5%

16.1%

-5.1%

-4.2%

Itís one thing to have Grady Sizemore on your roster. Itís another thing to play him regularly. But itís a whole other thing to continually bat him second. Like, a whole other bad thing.
14

51

68

60.1

62.4

63.6

.498

.518

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-1.2%

Sonny Gray has been cleared to be trade bait uh I mean to pitch.
15

63

55

61.7

61.7

61.8

.526

.506

80.7%

0.2%

80.8%

-0.7%

14.5%

Are Mets fans allowed to experience happiness? ďSigns point to are you freak'n kidding me?Ē
16

59

57

54.9

52.7

53.5

.475

.495

7.6%

14.2%

21.8%

2.4%

7.3%

Since trading for Cole Hamels the Rangers are 11-5, and theyíre 11-3 if you exclude the games Hamels actually pitched.
17

57

59

61.1

59.9

59.1

.511

.491

0.2%

0.1%

0.4%

-0.4%

-1.0%

Nick Ahmed broke up Shelby Millerís no-hitter in the eighth inning. If you add Ahmedís OPS+ from both his seasons in the bigs (which you canít do) you get 103. Baseball! Itís strange!
18

58

59

59.4

61.3

60.3

.511

.491

19.3%

0.5%

19.8%

0.2%

-21.8%

How many Nats losses in a row in August does it take to get to the center of a Matt Williams manager controversy? Letís see! [lick] [lick] [CHOMP]
19

56

61

53.2

55.1

55.8

.470

.490

0.1%

4.0%

4.0%

-1.3%

-1.2%

The Tigers lead baseball in triples and in getting caught stealing. Make of that what you will!
20

55

63

50.3

55.0

56.6

.460

.480

0.6%

1.6%

2.2%

0.5%

-0.4%

Felix Hernandez on the mound and the offense scores 10 runs, so of course the Mariners lose by 12. Thanks, 2015! Hope you get one of those nasty colds you canít shake for months!
21

52

65

53.4

54.3

53.8

.456

.476

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.3%

-0.3%

The Red Sox scored 82 runs in May. In two games against Seattle they scored 37.
22

59

58

55.9

49.0

49.1

.455

.475

0.0%

7.0%

7.1%

2.1%

3.2%

Trevor Plouffe leads baseball with 23 GIDPs on the season, three more than Billy Butler and the exact amount Plouffe hit into in 2013 and 2014 combined. Thatís not funny but it is weird!
23

55

60

50.2

50.4

51.5

.450

.470

0.0%

2.9%

2.9%

1.0%

1.7%

Chris Sale struck out 15 Cubs in seven innings, which is the baseball equivalent of reenacting the scene from Ferris Buellerís Day Off where the parking lot attendants jump over the camera in a í63 Ferrari.
24

51

65

52.7

56.5

56.3

.467

.447

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In his last 30 games Joey Vottoís OBP is .563. In their last 30 games the Reds are 12-18.
25

47

70

52.4

55.1

55.0

.448

.428

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Blue Jays have 123 more extra-base hits than the Marlins. Thatís terrible!
26

56

62

52.7

50.6

51.0

.446

.426

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.2%

To have an all presidents rotation, the Padres need to re-sign Ian Kennedy, trade for Madison Bumgarner and Brad Lincoln, move Kevin Quackenbush to the rotation, and get Tyson Ross to change his name to Rutherford B. Hayes.
27

51

68

53.1

50.2

50.6

.430

.411

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

[deleted for lack of interest]
28

53

64

50.0

48.5

48.2

.427

.407

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Sundayís Braves lineup went Michael Bourn, Cameron Maybin, Nick Markakis. Itís the Island of Other Teamís Outfielders! Coming this fall to ABC!
29

48

68

49.4

48.0

47.0

.415

.395

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

When you plot the Rockies playoff odds they look like the Great Plains.
30

46

72

42.9

41.7

41.5

.364

.346

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Phillies havenít traded Chase Utley yet. Once they thought they did but they forgot to press ďsend.Ē

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


7 comments have been left for this article.
mockcarr

The Nats certainly could use some advice from the "wise old owl". Just what is Davey Johnson doing right now, anyway?

Aug 17, 2015 09:09 AM
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mockcarr

The Nats certainly could use some advice from the "wise old owl". Just what is Davey Johnson doing right now, anyway?

Aug 17, 2015 09:10 AM
up_image

-1

down_image
 
mockcarr

The Nats certainly could use some advice from the "wise old owl". Just what is Davey Johnson doing right now, anyway?

Aug 17, 2015 09:10 AM
up_image

-1

down_image
 
anderson721

Only 123 more? I find that hard to believe.

Aug 17, 2015 10:02 AM
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down_image
 
BP staff member Matt Kory

It's true! 393-270

http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/sortable.jsp#elem=%5Bobject+Object%5D&tab_level=child&click_text=Sortable+Team+hitting&game_type='R'&season=2015&season_type=ANY&league_code='MLB'§ionType=st&statType=hitting&page=1&ts=1439832782093&sortColumn=xbh&sortOrder='desc'&extended=1

Aug 17, 2015 10:32 AM
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0

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mockcarr

The Nats certainly could use some advice from the "wise old owl". Just what is Davey Johnson doing right now, anyway?

Aug 17, 2015 11:18 AM
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-2

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therealn0d

Have you developed a stand up routine yet, Matthew?

Aug 17, 2015 11:53 AM
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0

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