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Prospectus Hit List for August 5



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for August 3 Hit List for August 7
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

There's nothing left to dooooooooooo, but Hiiiiiiiiiiit Liiiiiiiiist.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

60

48

63.1

65.0

65.3

.587

.606

72.7%

19.0%

91.8%

-1.4%

5.5%

Jose Altuve has been intentionally walked seven times--that, or the pitcher and catcher were merely playing "keep away" with him.
2

60

45

59.6

61.5

60.5

.575

.595

77.9%

16.7%

94.7%

1.4%

0.2%

It took a while for the lazy susan of lazy criticism on the Yankees to land back on "this lineup is just good because it's full of overpaid free agents," but here we are again.
3

67

39

66.6

61.5

61.1

.604

.585

86.6%

12.9%

99.5%

-0.2%

-0.3%

Imagine how flustered Randy Choate gets when the pizza delivery guy shows up and is right-handed.
4

56

52

65.1

61.6

61.2

.565

.584

16.5%

48.3%

64.7%

4.9%

27.4%

Blue Jays fans haven't been this excited since the proposed parliament bill declaring ice as legal tender.
5

63

42

59.6

55.8

56.4

.559

.579

98.2%

0.8%

98.9%

0.4%

-0.3%

Just to make sure Yordano Ventura left Canada with no northern friends, he was heard disparaging the entire series of SCTV, calling it "derivative" and "for children."
6

60

46

60.3

66.7

65.1

.595

.575

82.4%

9.7%

92.1%

-2.3%

1.8%

You might wonder what Joel Peralta was doing on the mound in a high leverage situation. You might think, "rehab game in the minors." And yes, it was against the Phillies, but...
7

56

50

57.9

55.3

56.1

.531

.551

23.9%

37.2%

61.1%

-6.4%

-21.0%

CJ Wilson is going to get a second opinion about his elbow. He didn't like the first one, which just stated "bumpy."
8

54

52

58.4

55.1

55.2

.525

.545

2.8%

18.7%

21.5%

-3.4%

1.3%

Mychal Givens has been impressing the Orioles with his sidearm delivery out of the bullpen. If they keep calling sidewinding righties up they may need to name the bullpen The Darren O'Week.
9

48

60

58.1

58.3

58.8

.517

.537

0.1%

0.8%

0.9%

0.2%

-0.9%

If the season's over, then it's time to bring up some more young players and see which of them they can trade away in a couple years.
10

58

48

59.2

58.7

57.6

.551

.531

17.0%

31.0%

48.0%

6.1%

-15.2%

Last night, Jeremy Affeldt collected his first win since last year's Game 7 of the World Series, but we're a fickle society and don't count those, so his last "real" win was some August game against the Phillies.
11

54

54

52.9

55.2

55.5

.504

.524

2.7%

20.5%

23.2%

5.4%

1.9%

Richie Shaffer hit his first career home run, but he's a third baseman for the Rays so let's fire up the Evan Longoria trade rumor contraption.
12

61

44

58.0

55.4

53.8

.543

.523

8.5%

66.8%

75.3%

-5.4%

-9.7%

We may not know what J.A. stands for, but HAPP is also an acronym for "He's a Pittsburgh Pirate!?"
13

49

57

48.6

56.7

57.8

.500

.520

0.5%

5.9%

6.4%

2.5%

3.8%

Having Lonnie Chisenhall play right field every day is clearly a experiment by two graduate students at Case Western Reserve who are testing the theory that Lonnie Chisenhall can probably play right field every day.
14

58

47

53.9

57.5

57.0

.539

.519

4.9%

63.4%

68.3%

2.5%

27.2%

Only twice has Jake Arrieta not pitched into the sixth inning, and he hasn't allowed more than four runs in any start. (Note: this will probably be Tommy Hunter in a couple years.)
15

55

50

55.6

56.4

55.1

.529

.509

45.3%

7.5%

52.8%

0.2%

-17.8%

This surprising slump is so unlike the Nationals. Usually they make the playoffs then lose a bunch in a row.
16

57

50

55.1

55.4

55.6

.521

.501

54.7%

6.1%

60.8%

1.1%

16.6%

Unbridled and totally warranted excitement for Mets fans! This has never gone wrong!
17

51

55

49.2

50.9

51.1

.477

.497

0.7%

5.8%

6.4%

-1.2%

-5.8%

Now that he was "released from his contract," Dave Dombrowski has plenty of time to do what he's always loved: grifting beachfront tourists at three-card monte.
18

50

58

48.2

51.2

53.0

.468

.488

0.6%

3.0%

3.6%

0.8%

1.1%

Jesus Montero's persistence proves the old adage, "jokes about ice cream sandwiches come and go, but hard work lasts forever." (Note: this adage is said while smiling thinking about the ice cream sandwich incident.)
19

53

53

49.1

47.6

48.7

.468

.488

2.6%

10.8%

13.4%

1.8%

8.8%

In Adrian Beltre's first career cycle, he faced Matt Harrison. In Beltre's second cycle, Harrison pitched as a teammate. For his third one, Harrison had already been traded, so there is no pattern.
20

54

52

52.1

45.4

44.9

.463

.483

0.5%

9.2%

9.7%

-3.1%

-15.8%

So far Torii Hunter has all the RBIs for the Twins in this Blue Jays series, because RBIs only come to those who remember when Welcome Back Kotter was on the air.
21

51

54

52.9

52.6

52.7

.498

.478

0.2%

1.0%

1.3%

-0.5%

-2.0%

Paul Goldschmidt had his first 0-for-4, four-strikeout game, four years apart, has done it against four different teams, and his team scored four runs last night. All four naught, if you ask me.
22

47

60

45.8

47.8

48.2

.441

.461

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.3%

-0.4%

You can't point the finger at any one pitcher in last night's 13-3 loss, since all five pitchers gave up at least one run, but I suppose you can point a finger to each of those pitchers, although it'll look strange.
23

50

55

44.6

44.9

45.5

.440

.460

0.2%

3.1%

3.3%

-1.6%

-5.8%

Chris Sale has now allowed 14 combined runs in his last two starts. last year he allowed 14 combined runs in his first nine starts.
24

48

56

47.5

51.7

50.8

.476

.456

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.2%

I'm not sure what it means when Brayan Pena is second on the team in on-base percentage, but one possibility is that Brayan Pena hid first base in his home.
25

52

55

48.6

46.7

47.7

.456

.436

0.4%

1.6%

1.9%

-1.2%

0.8%

Bringing in Marc Rzepczynski to replace Kevin Quackenbush really takes some verisimilitude and perspicacity.
26

43

64

47.6

50.0

49.9

.445

.425

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.4%

Casey McGehee is another stern reminder that maybe you don't go back to the well a second time and hope it all works out.
27

44

61

45.8

45.4

45.0

.429

.410

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Todd Helton retired, and yet "Todd Helton" is still a high percentage guess for who the current Rockies first baseman is.
28

45

63

47.4

45.5

45.8

.425

.406

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Preston Guilmet gave up six runs in an inning of relief Monday, in case you were wondering why he was available on waivers in the first place.
29

48

59

45.6

43.6

43.4

.422

.403

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.6%

This is still the best lineup in baseball, provided the year is 1997 and you just have the 1997 lineup instead of whatever you call this thing where Chris Johnson bats cleanup.
30

42

65

40.1

38.5

38.3

.371

.353

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

I have asked several clergymen if it's still ethical to make fun of the Phillies after they've won so many games in the second half. All I gathered from these questions is that clergymen are now ignoring me at the highest rate in history.