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Prospectus Hit List for April 6



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for September 29 Hit List for April 8
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

And so this is Hit List, and what have you done? Another year over, and a new one just begun.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

1

0

1.0

0.9

0.9

.751

.736

48.7%

17.8%

66.5%

0.0%

0.0%

The breakout pitcher for this year's Cardinals is someone you've never heard of, isn't on the roster, and hasn't even played baseball yet. He's a 78-year-old man from rural Illinois, but watch it all work out.
2

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.605

.586

74.9%

14.5%

89.4%

0.0%

0.0%

If Joc Pederson is going to fit in with this new Dodgers outfield, he better develop a quirk that stands out. Puig has the bat flips. Carl Crawford has the bad contract. Andre Ethier has the even worse contract. May I suggest balloon animals?
3

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.563

.583

47.0%

22.9%

69.9%

0.0%

0.0%

We have to wonder if the Angels would be this adamant to suspend one of their own high-paid player if, suppose, they discovered C.J. Wilson was addicted to HGTV renovation shows.
4

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.542

.562

38.5%

20.4%

58.8%

0.0%

0.0%

Two-part question: How many weeks until 42-year-old Jason Varitek is considered a viable option at catcher this year? And is it over or under the line for David Ortiz, starting catcher?
5

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.537

.557

32.2%

22.4%

54.6%

0.0%

0.0%

No Maddon, no Friedman, no Price or Zobrist, but none of that matters. Rays fans typically go to Opening Day to enjoy their beautiful ballpark.
6

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.537

.557

26.9%

24.1%

51.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Fernando Rodney purchased a 50-pack of invisible arrows on Amazon and he's really hoping they arrive to the clubhouse in time, or this season could get awkward.
7

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.568

.548

62.4%

15.0%

77.4%

0.0%

0.0%

Indirectly, according to the BP season preview, the most likely person to earn a second consecutive World Series ring is Dan Uggla. We are intelligent.
8

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.518

.538

15.4%

21.1%

36.5%

0.0%

0.0%

Barry Zito will start in the minors, but he'll eventually make the A's bullpen as soon as he teaches the Triple-A pitching staff at least three chords.
9

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.511

.531

39.8%

9.0%

48.9%

0.0%

0.0%

This year the Comerica Park bullpen will be converted into a pizza parlor, that way everything that comes out of it will be something everyone can enjoy.
10

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.496

.516

11.5%

14.7%

26.2%

0.0%

0.0%

Good for Marcus Stroman to get his degree from Duke while he recovers from a torn ACL. When he comes back next year he'll have fully learned how to get every umpire call go his way.
11

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.494

.514

27.9%

9.2%

37.2%

0.0%

0.0%

Expect a banner year for Ryan Raburn defensive mishaps. He's been working all offseason on this and there should be some high-volume Vines of them.
12

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.491

.511

9.8%

12.0%

21.8%

0.0%

0.0%

You know what would be really helpful with all these new Yankees players? Names on jerseys.
13

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.488

.508

6.1%

11.2%

17.4%

0.0%

0.0%

Last year we found learned that sometimes a team just falls apart and all it takes is for everybody on the roster to get injured.
14

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.527

.507

12.8%

27.0%

39.7%

0.0%

0.0%

AJ Preller has traded this comment to the Braves for outfielder and long-lost brother Zeppo Upton.
15

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.485

.505

8.1%

10.5%

18.6%

0.0%

0.0%

"Time for us to once again prove the critics wrong," the Orioles said, as they pencilled Caleb Joseph's name into the Opening Day lineup.
16

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.484

.504

20.8%

7.8%

28.6%

0.0%

0.0%

Another designated hitter named Adam. Hey, it worked out last time!
17

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.519

.499

10.7%

25.9%

36.7%

0.0%

0.0%

Sure, Casey McGehee isn't Pablo Sandoval. Or Joe Panik. Or Bengie Molina. Or Will Clark. Or former presidential candidate Adlai Stevenson. I really forget where was going with this.
18

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.478

.498

4.6%

9.1%

13.6%

0.0%

0.0%

Among the quieter storylines was how Jose Altuve grew several inches this offseason, now stands at 6'4", sprouted fur, grew an extra set of ears and never mind that's Orbit.
19

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.510

.490

19.9%

18.4%

38.3%

0.0%

0.0%

"I got it." --Juan Lagares, on every dang outfield fly ball this year
20

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.501

.481

14.2%

15.2%

29.3%

0.0%

0.0%

Technically, Jarred Cosart wasn't fined for gambling on other sports. Rather, he bet money that MLB wouldn't find out he made bets on other sports, and took the points.
21

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.500

.480

12.6%

14.1%

26.7%

0.0%

0.0%

"It's been three years since our team hasn't made the playoffs," the nihilist Pirates fan said mournfully.
22

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.498

.478

11.5%

14.1%

25.6%

0.0%

0.0%

Now this is how you do an offseason: 1. Trade for Adam Lind; 2. Three months in Bora Bora.
23

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.449

.469

7.3%

3.4%

10.7%

0.0%

0.0%

Since he led them to the World Series, it's probably fair to establish a moratorium on Ned Yost bunt jokes. So we'll sacrifice this comment and move the other comments up.
24

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.433

.453

4.2%

2.1%

6.2%

0.0%

0.0%

This was not the right year, especially for Ervin Santana, for Minnesota county fairs to begin featuring fried stanozolol on a stick.
25

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.470

.451

5.6%

6.6%

12.2%

0.0%

0.0%

So they trade away a couple marquee starting pitchers and are left with Jason Marquis in the rotation. The new market inefficiency is homophones.
26

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.444

.425

2.3%

4.4%

6.7%

0.0%

0.0%

Until yesterday, Braves fans were merely speaking in hyperbole when they said the team traded away everyone and their brother.
27

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.443

.424

1.0%

3.8%

4.8%

0.0%

0.0%

Releasing Cody Ross was a surprise, as he was owed $9.5 million, but the Diamondbacks chose to do this once they learned "eating a contract" wasn't a literal concept.
28

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.439

.419

0.6%

2.8%

3.4%

0.0%

0.0%

And so begins the LaTroy Hawkins retirement tour. He's going to get so many candles and Hillshire Farms gift baskets.
29

0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

.420

.400

1.2%

1.5%

2.7%

0.0%

0.0%

It's not a stretch to say Ben Revere could lead the Philies outfield in home runs, especially if you modify the definition of home run to include singles.
30

0

1

0.0

0.1

0.1

.285

.269

21.5%

19.1%

40.6%

0.0%

0.0%

Maybe next year.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


5 comments have been left for this article.
Shaun P.

Huzzah! Oh, happy day! The Hit List is back to make us laugh!

Apr 06, 2015 08:24 AM
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+3

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LoyalRoyal

The Dukie comment was priceless. 2nd Shaun's comment above. Cheers

Apr 06, 2015 10:29 AM
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+1

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jonsieg

Seeing a new Hit List makes Opening Day feel real. Hooray Hit List! Baseball is back!

Also - HAH re: the Rays

Apr 06, 2015 12:00 PM
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0

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mhmckay

LOL at the Cubs -- talk about a strong finish!

Apr 07, 2015 08:06 AM
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0

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lonechicken

I feel like Homer Bailey can somehow be worked into the Reds' caption.

LaTroy will only get to hold the candles and Hillshire Farms gift baskets for an inning, before someone with more of a "closer's mentality" comes in to replace him.

Welcome back. One of those columns that can often be read long after its release.

Apr 08, 2015 08:49 AM
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0

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