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Prospectus Hit List for August 20



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for August 18 Hit List for August 22
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

My anaconda don't want none unless you got puns hun.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

74

51

80.3

78.4

77.8

.621

.640

42.6%

56.4%

99.0%

0.1%

-0.9%

Sure, Yoenis Cespedes hopes the A’s win it all, but he also hopes everyone wins it all because Yoenis Cespedes is full of love, nothing but love.
2

74

50

71.6

76.3

75.6

.600

.619

56.5%

42.8%

99.4%

-0.3%

0.4%

If Albert Pujols’s OBP stays where it is (.329) it’ll be the sixth straight season it has dropped and I don’t mean that in an ‘awesome album release’ way.
3

68

57

74.6

72.6

72.4

.575

.595

0.8%

47.1%

47.9%

3.9%

1.7%

Hisashi Iwakuma’s line last night (eight innings, four hits, 11 strikeouts, no walks, no runs) was so good it was like he was pitching against the Mariners.
4

72

52

69.2

68.0

68.4

.560

.579

96.0%

1.1%

97.1%

1.6%

5.4%

The Orioles' lead in the AL East has grown to 8.5 games and with each game it makes baseball analysts dumber.
5

71

53

73.6

72.8

72.0

.583

.564

95.0%

3.6%

98.7%

0.2%

5.3%

Not only have the Nationals won eight in a row but this month will mark the 15th straight month a National has been on the cover of the Nationals Scorecard!
6

67

56

65.3

66.8

65.8

.538

.558

39.6%

23.1%

62.7%

1.4%

-3.9%

Things Max Scherzer has done over 200 times this season: 1) put a twizzler in Miguel Cabrera’s butt crack, 2) send 50 pizzas to the opposing bullpen, 3) strike a hitter out.
7

61

64

64.9

69.1

69.1

.528

.548

0.6%

0.9%

1.5%

-1.2%

-2.5%

By WARP Heath Bell and Wil Myers have helped the Rays equally at the plate.
8

71

56

69.5

72.9

71.4

.561

.541

89.4%

8.8%

98.2%

0.3%

-1.2%

Over his last 10 games Carl Crawford is hitting .394, which is still more than half his OPS this season.
9

70

55

66.3

60.4

61.7

.517

.537

57.3%

18.0%

75.3%

0.3%

22.5%

The Royals won last night as Alex Gordon went 0-for-5 with three strikeouts and was the game’s MVP, say defensive metrics.
10

63

61

63.6

63.2

62.4

.509

.529

3.1%

4.7%

7.8%

0.6%

-2.3%

The Indians used eight pitchers last night. Trevor Bauer threw 4.1 innings and the other seven threw an inning or less. Every pitcher got a win, a hold, or a save. Except Bauer.
11

64

62

63.4

64.4

63.8

.507

.527

1.3%

2.6%

3.9%

-2.7%

-13.8%

If we could pause this Blue Jays season at the happiest possible point, it would be a year and a half ago.
12

71

55

68.4

66.9

66.7

.542

.522

63.4%

30.4%

93.7%

2.7%

14.6%

The Brewers keep winning which just shows their hatred for the truth.
13

65

59

65.8

66.1

65.3

.526

.506

10.6%

43.7%

54.3%

-8.4%

-1.9%

The Giants have 76 errors, 77 if you count the Tim Lincecum extension.
14

68

57

61.8

65.0

64.9

.519

.499

34.1%

43.3%

77.4%

6.3%

26.4%

The Cardinals have three players with an OPS of .800 or above. One is Audry Perez who walked in his only plate appearance this season, one is Seth Maness, a reliever, and the last is Matt Adams. Give thanks for Matt Adams!
15

63

60

57.0

56.8

57.5

.476

.496

2.1%

3.3%

5.4%

-3.5%

-5.9%

The Yankees could still make the playoffs, but does any Yankee fan really want to watch Chris Capuano start Derek Jeter’s last game?
16

64

62

62.3

64.9

66.0

.510

.490

2.4%

18.6%

21.0%

-7.3%

-45.7%

Andrew McCutchen came back from the DL and he’s an MVP candidate, but he’s also a Pirate. They lost and he went 0-for-4.
17

66

60

64.8

62.6

62.8

.508

.488

4.8%

42.1%

46.8%

8.3%

26.0%

Half game out of the Wild Card race, the Braves have to not Loooooooo-oooo-ooooooose many more games.
18

55

69

57.2

57.1

56.9

.456

.476

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Joe Mauer has 90 hits this season and 112 of them are singles.
19

61

65

65.0

61.5

62.1

.495

.475

0.1%

2.4%

2.5%

-3.1%

-20.1%

J.J. Hoover got the loss last night and he… no… no, I can’t.
20

59

67

56.2

56.0

55.7

.450

.470

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.5%

Adam Dunn, who went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts, is threatening retirement. I don’t know who put him up to this but I will hunt you!
21

56

69

55.9

56.1

56.7

.449

.469

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

By WARP, Yoenis Cespedes and Joe Kelly have been equally valuable hitters for the Red Sox.
22

63

62

59.7

59.8

59.2

.483

.463

0.2%

6.4%

6.6%

1.2%

-0.8%

Rumor has it the Marlins are going to try to extend Giancarlo Stanton, a medieval punishment presumably for refusing to sign a new contract with Miami.
23

55

70

57.2

62.3

62.1

.473

.453

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

No Cubs comment today because I’ve been mistakenly covered in plastic tarp by the Cubs grounds crew and mmmmph rrrrmmmph mmuuurrmph /dies
24

58

66

60.5

57.1

57.2

.469

.449

0.0%

0.5%

0.5%

-0.0%

-0.8%

Seth Smith has the tenth highest OPS in baseball for all of you people with serious gambling problems.
25

53

73

53.7

53.9

55.6

.429

.449

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

There have been 24 games out of the 122 he’s played in where Jose Altuve hasn’t got a hit. The Astros are 5-19 in those games. Altuve for MVP!
26

59

68

62.2

57.7

57.5

.466

.446

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.1%

-1.7%

The Mets are the worst hitting team in baseball by OPS. The Padres are worse but they’re not a “hitting team” in baseball.
27

55

71

54.4

55.2

56.0

.438

.418

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

Fixing the Phillies in three steps: 1) Sign Rusney Castillo, 2) trade Castillo and Ryan Howard for Mike Trout, 3) fix the rest of the team!
28

49

76

56.0

58.2

55.7

.435

.415

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Now the Rockies don’t have any good players, so… did you see Breaking Bad? That was crazy!!
29

48

77

48.5

46.4

48.4

.383

.402

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Houston is the only team with a worse OPS from first base (.617) than the Rangers (.649) this season but don’t worry, Ranger fans, Mike Carp and his .470 OPS are on the case!
30

53

73

52.4

52.9

52.5

.418

.399

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

How bad are the Diamondbacks? They’re so bad that when they sit around the house they sit arouuuuuund the house! Because they’re so bad!

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
Llarry

So Matt, what did JJ Hoover do?

Did he dress in drag? No, wait, that was J. Edgar Hoover...

Did he attend a toga party? No, that was Hoover in Animal House...

Did he say "Dy-no-mite!!"? Well, I suppose he might have...but that was JJ on 'Good Times'.

So what did he do, Matt? What did he do? (ducks as Matt throws something through the internet...)

Aug 20, 2014 15:10 PM
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Pernellius

I propose there be a column written for those of us with serious gambling problems

Aug 22, 2014 08:01 AM
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