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Prospectus Hit List for August 6



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for August 4 Hit List for August 8
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Javier Baez is in the league and nothing will ever be the same, except the Hit List.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

69

43

74.1

71.7

71.1

.638

.656

60.6%

39.3%

99.9%

-0.0%

0.0%

Despite four walks and only two strikeouts, Jason Hammel pitched 5.2 scoreless innings. Thanks, Rays offense! Hope to see you in October!
2

67

45

65.5

69.9

69.4

.607

.626

39.3%

60.5%

99.8%

-0.1%

0.5%

Mike Trout crushed one on the ground to third, where Juan Uribe dove, jumped up and threw perfectly to first. Everything happened as quickly as possible and Trout still beat it out. This is your daily Mike Trout Is Incredible verification.
3

62

48

60.2

61.2

60.1

.554

.573

85.4%

6.0%

91.3%

2.8%

2.6%

On the season, David Price has given up 22 home runs and 23 walks. But one was intentional.
4

58

54

62.9

62.1

61.8

.547

.566

0.1%

23.3%

23.4%

5.1%

-2.0%

Mock the Mariners lineup choices, but they’ve got the best defensive efficiency in baseball so at least these guys can do something useful, if not hit.
5

64

48

60.4

58.9

59.4

.542

.561

76.2%

11.2%

87.4%

6.0%

16.2%

The Orioles are in first place and Chris Davis has a sub-.700 OPS, would be the answer to the question, “Orioles fans, name where the Orioles will finish and then add ‘and Chris Davis has a sub-.700 OPS’ to the end of it.”
6

60

54

59.6

59.6

59.4

.523

.543

14.0%

18.4%

32.4%

-6.3%

-16.7%

Last night Mark Buehrle was a thick tetanus needle in the hands of a very skilled nurse. It hurt a lot, but it was over quickly.
7

60

51

63.8

63.2

62.5

.562

.542

83.0%

4.3%

87.2%

-2.1%

1.5%

Asdrubal Cabrera went 1-for-3 with a single last night. [marks “Washington” in “Deadline Winners” column]
8

64

50

62.6

64.4

62.7

.556

.537

76.4%

20.4%

96.8%

1.4%

0.7%

Carl Crawford has a .610 OPS and is owed about a million dollars for each point of his lousy OPS.
9

54

59

55.9

61.3

61.6

.515

.535

1.6%

2.6%

4.2%

-2.1%

-11.2%

If you’re wondering why Rays starters have generated just 35 double plays, the lowest in baseball by eight and 38 behind the leader, it’s because two outs is seven percent and that’s five more than what’s allowed.
10

57

56

58.2

57.4

57.2

.508

.528

5.2%

11.0%

16.2%

-3.0%

3.6%

David Murphy mistook a ball that escaped from the Reds' bullpen to be the ball in play. It was not and he was tagged out. Sometimes baseball writes jokes you can’t improve on.
11

58

53

56.6

52.0

53.7

.496

.516

9.1%

15.6%

24.7%

3.5%

12.5%

The Royals are 14-4 when they homer twice (like last night) and 44-49 when they don’t. At least that trade deadline is coming up soon!
12

61

52

60.8

61.2

60.4

.535

.515

23.5%

52.7%

76.2%

-3.1%

15.7%

When Pablo Sandoval homered, Giants radio said “Panda does it again” so I looked again but I didn’t see him eating a cupcake.
13

62

51

59.8

59.1

58.6

.530

.510

33.4%

35.5%

68.9%

6.0%

9.6%

Carlos Gomez has so many different things that he taps and touches and points to after homering you’d think he was sponsored. “That double tap to the heart is brought to you by Hallmark!” “That’s right, Bill. And there’s the Bayer slight head flip to the side!”
14

60

51

55.9

58.9

58.7

.526

.506

44.4%

25.2%

69.6%

4.4%

8.7%

A.J. Pierzynski scored the winning run against Boston a month after he was DFA’d. That is some high quality Alanis Morissette-grade irony right there, I think, though I'm not sure I understand irony or Alanis Morissette.
15

58

54

52.9

52.8

53.5

.485

.505

8.3%

10.8%

19.0%

-4.9%

-2.3%

Brian McCann has 10 of his 12 homers at home this year because he can’t handle the pressure of New York keep reading keep reading don’t go back next comment!
16

59

53

56.7

58.4

59.0

.520

.500

16.1%

28.1%

44.1%

-7.4%

-9.4%

Pedro Alvarez’s throwing problems are clearly an attempt to scientifically study how bad a player who hits home runs can be in every other phase of the game and still start. The data says: Not this bad.
17

51

60

52.3

52.3

52.1

.468

.488

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.0%

-0.3%

Josh Willingham’s isolated patience is 140 points. In real world terms, that’s waiting until his attacker knifes him and runs off with his wallet before sitting down and thinking, “Hmmm…now what’s the best way to approach this?”
18

55

59

53.0

52.7

52.5

.468

.487

0.2%

1.2%

1.4%

-1.0%

-2.3%

The White Sox lost 16-0 so they could give us the wonder that is Adam Dunn, major-league pitcher. That’s called taking one for the team, folks, and I for one am standing to applaud.
19

57

56

58.7

56.7

56.9

.507

.487

6.2%

15.7%

21.9%

3.3%

4.8%

Johnny Cueto has an ERA 0.22 higher than Clayton Kershaw but in 43 more innings so get those second-place votes ready!
20

58

55

57.3

55.5

54.8

.499

.479

13.8%

13.4%

27.2%

-4.5%

-31.5%

Seven straight losses? Don’t let it get you down, Atlanta! Be brave! [giggles]
21

49

63

49.5

51.0

51.5

.449

.469

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.5%

Yoenis Cespedes had three hits. Unfortunately the Red Sox weren’t able to trade for the rest of the Oakland lineup at the deadline so they lost anyway.
22

54

59

57.3

53.6

53.0

.482

.462

1.3%

1.5%

2.8%

0.7%

0.1%

Rumors says Bartolo Colon wasn’t very desirable at the trade deadline. Didn’t they see his helmet fall off when he batted? And people bring children into this world.
23

55

57

53.5

53.0

52.5

.478

.458

1.9%

2.8%

4.7%

1.5%

-0.5%

With last night’s win the 55-57 Marlins are still in it, by which I mean professional baseball.
24

48

63

51.3

54.9

54.5

.470

.450

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

0.0%

The Javier Baez Era began with a game-winning home run so it’s only going downhill from here, Cubs fans.
25

47

66

47.1

46.5

49.1

.419

.439

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

When I heard “J. Buchanan” came out of the Astros bullpen last night, I assumed Houston’s marketing department had hit another home run with Exhume A President And Use Him In Long Relief Night.
26

51

61

53.0

49.9

49.9

.455

.435

0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

0.0%

0.2%

The Padres used Blaine Boyer and Dale Thayer out of the bullpen, which kinda seems like a middle finger to Jed Hoyer. Doesn't it, or am I too sensitive?
27

50

63

48.2

49.2

49.8

.436

.417

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Ryan Howard went 2-for-6 with a homer to raise his slugging percentage from [cries] to [laughs] ([cries]).
28

44

68

49.9

51.3

49.6

.432

.412

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Brett Anderson had to leave last night’s game after three innings when his back “locked up” and he couldn’t find the key.
29

44

69

44.7

42.7

44.5

.389

.409

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Winning 16-0 must have felt good for the Rangers, who are 44-69. So much for feeling good.
30

49

64

47.2

47.8

47.6

.424

.404

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

The Diamondbacks now have nothing left to play for… except PAIN! [cue wrestling theme song]

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
50cubs

Javier Baez today: TWO home runs! They tried to jam him and he hit over the left field wall. They tried a slider low and away and he hit it out to right. He drove in 4 in a 6-2 win. Maybe there's still a little uphill there.

Aug 07, 2014 21:38 PM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Here's hoping!

Aug 09, 2014 17:25 PM
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