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Prospectus Hit List for July 28



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 24 Hit List for July 30
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's Monday! It's a Monday Hit List! Read the Monday Hit List!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

65

39

70.0

67.4

66.9

.647

.665

61.3%

38.6%

99.9%

0.1%

0.3%

The A’s have scored the most runs in baseball and are the most efficient defensive team in the American League. Better hope they don’t trade for any pitching!
2

63

41

61.5

66.2

65.3

.615

.634

38.6%

61.1%

99.7%

0.3%

0.3%

Do you think when one of his teammates homers Mike Trout thinks "I could’ve hit that"?
3

57

45

55.5

56.4

55.6

.550

.570

86.5%

4.3%

90.8%

-1.2%

1.0%

[looks at Justin Verlander’s stats] They’re going to have to put a contract extension expiration countdown clock on the exterior of Comerica Park, aren’t they?
4

54

51

58.7

58.4

57.8

.545

.565

0.1%

23.0%

23.1%

-3.1%

-18.3%

Hisashi Iwakuma has pitched 111 innings and walked eight and one of them was Derek Jeter. Where was Erin Andrews on this?
5

57

45

59.7

58.9

58.5

.574

.554

77.8%

12.3%

90.1%

1.1%

5.9%

Crazy Fister trade update now: Doug Fister has a 2.69 ERA in 90 innings for Washington. Robby Ray has a 3.60 ERA in 85 innings for Detroit, well, actually Toledo.
6

58

46

55.2

53.5

53.7

.530

.550

52.9%

17.7%

70.6%

7.6%

17.5%

The Orioles are in first place. The last time they won the AL East was 1997. That was so long ago a different guy was president and gas cost some amount less!
7

59

47

59.2

61.3

59.5

.564

.544

73.1%

20.6%

93.7%

0.9%

5.9%

The Dodgers are reportedly willing to trade Matt Kemp which, considering his contract, recent comportment, injury history, and production, is like saying you’re willing to trade the flu.
8

56

50

55.4

55.3

55.3

.524

.544

26.0%

15.2%

41.2%

6.3%

7.3%

The Blue Jays end a 17-game losing streak in New York but then they ate dinner at Guy Fieri’s American Kitchen and Bar so losing streak back on.
9

51

54

52.0

57.0

56.6

.516

.536

5.3%

5.6%

10.9%

-4.6%

2.2%

After Ortiz pimped his homer some said, “Now the Rays won’t invite Ortiz to their Christmas party” which is funny because yesterday’s game was the Rays’ ‘Christmas at the Trop’ promotion.
10

52

53

53.1

53.1

53.1

.503

.523

6.5%

11.0%

17.5%

4.2%

-9.5%

Carlos Santana’s OPS by month (beginning in March): .200, .610, .688, 1.015, 1.067
11

59

47

56.2

55.8

55.1

.533

.513

37.1%

28.3%

65.4%

-7.4%

18.2%

Of the 324 times Mark Reynolds has come to the plate this season, 200 of them have not ended in a walk, strikeout, or homer. Aging is a brutal master.
12

56

48

53.3

56.0

56.1

.532

.512

42.4%

21.9%

64.3%

5.0%

-3.6%

We’re two games in and A.J. Pierzynski is hitting .500/.500/.625 and yes I think Voodoo is a logical explanation.
13

57

48

56.1

55.8

55.0

.529

.509

26.9%

43.0%

69.9%

-4.1%

-3.7%

The best thing about the Giants signing Dan Uggla is that one day they will cut Dan Uggla and that day will be awesome.
14

53

51

51.9

47.7

49.1

.485

.505

5.9%

10.3%

16.1%

-3.3%

5.8%

Carlos Santana hit five homers in three games against Royal pitching but not royal pitching.
15

57

48

55.3

53.7

53.3

.522

.502

21.0%

33.9%

54.9%

3.3%

-10.4%

With three new Hall of Famers, yesterday was a great day for Atlanta fans to celebrate in Cooperstown. See how they were able to do that without humiliating Native Americans with fake war chants?
16

54

50

48.9

48.4

49.5

.482

.502

15.3%

9.9%

25.2%

-5.9%

-3.7%

Know who is first in groundball outs made? Not Derek Jeter! (He’s fifth.)
17

51

55

51.2

50.6

50.3

.479

.499

0.9%

2.1%

3.1%

-0.9%

0.8%

Rookie catcher Adrian Nieto hit his first major-league home run yesterday, putting him only 520 behind Hall of Famer Frank Thomas.
18

55

49

51.8

53.8

54.7

.518

.498

15.3%

24.3%

39.7%

4.8%

1.2%

Josh Harrison has beaten two long rundowns this season by sprinting back and forth seemingly for hours but if you think that’s crazy you should see Harrison comparison shop at the local auto mall.
19

48

57

48.6

50.0

50.3

.469

.489

0.6%

0.9%

1.5%

0.2%

-3.3%

David Ortiz took 28 minutes to get around the bases after a third-inning homer, or maybe my computer froze.
20

52

52

53.0

51.0

51.5

.499

.479

5.1%

11.2%

16.3%

-5.0%

-16.2%

I checked his line in the box score and Billy Hamilton went 0-for-4, then I checked to see if he stole any bases anyway because if anyone could…
21

47

57

47.5

47.3

47.2

.454

.474

0.2%

0.2%

0.4%

0.2%

-0.5%

Three more yesterday and now Oswaldo Arcia is striking out 30 percent of the time but 30 is the new 20 so nice job on keeping the Ks down, Oswaldo!
22

50

55

53.1

51.3

50.9

.489

.469

0.6%

1.9%

2.5%

0.4%

0.6%

Trading Bartolo Colon would be a good idea except the shipping charges are going to be really expensive.
23

51

53

49.7

48.8

48.3

.475

.455

0.5%

2.3%

2.9%

0.9%

2.3%

The Marlins have as many extra-base hits as the Yankees. Unfortunately for the Marlins the Yankees have one fewer than the Royals.
24

42

61

45.9

48.9

48.5

.450

.430

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

The Cubs have the second best first baseman in baseball by BWARP. I mention this because contrary to some reports there might be some competition for the 2017 World Series.
25

43

61

47.6

49.0

47.2

.446

.426

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Trading Troy Tulowitzki is a good idea because clearly the Rockies don’t have a use for good players.
26

42

63

41.1

42.1

44.6

.404

.424

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

The Astros players are upset Mark Appel was allowed to throw in Minute Maid Park, presumably because mound cooties are contagious.
27

46

59

46.0

45.4

46.2

.437

.418

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

Ryne Sandberg has essentially stated Ryan Howard isn’t his type of player, leaving open the possibility that Sandberg prefers good players, which makes you wonder why he agreed to manage the Phillies.
28

46

58

46.9

43.1

43.1

.431

.411

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Make fun of the Padres for bringing up and playing Jeff Francoeur, but first note that in 15 plate appearances he’s walked three times. Now you can go back to making fun of them.
29

45

60

45.0

45.3

45.2

.430

.410

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.1%

MLB might look to amend the blocking the plate rule after Miguel Montero laid gold brick over the last 15 feet of the third base line and covered the home plate area with huge “Welcome Home!” flags.
30

41

64

40.4

38.3

40.4

.381

.400

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Rangers should trade anything they can. If they can deal Ron Washington, do it. After all, the Yankees do need pitching.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
newsense

It's not so hard to steal a base if you're 0 for 4. You can reach on a fielder's choice, an error, a wild pitch on strike 3 or an early pinch running substitution.

Jul 28, 2014 10:24 AM
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+1

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WaldoInSC

Loosen the tie, homey. Facts are not the coin of the realm when tongue is so firmly planted in cheek.

Jul 28, 2014 17:19 PM
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+2

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BP staff member Matt Kory

Good point! I looked it up on Baseball Reference and there have been 11,351 games since 1914 where the batter has zero hits, zero walks, and at least one stolen base. The most stolen bases without any hits or walks is three. That has been done seven times, most recently in 1991 by Vince Coleman while with the Mets.

Jul 28, 2014 12:04 PM
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+2

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Marcgiz

Right next to the contract expiration clock will be the Countdown Until the Kid is Major League Ready Clock. Caribbean Vacation baby. Unless it's a girl, then it's the SI Cover countdown.

Jul 29, 2014 07:18 AM
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0

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