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Prospectus Hit List for June 16



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for June 13 Hit List for June 18
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Meditations on throwing errors, winning streaks, home run leaders, LeBron James, and Ender Inciarte.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

42

27

48.6

46.5

46.5

.665

.683

71.5%

24.1%

95.6%

1.2%

0.3%

Derek Norris has the beard, now he just has to apply some hair gel, sculpt it and: bam, permanent catcher's mask.
2

37

31

37.2

41.7

41.9

.580

.600

25.2%

56.5%

81.7%

-2.6%

2.5%

Hector Santiago is experiencing a 14-game winless streak as a starter, not unlike how most people experience expired yogurt.
3

43

27

41.7

40.9

40.9

.588

.569

72.9%

21.6%

94.5%

-0.9%

-3.9%

Madison Bumgarner hit his fourth career home run, and his third against Colorado.
4

41

30

39.6

37.4

37.3

.547

.567

60.0%

12.8%

72.8%

4.4%

-6.1%

Juan Francisco is tied for third on the team with home runs, and even Juan Francisco didn't know Juan Francisco played for the Blue Jays.
5

36

29

33.3

35.1

34.2

.533

.553

67.2%

10.3%

77.5%

2.7%

-1.5%

The Tigers finally won a series against someone not named the Red Sox for the first time since May 12-14. This is a first place team.
6

37

32

37.1

40.2

40.2

.560

.540

53.1%

21.8%

74.9%

4.8%

10.7%

Randy Choate entered Saturday's game with the bases loaded, threw one pitch to get out of it, and was credited with the win, because sometimes that stat administers justice.
7

35

34

37.8

34.9

35.0

.517

.537

2.5%

19.9%

22.4%

3.9%

-12.1%

John Buck played his first game at first base, just to see if any of us were paying attention.
8

35

33

38.3

37.8

37.8

.548

.528

55.5%

13.1%

68.6%

-4.3%

-4.2%

Third baseman Ryan Zimmerman is seeing time in left field and just got his first start at first base. This makes him versatile, right?
9

41

29

37.0

36.6

36.1

.538

.518

35.3%

29.2%

64.5%

-7.1%

-4.2%

Marco Estrada Homer Watch! He gave up three more, putting him at 23, eight shy of the first-half record.
10

35

33

33.5

33.4

33.4

.497

.517

10.7%

12.5%

23.2%

-3.5%

3.6%

Nelson Cruz hasn't hit a home run in 13 games and still has the major-league lead.
11

36

32

34.9

31.2

31.7

.492

.512

14.0%

12.7%

26.6%

3.3%

16.4%

The standard instructions for a KC barbecue joint says to "slow roast the ribs for the length of one Royals winning streak." The streak is at seven, and now the restaurants have lost thousands of dollars.
12

35

35

33.6

34.0

34.1

.488

.508

11.9%

12.2%

24.1%

2.3%

-4.4%

They won a series against the Red Sox, then looked at their own socks and became downright confused.
13

37

34

38.1

37.7

36.7

.526

.506

25.8%

52.1%

77.9%

-3.2%

-2.0%

He finally did it. Yasiel Puig bat flipped on a walk, nearly taking out the catcher. MLB's Statcast showed his bat had a 1.2 percent flip route efficiency.
14

32

35

31.6

32.0

32.1

.477

.497

5.1%

5.7%

10.9%

-2.3%

1.4%

Kyle Gibson has five starts without allowing a run this year, most in a whole season since 2011. Twins fans are currently looking up "starting pitcher" on Wikipedia.
15

34

35

36.7

37.4

35.5

.514

.494

1.2%

10.1%

11.2%

2.1%

2.3%

Two of their starters (Juan Nicasio, Jorge De La Rosa) went three innings or fewer and they still swept the team with the best record.
16

36

32

34.0

34.3

35.6

.514

.494

36.7%

18.6%

55.3%

4.5%

2.9%

Maybe the Braves should get Cobb County to fork over enough money to build a new Upton brother.
17

35

33

31.1

30.8

31.8

.473

.493

22.4%

15.1%

37.4%

-3.6%

11.0%

Derek Jeter received a retirement gift from the A's--his first gift from them since Jeremy Giambi didn't slide into home.
18

31

38

32.6

33.0

32.7

.468

.488

5.9%

6.8%

12.7%

-2.5%

-5.1%

Not to lean on old tricks, but maybe it wouldn't hurt to try hiring then firing Bobby Valentine.
19

34

35

33.3

35.3

36.0

.502

.482

6.1%

12.6%

18.8%

-2.8%

5.6%

Pedro Alvarez committed his 100th career error. He'd have kept the ball, but ... y'know, he threw it away.
20

32

39

31.3

33.3

34.6

.462

.482

0.0%

1.2%

1.2%

-0.8%

0.2%

The Astros still have a better record than the Red Sox. This remains the joke for as long as it's true.
21

35

33

35.7

33.1

32.4

.501

.481

4.6%

4.4%

9.1%

2.1%

-3.4%

LeBron couldn't get it done, so once again it's up to Casey McGehee to bring a championship to Miami.
22

33

37

31.8

32.0

31.8

.459

.479

1.8%

3.1%

4.9%

-1.7%

-3.2%

Andre Rienzo went six innings, allowed six hits, six runs and I am terrified to read the rest of it.
23

33

35

32.9

33.2

33.4

.487

.467

5.3%

11.4%

16.6%

3.8%

2.7%

No, Billy Hamilton, every time you hit a home run you can't exchange it for four stolen baŚ actually, MLB, can you?
24

27

43

29.4

33.6

33.5

.441

.461

1.1%

1.1%

2.1%

0.5%

-0.6%

Chris Archer's Saturday line: three innings, eight baserunners, five unearned runs. No jury in the world would convict him of mailing boxes of snakes to his teammates.
25

34

35

30.3

27.9

28.5

.438

.457

0.8%

6.1%

6.9%

-1.2%

-2.5%

Clever move by the Rangers to employ an out-of-work dummy from TV's "Mythbusters" at first base to shore up injury costs.
26

28

39

31.9

33.4

33.1

.472

.452

0.2%

1.0%

1.2%

0.4%

-1.1%

Anthony Rizzo has the team lead in both walks and RBIs. That was the sound of Joey Votto's head exploding.
27

31

38

33.8

31.2

31.0

.460

.441

1.9%

1.3%

3.2%

0.6%

-1.8%

Daisuke Matsuzaka had to leave the game with an upset stomach. Is Bartolo Colon the only one on the team who knows how to eat healthy?
28

30

42

30.4

31.8

31.8

.431

.411

0.1%

1.3%

1.3%

0.4%

-2.1%

The Diamondbacks were forced to put Ender Inciarte on the disabled list with a sore ender inciarte.
29

29

38

29.0

28.5

28.8

.430

.411

1.3%

1.0%

2.3%

-0.4%

0.3%

Jimmy Rollins is the Phillies' all-time hit leader, but you probably can't name one off the top of your head.
30

29

40

27.3

25.5

25.5

.389

.370

0.1%

0.5%

0.6%

-0.1%

-1.8%

This month the team is hitting .157 and has fewer home runs than Andrew McCutchen.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
Old School

All of Archer's unearned runs were the result of his own error.

Jun 16, 2014 07:37 AM
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+1

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BP staff member Matt Sussman

Self-snakes then

Jun 16, 2014 11:12 AM
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+2

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