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Prospectus Hit List for June 11



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for June 9 Hit List for June 13
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The Astros one, especially.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

39

26

45.8

44.4

44.8

.597

.617

60.8%

32.3%

93.1%

-0.5%

0.7%

Fernando Abad wasn't suspended any games, but was fined five games. He has to pay his amount in board games. No more Unos.
2

36

28

35.9

40.0

39.9

.571

.591

33.7%

52.2%

85.9%

3.7%

17.1%

"The dog ate my baseball glove again." Mike Scioscia sighs. "Fine, C.J. Cron, you can DH."
3

33

27

30.8

31.6

31.0

.538

.557

67.0%

9.5%

76.5%

1.5%

-8.7%

In 207 PAs, Tigers shortstops had one homer. In four, Eugenio Suarez has two. He also has seven letters and five syllables in his first name, but that one likely won't regress.
4

39

27

37.1

35.4

35.0

.537

.557

67.2%

10.5%

77.7%

-2.5%

8.0%

Being shut out three times in four games would be a grave mistake had the rest of the AL East not morphed into the "after" version of Lot's wife.
5

35

31

36.4

35.6

34.6

.575

.555

24.9%

60.1%

84.9%

3.6%

7.4%

The Dodgers have three relief pitchers who have more extra-inning losses than the entire Giants team.
6

42

23

39.6

37.7

37.6

.567

.547

74.7%

22.2%

96.9%

-0.6%

3.9%

Reminder that this team still hasn't lost three games in a row since April, when they dropped three to the Padres by a total of four runs.
7

34

29

36.8

36.5

36.0

.562

.542

61.1%

16.1%

77.2%

1.2%

18.6%

The worst qualifying ERA pitcher on the team is Jordan Zimmermann, whose ERA is 3.17. That's pathetic.
8

34

31

34.6

36.9

36.5

.549

.529

49.7%

17.8%

67.5%

2.1%

12.4%

The Cardinals haven't allowed a run in three games, which is confusing because they're not currently playing in an NLCS against a superior team.
9

34

30

35.6

32.9

33.4

.509

.529

5.0%

28.8%

33.8%

-2.2%

8.1%

Their pitching has really come through. Felix Hernandez has been outstanding, but don't forget about Robinson Cano's 0.00 ERA.
10

29

35

29.9

30.5

30.1

.502

.522

7.6%

9.2%

16.8%

2.6%

-6.7%

Brock Holt had four hits in his first pro game at first base, then four hits in his first career game in left field. Careful, John Farrell, you're running out of turbo boosts.
11

33

32

32.2

32.6

32.7

.496

.516

17.5%

12.9%

30.4%

-3.4%

11.2%

Lonnie Chisenhall had three homers and 9 RBI on Monday night. He had there homers and 8 RBI in his first 47 career games. He got better.
12

32

31

28.2

27.4

27.8

.489

.509

17.0%

13.3%

30.2%

4.4%

1.2%

What if the Yankees just forget Ichiro in Seattle a la Home Alone? Does that make everybody happy?
13

32

31

30.7

30.2

29.9

.485

.505

7.9%

10.5%

18.4%

-3.1%

-18.5%

When asked how Manny Machado's suspension went all the way down to 5 games, a league spokesman said "It slipped."
14

24

42

26.8

30.8

31.3

.483

.503

0.4%

0.5%

0.9%

-1.0%

-3.4%

The Rays finally scored a run! Evan Longoria hit a two-run homer off wait never mind this was last Saturday.
15

34

29

33.1

33.3

33.4

.520

.500

31.4%

26.6%

57.9%

2.7%

-2.4%

Mike Minor was spotted a 10-run lead but couldn't get through five innings. Might as well have Andrelton Simmons throw to a batter then bring in a real pitcher because pitching wins are goofy.
16

38

27

34.7

34.1

33.3

.516

.496

41.1%

22.0%

63.1%

-5.5%

-2.4%

Marco Estrada is on pace to shatter the Brewers record for most homers allowed in a season. Braden Looper had 39; he's on pace for 50. (This would also tie the MLB record, held by Hall of Famer Bert Blyleven.)
17

30

33

29.3

30.5

30.3

.473

.493

4.6%

5.2%

9.8%

1.3%

1.1%

A combined shutout with only three strikeouts? Wait no, let me guess: the Twins. [turns around card to the answer] [fist pumps]
18

32

32

30.8

27.8

27.8

.468

.488

6.4%

5.9%

12.3%

2.3%

1.8%

Three home runs in one game? THIS IS NOT A DRILL. THIS IS WHY WE PRACTICED.
19

32

33

30.8

30.1

29.7

.463

.483

4.6%

4.5%

9.1%

-0.6%

-2.0%

How do their white socks stay so white? Ancient south side secret.
20

31

34

28.0

26.1

27.0

.452

.472

0.5%

4.1%

4.6%

-1.5%

-9.6%

Normally we shouldn't make exceptions but they're so injured, just let Adrian Beltre bat twice.
21

30

34

29.8

31.1

31.9

.489

.469

4.8%

8.1%

12.9%

-2.7%

-4.7%

The Gregory Polanco callup is great news for Pirates fans, but what of the Indianapolis Indians? Does their pennant run mean nothing?
22

29

35

32.4

33.8

32.1

.486

.466

0.3%

4.3%

4.6%

-2.3%

-10.9%

Juan Nicasio gave up 10 runs in a game, and somehow that hasn't happened to a Rockies pitcher in six years.
23

29

37

28.5

30.6

31.7

.443

.462

0.0%

0.6%

0.6%

-1.1%

-0.3%

Tony Sipp pitched twice in a game, but played the outfield to face nonconsecutive batters. To hear a Grover Cleveland joke, press 1. For a "two Sipps is more of a Gulpp" joke, press 2.
24

29

34

28.5

29.1

29.2

.471

.451

3.8%

5.3%

9.1%

-1.4%

-10.6%

Welcome back, Joey Votto, from the disabled list! We left your short stack of RBIs right where you left them, and we left our leadoff guys who can't get on base batting ahead of you.
25

34

30

34.7

32.3

32.6

.469

.449

5.0%

8.4%

13.3%

2.9%

1.3%

Justin Bour has played in three games, recorded five hits, and has yet to play the field in the majors. This has to be a first for a National League player, no?
26

26

36

30.0

31.6

31.1

.468

.448

0.6%

1.4%

2.0%

0.2%

0.9%

Justin Ruggiano was hit twice in last night's Pirates game, but then again he shouldn't have been standing there (fifth in the batting order).
27

29

35

31.9

29.7

29.5

.464

.444

1.8%

2.4%

4.2%

-0.3%

-6.3%

Travis d'Arnaud goes down, Taylor Teagarden comes up, then hits a grand slam. It's a story so obvious, Hollywood wouldn't buy it.
28

29

38

28.4

30.6

30.5

.462

.442

0.0%

2.4%

2.4%

0.1%

1.1%

Bronson Arroyo had a 7.77 ERA in April, and a 2.70 ERA since, proving that once again, don't trust April unless you're a ninja turtle.
29

26

36

25.9

25.5

26.1

.446

.426

0.8%

1.4%

2.1%

0.6%

-1.3%

Remember when Domonic Brown was an All-Star last year? Wait am I talking about, it's the Internet, of course you don't remember what happened a year ago.
30

28

36

25.9

24.1

24.6

.445

.426

0.2%

1.7%

1.8%

-0.5%

-7.1%

Ninth inning, bases loaded, down by three, two out. It the situation Tommy Medica pretended as a little boy in his backyard, but even then he grounded into a forceout every dang time.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


5 comments have been left for this article.
NattyFan

Admit it -- you've had #19 tucked away for a while, ready to use on just the right day.

Jun 11, 2014 10:18 AM
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BP staff member Matt Sussman

It started out as a "White Sox got rained out so they can't dry their socks on the line anymore" which was not funny. I always have some spare joke seeds laying about Hit List Gardens but that wasn't one of them

Jun 11, 2014 10:55 AM
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DeathSpeculum

"207 PAs, Tigers shortstops had one homer. In four, Eugenio Suarez has two. He also has seven letters and five syllables in his first name, but that one likely won't regress"

alright, this is driving me nutz. where is the 5th syllable? is it not You-hene-ee-oh?

Jun 11, 2014 11:29 AM
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0

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BP staff member Matt Sussman

ay-oo-hen-ee-oh

Jun 11, 2014 11:58 AM
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+1

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OonBoon

Astros! Yes, shuffle pitchers around the diamond to maintain platoon advantage! Why not, I say. Why not. There's an edge to be exploited here

Jun 11, 2014 18:05 PM
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+1

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