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Prospectus Hit List for June 6



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for June 4 Hit List for June 9
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Pickin' in the first round, drafting in the second round, gotta make my mind up, with kid can I take? It's Friday Frid...

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

37

23

42.7

42.6

42.7

.603

.622

70.5%

22.5%

93.0%

-0.1%

11.2%

Going 0 for your last 16 at-bats with runners in scoring position is no way to win games. That's, like, a baseball rule.
2

31

28

32.2

36.1

35.8

.560

.579

20.8%

48.0%

68.8%

-5.3%

-13.2%

Despite a bad back, Mike Trout went 2-for-5 with two extra-base hits, so at least his front is fine.
3

37

24

35.6

34.1

33.3

.545

.565

64.5%

13.7%

78.2%

4.7%

17.6%

Toronto has more home runs this year (87) than they have NHL playoff appearances in the last decade (one).
4

31

25

28.5

29.5

29.1

.537

.557

71.0%

8.0%

79.0%

-2.9%

-11.4%

Justin Verlander has allowed at least five earned runs in four of his last five starts. Maybe it's time to stop throwing baseballs with big mittens on.
5

39

21

37.5

35.1

34.9

.568

.548

76.8%

19.1%

95.9%

0.6%

4.0%

Michael Morse hit his 13th homer of the season and would have been second on the team in home runs ... in 2012.
6

31

30

31.9

31.6

30.7

.561

.542

21.3%

55.2%

76.5%

0.4%

-6.7%

If it weren't for Vin Scully, the Dodgers would turn to Jamey Wright for old-timey stories.
7

31

28

32.3

30.4

31.2

.511

.531

6.0%

24.3%

30.3%

1.1%

13.2%

Hisashi, Fernando, Erasmo, Yoervis and Roenis. Mariners pitchers' first names or a line from that Laverne and Shirley song?
8

30

28

32.1

32.2

31.8

.546

.526

51.9%

15.0%

66.9%

3.9%

17.3%

Ian Desmond leads the team in RBIs (that's good!) and his batting average is .225 (that's ... good?).
9

27

32

28.2

28.3

28.1

.504

.524

8.3%

10.8%

19.1%

-0.1%

-0.2%

10-game losing streak, seven-game winning streak, three-game losing streak. The Red Sox are on pace by August to suffer a -37 game winning streak.
10

30

28

28.8

28.0

27.4

.502

.522

13.0%

18.3%

31.3%

-6.2%

5.5%

J.J. Hardy made three errors last night, but several faux pas.
11

31

30

31.5

34.2

33.7

.539

.519

38.1%

18.9%

57.0%

-4.5%

-12.8%

They only get but a handful of games to try this, but eventually Matt Holliday will misplay a ball while playing DH.
12

30

29

26.5

25.6

26.1

.489

.509

13.1%

14.5%

27.6%

3.2%

-18.5%

There's a grave injustice in the world if Derek Jeter's last season is as an everyday player with retirement gifts, and Ichiro's is as a fourth outfielder/pinch-runner with maybe a bag of pretzels per road trip.
13

30

30

28.6

28.7

29.4

.486

.507

13.3%

10.9%

24.2%

1.2%

14.1%

Let's check in on Danny Salazar's recent minor-league starts [there is blood and baseball dents everywhere] His control is improving!
14

23

38

25.3

28.1

28.8

.484

.504

1.1%

2.1%

3.3%

-0.2%

-13.3%

Remember when Brad Boxberger struck out the side on nine pitches with the bases loaded? Well he allowed three runs on 13 pitches against three batters. Regression does not think fondly of him.
15

36

25

33.5

32.8

32.1

.520

.500

46.8%

19.2%

66.1%

2.8%

4.2%

Marco Estrada has given up four home runs in his career to Welington Castilo, who has 15 career home runs against other people.
16

31

27

29.9

30.6

30.9

.516

.496

35.5%

19.9%

55.3%

-0.2%

1.7%

In the last 30 days, Dan Uggla is hitting .071/.278/.071 and Braves pitchers are hitting .100/.117/.120.
17

30

30

27.2

25.5

26.5

.469

.489

2.6%

10.3%

12.9%

2.3%

-7.3%

I don't know how you do things down in Texas, but up here you can't just bat Mitch Moreland third simply because he's a first baseman.
18

31

30

29.4

28.2

27.4

.465

.485

6.6%

6.5%

13.2%

2.0%

-0.7%

Outfielder Jordan Danks is hitting .089. Pitcher John Danks is hitting .333. Small sample size, but there could be a better hitting Danks in the family.
19

28

30

26.7

27.5

27.4

.463

.483

4.3%

4.9%

9.2%

-0.8%

2.6%

With their next pick the Minnesota Twins select ... body armor for Byron Buxton. Good value pick.
20

29

31

28.0

25.4

25.5

.460

.480

4.7%

4.4%

9.1%

1.1%

0.4%

Once again the Royals are trying to avoid a bad draft pick, known as an Under-Hochevar. (Note: I made this joke before and I don't care.)
21

28

31

31.3

32.1

30.3

.498

.478

0.9%

9.9%

10.7%

-2.7%

-15.6%

The Rockies took a pitcher with their first round draft pick, keeping in line with their team philosophy that they don't want any pitchers in life to succeed.
22

28

31

26.9

27.6

28.4

.481

.462

8.6%

9.2%

17.7%

0.8%

8.3%

Travis Snider is leaving voice mails on Gregory Polanco's phone with an affected voice saying he's been traded to, I guess, Italy?
23

27

31

27.5

28.5

28.5

.481

.461

5.9%

7.8%

13.7%

-3.7%

4.3%

"They're not batting Devin Mesoraco cleanup enough!" you blurt out, not realizing you're actually right.
24

26

35

26.0

28.3

29.5

.439

.458

0.1%

0.7%

0.8%

0.1%

-0.0%

Once again saddled with the No. 1 pick, the Astros learned from their mistakes and didn't draft Mark Appel again.
25

27

33

25.6

23.8

24.2

.476

.456

1.0%

8.6%

9.6%

-0.6%

-1.5%

Huston Street tied Dave Righetti in career saves. Didn't Huston Street join the league, like, last year?
26

32

28

32.8

30.9

31.0

.471

.451

7.5%

8.2%

15.7%

3.9%

2.8%

No big deal, the Marlins inserted two players making their debut in the lineup (JT Realmuto, Justin Bour) and they accounted for four RBIs.
27

28

32

30.0

28.0

27.4

.468

.449

4.1%

3.8%

7.9%

-1.8%

-1.6%

Jacob deGrom went 1-for-2 with a double and his average dropped to .556. Some Mets pitcher.
28

23

34

27.0

28.5

28.2

.461

.441

0.6%

1.5%

2.1%

0.7%

0.9%

The anticipation was palpable during the draft to see who the Cubs would select as the team's future franchise player. Then it happened. Great, another running back.
29

26

36

25.9

28.0

28.0

.455

.435

0.1%

2.8%

2.9%

1.1%

0.4%

The D'backs drafted Touki Toussaint, who will join the city of Tucson as the second homophone in that state that you don't know how to spell.
30

24

34

23.2

22.7

23.4

.436

.416

1.1%

0.9%

2.0%

-0.8%

-5.5%

Jimmy Rollins has six home runs this year, matching his 2013 total. He's third on the team in dingers. So, good news and bad news about this...

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
godfather

agree on the jeter/ichiro statement...the captain is supposed to go down with the ship, but not purposely submerge it...first baseball book i read as a kid years ago was "pride of the Yankees," the Gehrig story...that's how you exit

Jun 06, 2014 10:41 AM
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DetroitDale

RE: the Indians comment, so are they playing "wild thing" when he comes up to the mound yet?

Jun 06, 2014 10:50 AM
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