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Prospectus Hit List for June 2



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for May 30 Hit List for June 4
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's going down. I'm yelling Hit List!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

35

22

40.6

40.4

40.4

.602

.621

66.5%

24.2%

90.7%

1.9%

9.1%

A's starters are first in the AL in ERA. Their relievers are first in the AL in WHIP. All their other pitchers are terrible.
2

30

26

31.1

34.8

34.5

.562

.582

26.8%

46.2%

73.0%

-3.9%

-10.4%

The world did not yet invent emotions to cope with the phrase "Mike Trout injured." That makes space exploration feel like a waste.
3

31

22

28.3

28.6

27.9

.546

.565

81.5%

5.7%

87.2%

-3.1%

-1.6%

Losing a series to Seattle can only mean former bench coach Lloyd McClendon embezzled a complete list of current Tigers' allergies.
4

34

24

32.9

32.0

31.2

.537

.557

48.1%

16.3%

64.4%

4.2%

9.0%

Edwin Encarnacion is absolutely unconscious right now. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting home runs while physically incapacitated. Why is nobody talking about this. Why is nobody resuscitating him.
5

37

20

35.8

32.8

32.9

.566

.547

69.1%

24.9%

94.0%

2.3%

5.3%

The best record in baseball? How in the—oh right, even-numbered year.
6

30

28

30.5

30.1

29.3

.564

.544

27.2%

51.3%

78.5%

-3.1%

-5.9%

Did you know: Andre Ethier is still with the Dodgers? I don't even think Andre Ethier knew that.
7

27

29

27.3

26.8

26.7

.510

.530

14.4%

16.7%

31.1%

3.7%

18.6%

After losing 10 straight, they've won seven in a row. Their secret? Less-binding underwear and also perhaps throwing strikes.
8

30

27

30.1

32.1

31.6

.542

.522

43.5%

17.9%

61.4%

-7.1%

-14.4%

How did you celebrate Oscar Taveras getting called up? If you answered "with a sandwich," you stole my idea.
9

29

26

25.9

25.1

24.9

.499

.519

21.7%

16.1%

37.8%

-9.5%

-6.8%

Yangeris Solarte's OPS is .821. In eight minor league seasons he recorded one season with an OPS above .750.
10

28

28

29.5

27.2

28.2

.497

.517

3.0%

15.7%

18.6%

0.9%

0.6%

Roenis Elias threw his first career complete game shutout, according to his dad's sports statistics company.
11

28

27

26.9

25.9

25.3

.496

.516

12.4%

15.4%

27.9%

1.0%

5.6%

Nelson Cruz is nearly on pace to hit 60 home runs, proving good things happen to those who reject qualifying offers and sign for less money in a poor DH market.
12

27

28

29.1

29.1

29.1

.533

.513

38.2%

14.2%

52.3%

-5.4%

-3.0%

Washington had two replays go their way on the exact same play. And they didn't win the game. Replay doesn't work.
13

23

34

24.3

25.6

26.2

.488

.508

3.4%

4.6%

8.0%

-2.6%

-19.5%

David Price sure made a ton of enemies in Boston over the weekend, but he'll win them over once he signs with them after 2015.
14

31

25

29.4

30.4

30.7

.524

.504

49.2%

15.2%

64.4%

5.9%

-0.6%

Craig Kimbrel tied the franchise record for saves on Saturday. Somewhere, Mark Wohlers angrily kicks a rock. (Mark Wohlers did not previously have the record.)
15

34

23

31.2

30.9

30.3

.522

.502

44.4%

20.5%

64.9%

5.2%

12.3%

Mark Reynolds is struggling at the plate but making it up with his glove, which describes Mark Reynolds down to the tee.
16

27

30

26.5

27.2

28.0

.481

.501

6.5%

9.2%

15.7%

2.0%

-0.5%

Corey Kluber struck out 60 batters in May. Justin Masterson doesn't even have 60 strikeouts yet.
17

29

28

26.1

24.5

25.5

.473

.493

3.7%

14.2%

17.8%

2.9%

2.4%

Yu Darvish went 0-for-3 with a strikeout. So that's how it feels to face himself, he thought, while striking out 12.
18

28

28

31.3

32.3

30.5

.511

.491

2.0%

15.7%

17.7%

-0.6%

-12.0%

This team is falling fast, and at their elevation that's not medically safe.
19

29

29

27.8

26.7

25.8

.464

.484

4.5%

5.9%

10.4%

1.6%

2.5%

Since returning from the DL, Chris Sale hasn't given up more than two hits in a start, which is amazing because he didn't even pitch against the White Sox lineup.
20

26

28

25.0

25.4

25.2

.463

.483

4.1%

5.3%

9.4%

2.3%

-1.1%

Once you know Josmil Pinto's name phonetically sounds like "Hosemeal," you never want to type Josmil again.
21

26

30

25.4

23.5

23.4

.458

.478

3.4%

4.1%

7.4%

-1.5%

-8.2%

Calling up a team's much-hyped first round draft pick is usually a good thing! Sometimes it's just Mike Moustakas.
22

26

29

26.2

27.7

27.4

.486

.466

7.1%

9.6%

16.7%

3.7%

4.3%

Joey Votto's injury replacement at first has been Brayan Peña, a catcher who hadn't started at first before this year. They could have used a cardboard cutout of Joey Votto, since theoretically it could draw a walk.
23

26

31

25.2

23.8

24.3

.485

.465

1.6%

10.8%

12.4%

-3.5%

7.5%

Like your mom said, if you don't have anything nice to say about the Padres, say that Tony Gwynn's career high in strikeouts was 40 in 1998.
24

24

34

24.0

26.5

27.4

.431

.450

0.1%

0.5%

0.5%

-0.0%

0.4%

Last week's 7-game winning streak is the first for Houston since 2010. A list of players still on the major league roster since then: Jason Castro.
25

26

30

24.4

24.9

25.8

.470

.450

4.6%

7.1%

11.7%

2.1%

3.5%

The Pirates traded pitcher Bryan Morris for a draft pick, which they can now use to draft a pitcher.
26

28

28

29.8

29.4

29.7

.470

.450

3.9%

3.6%

7.5%

-1.1%

-0.1%

If Arquimedes Caminero pitches in a high enough leverage situation, he could move the earth.
27

27

29

27.5

25.4

25.1

.466

.447

5.8%

4.7%

10.6%

2.4%

5.2%

Step 1: Replace Juan Lagares in the field with Bobby Abreu. Step 2: replace traditional baseballs with antique musketballs.
28

20

34

25.0

27.0

26.9

.455

.435

0.4%

0.9%

1.3%

0.1%

-0.1%

I know Jeff Samardzija is trying to get out of the Cubs as soon as possible, but I don't think "after three innings" is the way to do it.
29

24

30

23.5

22.7

23.4

.452

.433

3.0%

2.6%

5.6%

-0.5%

-1.5%

Whether you love or hate baseball, three straight Mets-Phillies extra inning games sounds like a thinly-veiled threat against humanity.
30

23

36

22.7

24.8

25.2

.441

.421

0.1%

1.1%

1.2%

-0.3%

-0.5%

The Diamondbacks have already matched last year's total with 7 shutouts, which is great until you realize you have it backwards.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
rweiler

I was beginning to think that part of the adjusted hit list formula is the number of D's in the team name. Actually, I still kind of suspect it.

Jun 02, 2014 09:40 AM
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+1

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One Flap Down

Unless he's signed to an extension, David Price won't be signing with anyone this winter, he's not a FA until after the 2015 season.

Jun 02, 2014 09:59 AM
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+1

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Number27

I was really waiting for some sort of joke that tied in with everything in the article being right-aligned.

Jun 02, 2014 11:30 AM
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0

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oldbopper

Always great but the comment about Archimedes Caminero was a classic.

Jun 02, 2014 12:10 PM
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+6

down_image
 
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