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Prospectus Hit List for May 21



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for May 19 Hit List for May 23
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

We woke up in the kitchen saying, "How the hell did this Hit List happen?" Oh baby.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

29

16

32.7

32.6

32.1

.610

.628

57.1%

29.4%

86.6%

1.4%

7.4%

Derek Norris' on-base is now up to a meaty .452 and oh yeah he's also fourth on the team in stolen bases.
2

27

14

25.9

25.7

25.0

.591

.610

87.0%

6.4%

93.4%

-2.3%

3.1%

Victor Martinez Strikeouts have made a roaring comeback to tie Victor Martinez home runs on the season, 11-11.
3

25

20

26.9

29.2

28.7

.576

.596

33.6%

43.4%

77.1%

3.6%

12.7%

Seven ballplayers have played every game this year in the same batting order; the Angels have two: Pujols and Trout, the only one of the seven who is not a no. 3 hitter.
4

24

22

23.2

23.5

23.3

.561

.541

51.7%

33.3%

85.0%

4.1%

-0.2%

Bat flips are so last year. Yasiel Puig should kickflip each base into the stands after stepping on them.
5

28

18

26.0

24.7

25.0

.550

.530

38.4%

38.5%

76.9%

-4.4%

-3.2%

If Brandon Crawford has an elite glove, maybe just give it to someone who can hit better.
6

24

22

24.0

23.4

22.5

.510

.530

23.3%

9.9%

33.2%

4.2%

7.6%

Edwin Encarnacion hit a ball so far out of Fenway Park, it no longer exists and is inside all of us.
7

22

22

23.2

22.0

22.8

.507

.527

6.4%

21.2%

27.6%

3.9%

-4.1%

The Mariners signed reliever Todd Coffey, because as we all knew Seattle is a big Coffey town.
8

23

21

20.6

20.9

20.4

.502

.522

31.9%

11.2%

43.1%

-6.9%

3.6%

Masahiro Tanaka is an unimpressive 0-1 since the latest Godzilla premiered.
9

26

20

28.0

28.4

26.7

.540

.520

8.4%

29.0%

37.5%

2.7%

4.8%

Opposing teams should try the "Troy Tulowitzki Shift" where all fielders swarm Tulowitzki and hold him down while the pitcher can throw strikes.
10

24

21

24.4

24.7

24.1

.540

.520

51.6%

12.2%

63.9%

4.1%

15.3%

If Adam Wainwright pitched in the 1880s, he discovered time travel and we should ask him about that.
11

20

24

20.4

20.4

20.2

.498

.518

18.0%

11.1%

29.0%

-5.6%

-18.9%

"On second thought let's not sign Stephen Drew!" "Will Middlebrooks, why are you in the GM meeting? Why are you wearing a mustache?"
12

24

21

23.3

23.2

23.3

.532

.512

46.6%

16.8%

63.4%

-3.9%

-2.7%

In the middle of a seven-run inning, they still sacrifice bunted. Even if it was the pitcher. Even if it was on a dare.
13

19

27

20.3

21.3

21.3

.491

.511

11.7%

7.1%

18.8%

-2.4%

-7.0%

[pokes team PECOTA with a stick] Hey, you okay buddy?
14

25

19

23.6

24.6

24.3

.531

.511

40.2%

20.7%

60.9%

5.2%

2.9%

Like a deadbeat who doesn't pay his utility bill, Julio Teheran is averaging one shutout a month this year.
15

22

23

22.6

21.4

21.1

.483

.503

3.9%

11.3%

15.1%

-1.7%

-5.0%

Energy saving tip: turn off the air conditioner and fan yourself with Mike Moustakas swings.
16

21

25

20.5

22.6

23.5

.482

.502

3.3%

10.1%

13.4%

1.6%

-1.5%

Trevor Bauer has averaged one win in each of the past two seasons, and he won last night, so he's set for the year.
17

23

20

21.4

19.1

19.0

.479

.499

15.1%

9.8%

24.9%

4.9%

4.5%

Chris Davis hit three home runs last night, one off each pitcher. Good thing Pittsburgh didn't bring in like 10 pitchers.
18

22

21

20.4

20.4

20.7

.471

.491

3.3%

9.6%

12.9%

1.6%

3.9%

If I told you Kevin Correia took a perfect game against the Padres into the fifth inning, how many nouns would you recognize?
19

23

24

22.6

21.3

21.5

.464

.484

2.5%

7.5%

10.0%

1.7%

3.2%

If the White Sox hit a home run, and Hawk isn't around to announce it, can you legally put it on the board?
20

21

24

18.6

17.6

18.5

.464

.484

2.8%

11.9%

14.7%

-3.7%

-9.3%

It took forever for J.P. Arencibia to get demoted to Triple-A Round Rock because they made him walk there.
21

27

19

22.9

22.7

21.9

.501

.481

33.8%

15.4%

49.2%

-1.9%

-12.9%

Carlos Gomez had four strikeouts last night. You can't respect the game until you respect your own game.
22

20

24

21.0

22.5

22.1

.490

.470

10.3%

7.4%

17.7%

-1.6%

-2.8%

Johnny Cueto allowed 10 runs combined in his first nine starts, then a seven-run inning, because you never stay good at sports.
23

23

23

25.0

25.9

25.9

.481

.461

3.1%

4.4%

7.5%

-0.2%

2.6%

Once a great player, it's good to see Miguel Tejada finally land a coaching job with theó wait, really?
24

16

27

21.7

22.1

21.8

.466

.446

1.0%

1.1%

2.0%

0.4%

0.8%

[sticks "haha the Cubs are bad" jokes in a drawer] See you in a month, gems of hilarity!
25

18

26

19.2

19.3

19.8

.464

.444

3.4%

2.8%

6.2%

-2.6%

-3.4%

Good thing for Francisco Liriano that the Fallback Player Of The Year Award is a thing I just made up now, and has no financial backing.
26

20

22

18.8

17.8

18.3

.464

.444

7.4%

6.8%

14.2%

3.1%

4.4%

Should Cliff Lee require any elbow surgery, he could still throw well-located 38 mph fastballs, averaging eight innings, two runs, one walk, and no strikeouts.
27

21

25

19.8

17.8

19.0

.459

.439

1.2%

6.4%

7.7%

-2.1%

-0.3%

Andrew Cashner's throwing elbow should heal fine, they just need to trim his beard around it.
28

20

24

20.5

17.8

18.2

.448

.429

2.8%

2.8%

5.6%

-2.2%

-5.1%

After a lengthy trial, a jury of his peers determined Juan Lagares has been freed from his crimes against Not Being Carlos Beltran.
29

17

29

17.0

18.6

19.8

.407

.426

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.2%

-0.1%

Dallas Keuchel became the first Astros to throw exactly 8 2/3 innings on the road since 1996. Is this stat anything?
30

18

29

16.9

20.2

20.5

.441

.422

0.3%

2.2%

2.5%

-0.6%

-0.1%

If you're into conspiracies, the Diamondbacks' first loss in the Tony La Russa era is at St. Louis. If you're not, what fun are you?

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
aspit01

No Miguel Olivo comments ? Bet you'll hear an earfull on that....

May 21, 2014 09:16 AM
up_image

+4

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bobbygrace

I demand an Albuquerque Isotopes Special Bulletin.

May 21, 2014 10:01 AM
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+2

down_image
 
StefanAFrisch

At this point, I think the Rays team PECOTA needs a defribillator...

May 21, 2014 12:23 PM
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+1

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