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Prospectus Hit List for April 2



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for September 27 Hit List for April 4
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's been a lonnng time, a long time coming, but I knowohwhoaaoh, a Hit List gonna come.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

1

0

1.0

0.9

0.9

.708

.724

18.5%

8.4%

26.9%

-1.2%

1.2%

Everyone in the Indians lineup had either a hit or a walk though nobody had more than two. Sharing is nice, but baseball works best when you string it together.
2

2

0

1.8

1.8

1.7

.705

.721

20.2%

16.5%

36.7%

2.2%

6.3%

Robinson Cano signed with Seattle because of the money, sure, but now he’s finally free to grow a super sweet beard. Don’t think the Players Association hasn’t put a value on that.
3

1

0

0.7

0.9

0.9

.680

.698

10.7%

5.6%

16.2%

-0.2%

0.8%

After one game Jose Abreu is hitting .500/.500/.750 and for now at least is the best Abreu ever.
4

1

1

1.5

1.7

1.7

.651

.669

40.6%

25.3%

66.0%

-4.6%

-0.5%

Some stats take a long time to stabilize. On Opening Day 31,042 Rays fans came through the gates. Last night, Game Two generated 11,113. Attendance stabilized!
5

1

0

0.9

0.8

0.8

.632

.650

0.8%

1.1%

1.9%

0.3%

0.4%

Scott Feldman is a real major-league pitcher so all the fainting spells in the stands last night make sense. It should really say something on the back of the tickets though.
6

1

0

0.6

0.6

0.6

.626

.644

53.3%

9.9%

63.1%

1.5%

4.4%

Did you guys know Ian Kinsler is on the Tigers now? It’s almost like the Hit List hibernates for six months and players switch teams while we’re gone! Ha ha ha! I need some herbal tea.
7

1

0

1.0

0.5

0.5

.648

.630

50.9%

14.0%

65.0%

-0.3%

5.2%

The season is 11 days old and the Cardinals have no wins and only one run. Panic!
8

1

0

0.6

0.7

0.7

.644

.625

62.3%

13.0%

75.3%

0.1%

4.1%

Health is a skill, and looking at Wilson Ramos’s player page, it’s one he doesn’t possess. But Wilson Ramos was abducted and held hostage, so is luck a skill?
9

2

0

1.8

1.6

1.5

.643

.625

2.4%

3.4%

5.8%

1.0%

1.0%

The Marlins are in first place! The Marlins are 2-0! The Marlins are perfect!
10

3

1

2.4

2.6

2.6

.634

.615

76.3%

15.9%

92.3%

-0.5%

-1.6%

Vin Scully described Yasiel Puig's homer by saying Puig “got a ball up and killed it.” So you know that ball is dead.
11

1

0

1.0

0.5

0.5

.616

.597

12.9%

10.2%

23.1%

-1.0%

0.8%

If Andrew McCutchen wins the MVP again he’ll be the first Mc to win back-to-back MVPs, or McVPs if you insist.
12

0

1

0.3

0.9

0.9

.536

.556

28.4%

24.7%

53.1%

1.4%

-0.7%

Jonny Gomes’ Technicolor dream jacket, selfies with the President, not a bad start to the season. Other than that whole losing a baseball game thing.
13

1

1

1.2

1.4

1.5

.569

.550

5.7%

23.2%

28.8%

-1.6%

2.8%

The Padres' second hitter is batting .750 but their third is hitting .000. That’s non-optimal lineup construction!
14

1

1

1.2

1.4

1.4

.562

.542

20.1%

15.8%

35.9%

5.2%

-0.7%

Good news! Only three Braves starters were injured in the making of this comment!
15

1

0

0.7

0.1

0.1

.479

.499

6.5%

11.1%

17.6%

1.0%

1.1%

Free Agent Update Now: Nelson Cruz homered and doubled, scoring two runs and, considering what Baltimore is paying him, pretty much paying for himself.
16

1

1

0.8

0.9

0.9

.478

.498

17.4%

15.3%

32.7%

4.6%

1.1%

The Rangers beat Philadelphia on Opening Day meaning Ian Kinsler’s wish for the Rangers to go 0-162 didn’t survive the first game. Sad Kinsler…
17

1

1

1.2

1.1

1.1

.511

.491

8.8%

9.9%

18.7%

-1.5%

0.4%

If the Phillies are going to win, they’re going to need Ryan Howard to ha ha just kidding they’re not going to win.
18

1

1

1.0

0.6

0.6

.469

.449

14.0%

38.4%

52.4%

-2.3%

0.4%

After months of watching football and prepping for the NHL and NBA playoffs, individual games start to take on a massive importance. Last night the Giants blew a four run lead and lost in Arizona. But it’s okay. It’s baseball. There are 160 more.
19

1

1

0.8

0.6

0.6

.435

.415

14.4%

12.8%

27.2%

-2.0%

1.2%

We're all so proud of you, Ryan Braun! So, so very proud!
20

1

3

1.6

1.8

1.7

.432

.412

2.0%

10.2%

12.2%

-0.7%

-3.1%

The Bacon Insider, a burger with bacon mixed into it, sponsors the Diamondbacks. There are parallels. Like the Diamondbacks, it’s delicious, but after experiencing it, the rest of your day is spent lying on the ground or sitting on a toilet..
21

0

1

0.4

0.4

0.4

.383

.403

14.0%

7.9%

21.8%

0.2%

-3.2%

The Royals blew a 3-1 lead because, hype or no, you gotta remember where you come from, Royals fans. Remember your roots!
22

1

1

0.5

0.3

0.3

.382

.401

10.1%

17.1%

27.3%

0.5%

1.5%

It took all of one inning for Jose Reyes to injure his hamstring. He’s due back from the DL in late April so Jays fans can look forward to another exciting inning around then.
23

0

1

0.0

0.5

0.5

.375

.356

18.0%

12.3%

30.3%

1.2%

-4.5%

Billy Hamilton struck out four times. Afterward he claimed he was doing it to honor Shin-Soo Choo’s memory. “Pour four outs for my homie,” he said.
24

0

1

0.1

0.2

0.2

.331

.349

14.3%

19.6%

33.9%

1.3%

2.0%

What do you say about a team that spent a billion dollars during the offseason and then loses on Opening Day to the team with the lowest payroll in baseball? Seriously, I want to know.
25

0

1

0.4

0.3

0.3

.363

.345

6.4%

7.0%

13.4%

-0.1%

-2.0%

Are we at the point where adding Kyle Farnsworth is legally considered giving up? Asking for a friend.
26

0

2

0.2

0.2

0.3

.317

.335

36.3%

18.0%

54.2%

-5.9%

-9.5%

It took Mike Trout three pitches to homer. So, question, what the heck was he doing on the first two?
27

0

1

0.0

0.5

0.5

.351

.333

3.8%

3.3%

7.1%

0.1%

-1.8%

The Cubs: proving that bad beer plus bad baseball equals a good time.
28

0

1

0.0

0.1

0.1

.295

.312

25.4%

17.0%

42.3%

-1.6%

-3.9%

The over/under on Jim Johnson’s ERA is set at 2.90 which means his current 54.00 is over that.
29

0

2

0.2

0.4

0.5

.312

.295

2.0%

10.5%

12.6%

2.3%

-2.2%

Troy Tulowitzki was in the midst of an amazing jump throw when he got a telegram from Derek Jeter’s lawyer. It read, “The jump throw is the exclusive property of Derek Jeter Stop. So stop Stop.” Tulowitzki finished anyway.
30

0

1

0.3

0.1

0.1

.274

.290

3.6%

2.7%

6.3%

0.3%

-1.0%

Adding Phil Hughes to the Twins rotation is like putting a flaming band-aid on a person who has been trampled by an elephant. And then tearing it off quickly.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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