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Prospectus Hit List for July 24



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for July 20
Hit List updates are published Monday and Thursday through the 2017 season. Data is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

In which #hugwatch2017 begins.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

68

31

67.8

69.9

69.5

.695

.691

99.7%

0.3%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

It makes sense that the Dodgers would want to put an end to their litany of SP injuries by trading for ... Yu Darvish?
2

65

33

64.8

68.0

66.9

.675

.680

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The guy who replaces an injured former first-round pick who himself was replacing your injured former first-round pick hits the game-winning homer. That’s just life for the Astros in 2017.
3

59

38

59.1

61.8

59.8

.618

.613

99.5%

0.2%

99.7%

0.3%

0.3%

It’s smart of Stephen Strasburg to sit out for precautionary reasons now. He has to make sure he’s in shape to sit out for precautionary reasons in October.
4

51

46

58.8

62.1

61.1

.600

.605

38.3%

39.4%

77.7%

5.5%

7.8%

We always knew it was unfair to label Didi Gregorius as “the next Jeter.” After all, he’s a good defender who hits for power.
5

51

45

56.6

60.6

59.1

.592

.597

85.1%

6.5%

91.7%

1.1%

2.0%

“Lindor’s walk-off HR sparks happiest trot ever” reads the Indians.com headline that takes a late, random shot at poor Trot Nixon.
6

56

42

60.0

58.2

57.6

.591

.587

0.2%

87.6%

87.8%

-1.9%

4.2%

The Diamondbacks are just 3-6 since the All-Star break. I blame the Homerun Derby.
7

55

45

56.8

53.8

52.6

.546

.551

50.0%

32.5%

82.5%

-2.9%

-5.6%

Rafael Devers is getting called up to the big leagues today, so expect him to be labeled as a bust by the Boston media by, oh, let’s say Saturday.
8

51

46

50.9

54.3

54.1

.542

.537

68.2%

6.4%

74.6%

6.4%

16.1%

The worst part about the Cubs being good again is that we have to pretend it’s still a feel-good story.
9

58

42

55.5

51.9

51.3

.542

.537

0.1%

84.4%

84.5%

4.7%

13.0%

Mark Reynolds hit a 482-foot homer yesterday, the longest homer ever hit by a blind person in the Statcast Era.
10

51

48

50.8

54.2

53.7

.530

.535

11.4%

32.4%

43.7%

-6.7%

-7.8%

Pretty impressive effort by the Tampa bullpen to out-Rangers the Rangers bullpen. I’m sure Sergio Romo will fix that right quick.
11

47

51

51.1

52.0

52.8

.517

.512

9.2%

5.1%

14.3%

-2.4%

-1.4%

Credit where credit is due -- if you call Jerry Dipoto enough times, maybe he’ll do something weird and just give you a solid prospect.
12

53

48

53.9

50.3

49.0

.510

.505

16.6%

7.1%

23.7%

-3.3%

-29.1%

Sometimes, if you lie really still at night and focus, you can actually hear the Brewers falling back to earth.
13

49

51

49.3

48.3

49.3

.490

.495

0.0%

18.2%

18.2%

-5.5%

-2.5%

Desperate times call for desperate measures, but putting Yovani Gallardo back into the rotation is just cruel to all parties involved.
14

50

47

46.3

45.0

46.3

.484

.489

8.5%

18.2%

26.6%

5.8%

11.1%

Nothing says “we should keep the band together” like a four-game sweep of the White Sox!
15

48

50

50.1

45.4

45.9

.483

.488

0.0%

21.7%

21.7%

3.7%

-5.5%

The Rangers have won three consecutive one-run games, so make sure you pack your North Face en route to hell.
16

45

52

46.7

47.6

46.6

.479

.484

1.5%

3.7%

5.2%

0.5%

0.1%

Turns out that old, beat-up van was actually more durable than Daniel Norris.
17

49

51

48.0

46.2

48.0

.478

.483

0.0%

8.5%

8.5%

1.9%

3.5%

The Angels are approaching Cardinals Devil Magic status with their rotation. The Padres think their starters are anonymous, yet LA has the 12th-best SP ERA in the game.
18

49

50

46.8

45.7

46.1

.474

.469

6.1%

3.6%

9.7%

-2.4%

3.3%

Pittsburgh is about to play 19 straight games against teams that currently have a sub-.500 record. The last time a Pirate had the odds that stacked in his favor, Euron Greyjoy REDACTED FOR SPOILERS.
19

44

52

44.3

45.0

45.8

.466

.461

0.2%

1.3%

1.5%

-0.9%

-1.7%

It’s a good thing that kid kicked Dee Gordon and not Giancarlo Stanton, because Stanton probably would’ve hit the DL for three months if he’d suffered such a blow.
20

44

54

41.4

45.6

47.7

.456

.461

0.0%

2.5%

2.5%

0.0%

-2.8%

The A’s have bad some trouble holding leads since they traded away Ryan Madson and Sean Doolittle. Turns out even going *near* Washington’s bullpen leads to late-inning issues.
21

47

50

44.8

43.5

42.8

.459

.454

0.2%

2.3%

2.4%

-0.3%

-3.1%

“Dickey looks to get knuckler working in desert” reads the Braves.com headline that feels a lot dirtier than it really is.
22

49

48

42.1

41.2

41.6

.448

.453

4.9%

12.2%

17.1%

-3.7%

0.3%

How is it that trading for and failing to trade for Jaime Garcia are equally Twinsian outcomes?
23

45

51

44.0

42.0

42.3

.451

.446

0.2%

1.6%

1.7%

-0.4%

-1.6%

This year I wonder if Wilmer Flores will cry if he finds out he’s *not* being traded.
24

47

51

41.9

38.5

40.4

.428

.433

0.3%

2.7%

3.0%

1.0%

1.9%

What do the Orioles and early World War II France have in common? They both got bombed so often they were willing to give up Britton.
25

44

54

39.8

41.2

42.3

.427

.432

0.1%

1.5%

1.6%

-0.8%

-2.4%

So many blisters ... do they also sell bagged urine in Canada?
26

38

57

42.3

40.6

40.9

.426

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.3%

Yoan Moncada is batting just .077/.200/.311. The White Sox have lost the Chris Sale trade.
27

41

57

41.4

42.6

43.6

.430

.425

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

The Reds have to stop with all these Joey Votto/Zack Cozart donkey updates. They’re really making asses out of themselves.
28

43

55

35.4

38.4

39.7

.399

.394

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

The Padres actually have a winning record so far in July. They’re late push has them just ... oh god, just 24.5 games back.
29

34

62

39.9

39.2

39.8

.398

.393

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Phillies offense is averaging nearly six runs a game since the All-Star break. Unfortunately, the Phillies pitching staff is still the Phillies pitching staff.
30

38

62

38.2

35.5

35.9

.369

.365

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

“Westword no: Giants fall to 17-27 in division” reads the Giants.com headline written by someone who’s even more tapped out on puns than I am.

Ben Carsley is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Ben's other articles. You can contact Ben by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
ceadie

Bagged urine has not met Health Canada food safety guidelines yet. But club tenderized cute baby seal meat has.

Jul 24, 2017 10:26 AM
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TGT969

Joke is always on the Pirates-had the All-Star outfield together for all of 3 days. Polonco is out and out for a while.

Jul 24, 2017 13:34 PM
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