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Prospectus Hit List for September 8



by Rob McQuown

Hit List for September 7 Hit List for September 9
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Weather permitting, we have the latest Hit List stats through games of September 7, which show the Yankees again pacing the field. Props to Daniel Rathman and Clark Goble for the expert commentary.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

87

54

90.8

87.3

87.6

.625

.644

75.9%

24.1%

100.0%

-0.0%

0.2%

The Yankees started Wednesday's game with something of a Grapefruit League lineup, letting their veterans sleep in after the previous night's marathon. But even after Robinson Cano, Mark Teixeira, and Curtis Granderson were inserted as pinch-hitters, New York couldn't plate a run during the final six innings.
2

85

57

86.8

90.4

89.8

.620

.638

24.1%

75.8%

99.9%

-0.1%

-0.1%

Terry Francona inexplicably let Jonathan Papelbon sit and watch in the bullpen, as Daniel Bard and Matt Albers combined to turn a two-run lead into a three-run deficit. The meltdown once again stranded Tim Wakefield at 199 career wins.
3

91

48

90.0

88.6

87.8

.643

.624

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Roy Oswalt, trying to prove himself for the fourth spot in the postseason rotation, impressed on Wednesday, carrying a no-hitter into the sixth inning.
4

81

63

83.8

87.3

87.8

.590

.609

90.2%

0.0%

90.2%

-3.6%

1.1%

Ian Kinsler kept it interesting, but the Rangers just couldn't squeak out a victory at Tampa Bay.
5

78

64

78.3

78.8

79.0

.553

.573

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

The club picked up its 1,000th victory on Wednesday. And the 11,190 fans in attendance will never forget it.
6

81

62

75.6

79.2

77.9

.548

.568

99.3%

0.0%

99.3%

1.0%

7.8%

Jason Verlander has carried the Tigers all season. On Wednesday, they returned the favor.
7

85

59

79.1

82.6

81.6

.570

.550

99.9%

0.0%

99.9%

-0.1%

0.9%

The Brewers have scored a total of 10 runs in their last four games.
8

78

65

74.8

73.2

72.7

.522

.542

9.8%

0.0%

9.8%

3.5%

-1.1%

Losing to a Seattle team that picked up a lone hit on Wednesday certainly would've been a buzzkill, but the Angels pulled it out and pulled with 2.5 games of the Rangers.
9

82

60

77.0

76.8

75.7

.548

.528

0.0%

97.2%

97.2%

-0.9%

-1.1%

So yeah, the Braves probably need to figure out what's up with their bullpen before they find the Cardinals nipping at their tails.
10

71

70

68.4

73.2

73.3

.507

.527

0.7%

0.0%

0.7%

-0.9%

-6.0%

A.J. Pierzynski left eight runners on base and the White Sox fell despite outhitting the Twins 12-8.
11

76

67

76.3

76.3

75.3

.531

.511

0.1%

1.9%

2.1%

1.2%

-0.1%

With the Braves coming to Busch Stadium for a weekend series, anything's possible...
12

71

72

71.3

68.2

70.1

.491

.511

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In his big league debut as a position player, Adam Loewen contributed a single in the 8th inning that fueled Toronto's five-run rally.
13

82

61

76.1

71.9

71.9

.528

.508

96.5%

0.1%

96.6%

4.1%

13.6%

After dropping a game in the standings on Tuesday, the D'backs gained it right back, paring their magic number down to 13.
14

70

70

66.7

66.4

66.6

.482

.502

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-1.8%

The Indians started surprisingly strong on Wednesday, but sort of collapsed in the home stretch ... remind you of anything?
15

65

78

69.2

69.0

70.2

.478

.498

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Guillermo Moscoso threw 129 pitches in his no-hit bid, the most for an Oakland pitcher since Mark Mulder threw 132 against Toronto in 2001.
16

70

73

75.0

75.1

74.4

.515

.495

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Johnny Cueto just can't get a win -- his last W came five starts ago.
17

69

72

71.3

72.4

71.8

.505

.484

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

The Dodgers couldn't generate much against Stephen Strasburg, but they sure can beat the other Nationals! (Sep 7)
18

75

68

68.7

71.7

71.3

.501

.481

3.5%

0.8%

4.2%

-4.2%

-13.2%

Brett Pill has proven that he can go deep against Wade LeBlanc and Aaron Harang. If he can do it again versus Clayton Kershaw on Friday, Pill will become the first player to hit a home run in each of his first three big league games since at least 1919.
19

70

71

69.6

70.7

71.2

.499

.479

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

With Bobby Parnell in purgatory for his recent sins, Terry Collins turned to Manny Acosta -- owner of a 28-to-6 K/BB since the All-Star Break with a 1-0 lead on Wednesday. Acosta rewarded him with his first save of the season and a couple more punchouts.
20

60

84

66.2

65.8

66.8

.449

.469

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Royals won two out of three in Oakland, but they very nearly got no-hit in the loss on Wednesday.
21

67

76

69.8

71.1

70.6

.487

.467

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Rookie catcher Wilin Rosario crushed his first career home run -- a mammoth blast that traveled well over 400 feet to left-center field -- in the 4th inning. As Kevin Goldstein tweeted,
22

65

75

65.2

65.2

65.6

.466

.446

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

This just in: that Stephen Strasburg guy is still pretty darn good. (Sep 7)
23

63

79

62.8

69.6

69.0

.466

.446

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

FIP and SIERA be damned, Brad Hand has managed to post a 3.92 ERA in 50.2 innings, despite allowing nine homers, walking 32 batters, and striking out just 28.
24

59

83

58.8

61.4

62.5

.426

.445

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Third baseman Alex Liddi became the first player born and raised in Italy to play in the majors.
25

62

81

69.3

64.3

64.1

.454

.434

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Will Venable led off the game with a long-ball, marking the fifth time he's done that this season. That's good for a tie with Corey Hart, and two shy of Ian Kinsler's seven game-starting homers.
26

66

77

64.8

58.4

57.3

.431

.411

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Clint Hurdle relied on his bench to get the Pirates going in the 8th inning, and it worked to perfection. Pinch-hitters Garrett Jones and Ryan Doumit set the table with singles, before fellow replacement Jason Jaramillo finished off the Astros with a game-winning knock of his own.
27

62

81

60.4

61.4

60.8

.428

.408

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Carlos Pena's go-ahead three-run homer looked like something out of a Home Run Derby.
28

56

85

55.5

53.2

54.0

.388

.407

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Orioles struck out 15 times in eleven innings and went 1-for-14 with runners in scoring position. Oh, did I mention that they won the game?
29

59

84

55.3

49.4

50.2

.374

.393

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

More than one run! Hip hip hooray!
30

48

95

54.4

55.1

55.3

.372

.353

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Brad Mills let J.A. Happ stick around long enough to throw 120 pitches. Problem is, that only got him through 5 innings.

Rob McQuown is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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