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Prospectus Hit List for May 27



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 22
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The one, the only, the Hit List.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

28

17

28.5

31.3

30.2

.619

.600

79.0%

14.8%

93.9%

0.3%

-2.0%

Jimmy Rollins has a .622 OPS so someone should tell him he's not on the Phillies anymore.
2

27

20

25.1

28.0

28.4

.541

.561

43.5%

18.0%

61.5%

3.0%

-1.7%

The Tigers know they're supposed to be old and lousy, right?
3

28

17

27.7

28.0

28.2

.536

.556

30.8%

18.9%

49.7%

-4.4%

-1.0%

Jeremy Guthrie gave up 11 runs in one inning to the Yankees, which seems so typically Royals as long as the box score you're looking at isn't next to the standings.
4

30

17

26.7

27.5

28.1

.536

.556

40.6%

24.6%

65.2%

5.9%

8.2%

Luis Valbuena has just one fewer home run than Mike Trout—oh wait the Astros are good so I don't need to come up with patronizing semi-facts to make Astros fans feel less terrible about themselves. Yay winning!
5

30

16

29.9

27.0

26.9

.575

.555

65.8%

20.9%

86.6%

0.2%

1.1%

The Cardinals are thriving without any help from Jason Heyward so imagine how great they'll be when they deal Heyward for Giancarlo Stanton like I did in my fantasy league—yes I'm in first place.
6

27

19

25.6

25.7

24.6

.564

.544

78.3%

9.6%

88.0%

-2.1%

0.5%

During the last two seasons, Bryce Harper has four stolen bases and has been caught stealing five times, said the guy desperately searching for a reason to dislike Bryce Harper.
7

24

23

24.7

26.1

25.9

.524

.544

25.8%

13.3%

39.1%

-5.5%

-11.7%

It's so hard to poke fun at the Rays because all their notable personalities left town for better—oh there I did it.
8

24

22

24.5

25.6

26.3

.523

.543

28.5%

12.9%

41.5%

7.3%

-0.9%

Throughout recorded history, baseball teams are undefeated when someone named "Slade Heathcott" homers.
9

23

23

22.2

20.2

20.4

.512

.532

29.8%

22.0%

51.8%

-2.9%

-7.3%

After five more homers this weekend, Mike Napoli is now hitting .333/.453/.739 against the Angels in his career, so perhaps sign him then send him to Hawaii on vacation.
10

20

25

21.5

23.9

24.0

.504

.524

11.0%

11.3%

22.3%

-1.8%

7.7%

Statistically, the Indians' chances of fielding a batted ball is 0.675, 0.325 lower than their chances of having a racist team name.
11

22

23

20.7

21.0

21.5

.503

.523

18.9%

19.1%

38.0%

1.7%

6.1%

On the plus side, Robinson Cano looks like a shoe-in to make the cover of Hot Garbage Illustrated.
12

25

20

22.9

25.0

24.7

.539

.519

24.8%

35.9%

60.7%

-0.2%

1.9%

By WARP, the Cubs' best player spent the first half of April helping Iowa win the Pacific Coast League title because you gotta have priorities.
13

22

26

26.6

23.5

23.1

.498

.518

10.3%

7.4%

17.7%

1.5%

1.6%

Josh Donaldson went 4-for-4 with two homers and five runs scored in last night's game but he'll never be Brett Lawrie. Unless he gets a tattoo of it.
14

27

20

24.7

25.3

25.2

.536

.516

16.8%

43.9%

60.7%

5.3%

18.5%

For Halloween, Hunter Pence dresses as Hunter Pence. He does a very convincing impression!
15

17

31

23.6

25.8

26.1

.494

.514

1.2%

2.3%

3.6%

-1.3%

-2.7%

The A's record in one-run games is 2-13 but their record in one-pun games is undefeated.
16

21

25

18.9

20.4

20.6

.493

.513

27.1%

11.9%

39.0%

-3.3%

-10.5%

Word is Joe Kelly and his 6.24 ERA might keep his rotation spot. It's like that tin sign in the Fenway clubhouse says, "Play slightly above turd level today!"
17

23

23

23.0

21.9

22.4

.492

.512

9.5%

12.8%

22.3%

1.6%

15.9%

Every team has a winning streak now and again, but they all come to an end eventually. Remember that when the Rangers don't ever lose again.
18

23

22

26.3

24.9

24.3

.531

.511

9.0%

21.9%

30.9%

2.2%

10.5%

Andrew McCutchen just heard you traded him from your fantasy team, so time for all the homerz!
19

20

23

21.7

21.3

21.3

.486

.506

8.2%

5.7%

13.9%

-2.8%

-2.4%

The Orioles are appealing Brian Matusz's suspension on the grounds that the substance on his arm was pudding.
20

27

18

24.5

20.2

20.8

.476

.496

11.4%

14.4%

25.8%

3.0%

11.0%

The Twins third order winning percentage is .459. The Twins winning percentage when facing Joe Kelly is 1.000. Eat that, third order winning percentage!
21

26

21

23.9

22.1

21.8

.505

.485

19.5%

23.0%

42.5%

-1.6%

-11.7%

Look, the Mets might win some games or whatever but Bartolo Colon will run the bases in our dreams forever.
22

22

25

22.4

19.7

20.5

.489

.469

3.5%

17.9%

21.4%

1.5%

-8.6%

The Padres defense is the opposite of Swiss cheese in that the cheese parts are really small and the holes are huuuuge.
23

19

24

16.3

16.2

16.6

.444

.463

3.3%

5.3%

8.6%

-2.0%

-12.3%

Their season isn't going as they'd hoped, but as they say, it's not over until the White Sox players start attending Cubs games.
24

21

24

23.4

22.5

22.6

.476

.456

0.6%

3.3%

3.9%

-1.4%

1.4%

The good thing is if the Diamondbacks could trade their first overall draft pick for a bucket of dirt and grit, for the first time in a while, they might not do it.
25

18

29

21.0

22.6

22.4

.472

.452

0.9%

2.8%

3.7%

-1.9%

-5.5%

With a .449 slugging percentage, the highest of any qualified batter without a home run, Dee Gordon has stopped answering Ben Revere's texts.
26

19

26

18.6

20.1

19.8

.446

.426

0.4%

1.6%

2.0%

-0.1%

-2.8%

The Reds shut down Devin Mesoraco, as new medical data indicates it is harder than previously thought to play baseball with one hip.
27

22

23

20.9

19.0

18.2

.440

.420

1.1%

2.3%

3.4%

-1.0%

0.2%

Braves: Trading Season! Dodgers: Draft season! Braves: Trading Season! Dodgers: Draft season! Braves: Draft season! Dodgers: Trading Season! Braves: Great we'll take Uribe thanks bye!
28

18

26

18.1

18.5

18.3

.434

.415

0.1%

1.1%

1.2%

-0.8%

-0.6%

Nolan Arenado has a .737 OPS at home but a .986 OPS on the road. Imagine how good he'd be if he could just hit in the best hitters' park ever!
29

16

31

17.4

16.2

16.6

.423

.404

0.0%

0.7%

0.8%

-0.5%

-2.9%

[looks at standings] Guess it's time for Bernie Brewer to start drinking. Oh. Right. Nevermind.
30

19

29

17.4

18.6

18.3

.397

.378

0.2%

0.2%

0.4%

0.0%

0.0%

After Ryan Howard's 10 homers, the next best on the team is three, shared by three players one of whom is Jeff Francoeur. If Worst Comeback Player of the Year was an award...

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
DetroitDale

The tigers climbed to second in the power rankings even as they fall to third in their division, scoring 1 run in two games against a pathetic A's team where they missed Sonny Grey?

I like to see it but I'm surprised the fans of the cardinals, Astrid, nationals, Yankees, totals, and yes the Rays and the Twins arent calling shenanigans yet...

Well I guess the Twins and the Rays can be explained by the fact that they don't have any fans but still....

May 27, 2015 16:43 PM
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jnossal

Indians is racist? It's only a term that has been in common usage for more than five centuries and unlike some, it has never been a derogatory label. Or did you mean the logo?

May 28, 2015 10:15 AM
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