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Prospectus Hit List for June 1



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 29
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Can I get a Hit List? Yes. Yes you can.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

29

20

30.5

33.0

32.3

.614

.595

77.2%

15.6%

92.8%

0.1%

0.3%

Yasmani Grandal is hitting .292/.406/.491 and has been the most valuable catcher in baseball at pitch framing, so if you're a Padres fan, invent a time machine so you can go back in time and not read this comment.
2

33

17

32.2

30.0

30.2

.575

.555

68.3%

19.9%

88.2%

1.1%

3.4%

I wouldn't be too worried about first base, Cardinals fans. If nothing else, it's entirely possible Matt Carpenter can handle first and third base simultaneously.
3

29

19

29.3

29.3

29.6

.531

.551

29.2%

19.4%

48.7%

-1.7%

-8.3%

The Royals wore throwback uniforms yesterday, though if they want to highlight their glory years they should probably wear the uniforms they wore Saturday.
4

31

20

28.0

29.8

30.4

.530

.550

33.1%

25.0%

58.1%

-3.1%

-4.5%

Is it more amazing that the Astros are in first place or that they're in first place and have the erstwhile Fausto Carmona in their starting rotation?
5

27

24

26.4

24.2

24.7

.528

.548

39.0%

21.8%

60.8%

2.8%

9.0%

New rule: from now on when the Angels score, Mike Trout's participation will be assumed unless specifically stated otherwise.
6

26

25

27.1

29.0

28.6

.528

.548

32.8%

11.2%

44.0%

4.0%

-4.0%

The Rays are the best team in baseball by Defensive Efficiency, but at least part of that is because the stadium is so hard to get to.
7

28

24

25.9

29.3

29.4

.524

.544

33.4%

19.0%

52.4%

-3.8%

-9.5%

In his career, Miguel Cabrera has cost his teams 82.3 runs on defense by FRAA, but on offense has been worth a billion runs by my new stat, WHATAREYOUSERIOUSWOW.
8

24

26

25.4

27.7

27.7

.518

.538

16.8%

16.2%

33.0%

6.0%

7.0%

Quick Quiz! The Indians had 18 hits, including five extra base hits. How many runs did they score? A) 18, B) 12, C) 6, D) 0, or E) I've been watching this team for 30 years, so negative eight.
9

26

25

26.6

27.7

28.4

.516

.536

29.3%

11.0%

40.3%

-3.1%

10.0%

After the Yankees used three pitchers to finish the eighth inning, a suggestion to speed up the game: any reliever removed from the game must remain standing on the mound until the inning ends.
10

28

22

26.7

27.2

25.8

.551

.531

70.5%

11.7%

82.2%

-3.1%

-7.1%

The Nationals placed Stephen Strasburg on the 15-day disabled list. Go get 'em, nerds!
11

24

26

22.9

23.1

23.9

.502

.522

15.6%

17.9%

33.5%

-4.8%

-2.2%

In the seventh inning, Justin Ruggiano pinch-hit for Dustin Ackley. He struck out. Three times. Gotta love 12-inning games.
12

20

33

26.6

29.0

29.6

.501

.521

1.3%

2.7%

4.0%

0.6%

-0.1%

If only Marcus Semien weren't awful at shortstop, then the A's bullpen would be able to pitch!
13

30

22

27.4

28.7

28.6

.541

.521

18.6%

42.4%

61.0%

-4.9%

9.4%

Another homer for Brandon Belt, who has the best hitter's name since anyone named Homer.
14

23

29

28.4

26.0

25.5

.498

.518

9.3%

5.2%

14.6%

-0.9%

1.4%

Despite being six games under .500, the Jays run differential is +25, so either they're not this bad or there's been some movement in the Canadian dollar I'm not accounting for.
15

26

22

23.8

26.0

26.1

.535

.515

20.8%

36.4%

57.1%

3.9%

-6.7%

The last cub to play in a World Series, Lennie Merullo, died yesterday. He was 98. The youngest player to play for a World Series winning Cubs team died in 1969.
16

26

24

29.0

28.1

27.3

.533

.513

10.4%

25.9%

36.2%

-1.7%

9.1%

When you take pitch framing into account, would you trade Francisco Cervelli for Russell Martin or Brian McCann? Weirdly you probably shouldn't!
17

26

25

25.4

23.9

24.4

.492

.512

11.0%

13.9%

24.9%

3.1%

7.2%

Josh Hamilton's first two homers of the year came on knuckleballs and his next 78 would have as well, but the game ended.
18

22

29

20.4

22.4

22.4

.488

.508

21.2%

8.8%

30.0%

-2.2%

-15.8%

With runners on, the Red Sox are hitting .239/.311/.367, making them the opposite of the Marine Corps in that they leave everyone behind.
19

23

26

24.4

23.6

23.8

.477

.497

7.4%

3.6%

11.0%

-2.2%

-2.7%

Chris Tillman and his 5.94 ERA should do a Mr. T-tough-love-style tour of high schools called "I pity the fool who don't sign that contract extension."
20

30

19

26.7

21.7

22.1

.477

.497

15.7%

17.5%

33.2%

2.8%

13.7%

You can't spell Twins without "win", though looking at the numbers, maybe Twins should be spelled Twluckyins.
21

28

23

26.2

24.7

24.0

.509

.489

26.1%

18.8%

44.9%

3.6%

3.6%

Bartolo Colon doubled yesterday. I assume it went over the fence but he stopped at second anyway.
22

23

26

19.8

18.7

19.2

.452

.472

4.9%

6.7%

11.6%

2.4%

-1.0%

At 23-26, the White Sox have played at least 26 games where Chris Sale did not start. This seems like a strategic error.
23

25

27

25.2

21.6

22.7

.489

.469

3.0%

16.3%

19.4%

1.7%

-4.3%

Will Middlebrooks has 13 extra-base hits and 24 singles, which is great except for the other 119 at-bats.
24

23

26

25.8

25.2

25.0

.486

.466

0.8%

3.9%

4.7%

-1.0%

-1.6%

Even though there is more than enough space, MLB's At Bat app shows the team name as "D-backs", which could be in response to the recent arrest of Saved By The Bell star Dustin Diamond.
25

20

31

23.1

24.9

24.6

.476

.456

1.9%

2.7%

4.6%

-1.1%

-3.0%

Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .228, but has an .833 OPS because, for Stanton, 2015 is all about proving that batting average is stupid.
26

22

27

21.7

22.9

22.7

.459

.439

0.6%

2.4%

3.0%

0.8%

0.2%

Five games under .500 and 10 games out in the division, the Reds should probably just trade the All-Star Game so they can get the fire sale going.
27

22

26

21.1

21.8

21.4

.453

.433

0.3%

1.9%

2.3%

0.0%

0.8%

Jordan Lyles started but got hurt in the second inning, which is statistically about the best you can hope for from a Rockies starter.
28

25

25

23.6

20.7

20.1

.435

.416

1.5%

1.8%

3.3%

0.6%

-2.2%

The Braves are back to .500! Kinda makes you wonder about the wisdom of playing the previous 50 games in the first place.
29

17

34

18.7

17.0

17.5

.419

.399

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.0%

-1.3%

The Brewers beat the Diamondbacks in 17 innings, testing the old "if a tree falls in the woods but nobody is there to see it, did it happen" theory.
30

19

33

17.5

18.4

18.0

.382

.363

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.5%

"Ryan Howard's resurgence is amazing", says Ruben Amaro as he drops him off on the side of an interstate with $60 million in small unmarked bills pinned to his clothes.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


7 comments have been left for this article.
DetroitDale

re: the Twins comment, I realize the purpose of the Hit List is to be funny, but a serious column answering the question "Twins: Real or lucky?" would be a good idea

Jun 01, 2015 09:08 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

Our own Matthew Trueblood explored this (quite well, I thought) today at BP.

Jun 01, 2015 10:02 AM
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lonechicken

Re: Giants comment.

Is Pokey Reese worth an honorable mention?

Jun 01, 2015 09:54 AM
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BP staff member Matt Kory

I always took that as an ironic name as Reese was not pokey, he was fast!

Jun 01, 2015 10:00 AM
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JoshC77

C'mon...what about Josh Outman....is there any better name for a pitcher?

Jun 02, 2015 05:59 AM
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JoshC77

C'mon...what about Josh Outman....is there any better name for a pitcher?

Jun 02, 2015 05:59 AM
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timber

Considering that the Royals were rained out on Saturday, perhaps they should wear Friday's uniforms? At least that was a game that they won.

Jun 01, 2015 12:14 PM
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