Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for May 6



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for May 4
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

You should read this! Trust me, just read it. Trust me!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

17

9

17.2

18.9

18.2

.637

.618

81.7%

11.7%

93.4%

-0.3%

0.6%

Monday, Adrian Gonzalez came to bat four times and yet he didn't bat once, as he walked three times and was hit by a pitch. This is probably the most unremarkable thing about Gonzalez's season so far.
2

17

9

18.0

19.1

18.6

.576

.596

23.0%

14.4%

37.3%

4.5%

4.0%

Greg Holland is coming back so the best bullpen in baseball figures to get better. So considering we're talking about bullpens, the whole thing will probably spontaneously combust.
3

20

6

18.2

16.8

15.7

.607

.588

73.1%

14.6%

87.7%

0.8%

13.4%

The Cardinals are 19-6. Jason Heyward is terrible. These statements are surprisingly not mutually exclusive.
4

18

9

16.8

18.3

18.1

.568

.587

29.4%

16.6%

46.0%

-4.7%

10.2%

"Your leader in DRA WARP is Dallas Keuchel" is a sentence that would have made no sense one year ago.
5

17

10

16.9

17.1

17.4

.564

.583

28.5%

24.4%

52.9%

3.9%

11.4%

Michael Pineda has thrown 39.1 innings giving him a solid chance to break PECOTA's predicted 62 and now I realize using the word 'break' was in poor taste.
6

17

10

14.3

16.8

16.8

.555

.575

58.1%

11.3%

69.4%

-2.4%

1.7%

According to our metrics, David Price is taking 25.347 minutes between pitches? I think I'm reading that wrong.
7

14

13

13.4

15.4

15.9

.539

.559

28.7%

25.8%

54.5%

-5.5%

-2.6%

Kevin Cash is 0-for-11 on replay challenges, 0-for-12 if you count the time he challenged the cost of a Snickers at the Price Chopper.
8

12

16

15.8

15.9

15.9

.524

.543

13.9%

11.5%

25.4%

3.7%

-2.8%

The bad news: according to Base Running Runs (BRR), Billy Butler is the worst in baseball. The good news: he's on the A's so he'll get hurt any day now.
9

12

12

13.1

13.9

14.0

.516

.536

8.3%

11.7%

20.0%

-0.7%

5.7%

Jimmy Paredes has lost 100 points of batting average in 10 days. It's not in the car, under the couch, or in the hamper. Anyone with information should contact the proper authorities.
10

13

14

12.1

12.8

13.2

.507

.527

25.5%

22.7%

48.2%

2.1%

-15.7%

This season has made clear that Wade Miley is a bad pitcher and not, as it turns out, something you do while fly-fishing.
11

13

12

12.7

14.6

14.4

.541

.521

17.8%

32.1%

49.8%

-3.0%

-14.0%

Kris Bryant Update: Not good enough to start the season in Chicago, good enough to bat third or fourth every day since he was called up.
12

17

10

15.9

13.9

14.0

.536

.516

38.8%

17.9%

56.7%

3.9%

-8.6%

The Mets are 17-10. See? Told you signing Michael Cuddyer was a great idea!
13

12

15

12.8

10.8

10.9

.492

.512

33.7%

15.1%

48.9%

1.9%

-2.1%

Mike Trout has been a more valuable baseball player by WARP than all the other hitters on his team combined, and Collin Cowgill accepts that. If you're talking Cornhole prowess though, better expect some pushback.
14

13

14

15.0

16.1

15.4

.524

.504

12.1%

12.4%

24.5%

3.4%

6.1%

The Marlins are releasing Jarrod Saltalamacchia with $14 million left on his contract. Don't worry though. I'm sure Miami-Dade County will pay for most of it.
15

13

15

14.5

12.0

12.4

.483

.503

9.0%

14.3%

23.2%

-1.6%

0.9%

What would you have said about the Blue Jays' season if I told you Marco Estrada would be their best pitcher on May 6th? Yeah, that's about right.
16

13

15

13.4

13.4

13.0

.521

.501

46.7%

18.5%

65.2%

-7.5%

5.1%

You know the problem with Bryce Harper? [mumble mumble] So yeah!
17

11

16

10.7

10.9

11.4

.470

.490

18.9%

11.8%

30.7%

-2.7%

-8.3%

Felix Hernandez is 5-0 so it's good to see he's finally learned how to pitch.
18

14

13

11.9

13.9

13.5

.506

.486

9.3%

27.3%

36.6%

5.6%

13.5%

Tim Hudson is taking more 30 seconds between pitches when runners are on base, though that probably counts the 27 seconds it takes for the ball to travel to the plate after he throws it.
19

12

14

14.1

13.1

12.8

.505

.485

6.6%

17.7%

24.2%

-3.0%

-6.4%

Jeff Karstens has announced his retirement. [Sad Karstens face]
20

14

14

14.4

12.0

12.6

.499

.479

7.7%

26.9%

34.6%

-3.4%

-2.7%

The Padres are trying to change their image, though I'd have gone with clown makeup and polka dot uniforms before leading baseball in home runs allowed.
21

9

16

10.5

10.9

11.3

.457

.477

7.5%

6.4%

13.9%

-0.1%

2.4%

Still last in Defensive Efficiency, Cleveland? I guess we know a few someones who don't read the Hit List!
22

14

13

13.4

11.5

11.9

.455

.475

4.2%

4.1%

8.3%

-1.6%

3.2%

Joe Mauer has: A) more triples than homers, B) more intentional walks than homers, C) A & B, D) C, E) C & D.
23

13

13

12.8

13.3

13.0

.481

.461

1.9%

8.0%

9.9%

1.9%

-2.4%

Walk, strikeout, walk, walk -- *sigh* -- strikeout, strikeout. Aroldis Chapman is bored.
24

10

16

10.7

9.9

9.7

.436

.456

4.0%

3.9%

8.0%

1.6%

1.3%

The Rangers' most valuable pitcher, Nick Martinez, has a 3.66 K/9. They say everything is bigger in Texas, which presumably includes the perceived length of the baseball season.
25

9

14

7.6

7.2

7.8

.417

.436

7.2%

6.0%

13.3%

1.7%

-9.3%

Have the White Sox been the worst road team in baseball because they refuse to use a GPS? Hit List investigates!
26

13

14

13.4

12.5

12.1

.454

.434

2.0%

2.6%

4.6%

1.4%

-1.3%

A.J. Pierzynski is hitting .344 which, humorously enough, is also the exact same percentage of the clubhouse that likes him.
27

10

14

11.9

10.4

10.8

.450

.430

0.3%

2.6%

2.9%

-0.2%

-0.6%

Statistically two rainouts in a row is the best baseball the Diamondbacks have played this year.
28

11

13

8.9

10.1

9.6

.435

.415

1.0%

4.7%

5.7%

1.3%

-3.6%

The last two games have been rained out, and the forecast for the next six days in Denver is thunderstorms, thunderstorms, thunderstorms, thunderstorms, thunderstorms, and rain. Eight day vacation? Eight day vacation!
29

8

19

8.5

7.2

8.0

.396

.377

0.7%

2.8%

3.5%

-0.6%

1.1%

Kyle Lohse has given up more home runs (9) then walks (8) because he's all about expediency.
30

10

18

7.7

8.0

8.3

.362

.344

0.4%

0.3%

0.7%

-0.2%

-0.3%

One problem with trading Cole Hamels that maybe Ruben Amaro hasn't considered: all his potential trade partners are terrible.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
BPKevin

Funny on Baltimore...is that true about Trout and the other Angels hitters? If so, wow.

May 06, 2015 09:36 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
BP staff member Matt Kory

It is true by WARP! Not sure about other metrics.

May 06, 2015 09:56 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content.
<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Hey... (05/06)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (05/04)
Next Article >>
Beating the Shift (05/06)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, May 5...
Fantasy Rounders: You Can Never Have Too Muc...
The Lineup Card: Eight Things We Learned in ...
Premium Article Some Projection Left: Scouting the Slow Star...
BP Ballpark Night
BP Ballpark Night
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: A Chance In Counsell

MORE FROM MAY 6, 2015 09:05 AM
Premium Article Some Projection Left: Scouting the Slow Star...
The Lineup Card: Eight Things We Learned in ...
Fantasy Rounders: You Can Never Have Too Muc...
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, May 5...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: No Way
Beating the Shift
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Hey, So What Happened to ...

MORE BY MATTHEW KORY
2015-05-06 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, May 6
2015-05-01 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, May 1
2015-04-27 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, April 27
2015-04-22 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, April 22
More...

MORE THE PROSPECTUS HIT LIST
2015-05-06 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, May 6
2015-05-04 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, May 4
2015-05-01 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, May 1
2015-04-29 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, April 29
More...