Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for June 29



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 26
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Hit List! Hit List! Read all about it!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

43

34

46.2

50.0

48.9

.601

.581

78.8%

12.9%

91.7%

1.0%

2.6%

Zack Greinke’s 1.58 ERA is the lowest of any qualified starter in baseball, putting him just ahead of Max Scherzer for the Exhibit 1A That Offense Is Broken award.
2

51

24

49.5

45.7

45.8

.581

.561

90.1%

8.9%

99.1%

0.0%

2.8%

The more Jason Heyward helps the Cardinals win this season, the less likely he is to help the Cardinals win in any subsequent season. Ain’t baseball weird?
3

41

36

47.1

42.6

42.6

.533

.553

21.4%

27.5%

48.9%

4.5%

6.7%

The Blue Jays have a .484 winning percentage against right handers and a .733 winning percentage against lefties meaning that, against ambidextrous pitchers they’d have a 1.217 winning percentage.
4

44

34

44.4

46.5

46.9

.531

.550

51.3%

14.8%

66.1%

4.9%

-0.8%

Carlos Correa raced all the way around the bases to score after hitting a fly ball that landed between two Yankee outfielders, one of whom then fell down chasing it. Upon returning to the dugout he was given some orange slices and a juice box.
5

39

37

37.5

36.9

38.4

.527

.547

33.3%

15.3%

48.7%

2.1%

5.4%

It doesn’t beat the Dodgers winning on a walk-off balk, but the Angels walk-off wild pitch win Sunday lost on a bases loaded hit-by-pitch in the 14th inning.
6

41

35

40.5

42.5

43.6

.527

.547

29.2%

26.3%

55.5%

-6.1%

-5.1%

Yankee fans are looking forward to C.C. Sabathia’s start today because as soon as he gets bombed it’ll be a long five days until they have to watch this all again.
7

42

35

40.5

41.2

41.2

.525

.545

28.5%

29.7%

58.3%

-5.3%

-8.1%

Grady Sizemore joined the Rays 50 years to the day after his first comeback attempt. This will be his last comeback attempt.
8

44

28

42.5

42.2

41.7

.521

.541

67.7%

11.8%

79.5%

2.9%

17.1%

The Royals swept the A’s. Sweeting is sweepiest.
9

34

44

43.4

44.6

44.8

.517

.537

2.2%

2.4%

4.6%

-2.5%

-0.9%

Reports say the A’s would like to re-acquire Josh Donaldson and are making Brett Lawrie available. Other reports say those first reports are an idiot.
10

41

34

43.3

41.1

41.6

.515

.535

18.8%

23.1%

41.9%

10.3%

18.2%

The Orioles are the candied apple at the fair that you end up with because they’re all out of stuffed bears and remote control cars.
11

42

34

41.2

43.0

41.0

.554

.535

79.9%

6.0%

85.9%

-3.1%

8.4%

Max Scherzer is the Super Rotation all by himself.
12

39

36

37.2

39.6

39.1

.514

.534

23.2%

19.8%

43.0%

2.1%

5.0%

Justin Verlander has put his health issues behind him. Now he just needs to do the same with his pitching issues.
13

34

43

33.7

36.4

37.1

.503

.523

2.0%

5.0%

7.0%

0.1%

-3.6%

Justin Masterson beating Chris Archer on the road is so reverse lock it turned itself around and became a normal upset.
14

42

33

43.0

42.6

40.6

.539

.519

5.1%

52.9%

58.0%

-5.8%

-3.3%

With Jose Tabata DFA’d, it’s only a matter of time until he is traded to the Nationals. Just how much chocolate sauce can one person be covered in before their life is in danger?
15

39

35

37.8

40.6

41.6

.538

.518

4.8%

54.4%

59.1%

-4.9%

-11.6%

Jon Lester’s struggles would be easier to take if he wasn’t making so much money, like for example, if he was paid in free laundry and Hostess apple pies. The Cubs front office is said to be exploring their options.
16

42

35

41.2

42.4

41.4

.536

.516

18.5%

36.1%

54.6%

5.9%

7.3%

The Giants are 12-3 against the Dodgers and Angels, but 7-14 against Arizona and Colorado. Their inconsistency is consistent!
17

34

42

31.9

33.9

36.1

.493

.513

4.4%

5.0%

9.4%

-1.7%

-4.7%

Robinson Cano was struck by a throw during infield warm-ups while standing in the Mariners dugout. You could say he had a nose for the ball but it struck him on the side of the head.
18

33

41

32.7

37.3

37.6

.487

.507

3.4%

3.9%

7.3%

-3.3%

-10.2%

Terry Francona admitted to eating 17 popsicles after a loss. The Indians need to play better or they could be the first team ever to kill their manager via brain freeze.
19

38

38

37.7

35.1

35.8

.486

.506

8.7%

7.3%

16.0%

-3.2%

-13.4%

The Rangers may bring Josh Hamilton back as a center fielder, presumably because he helps them win the most games when on the disabled list.
20

40

37

37.2

36.4

35.1

.500

.480

18.1%

12.6%

30.6%

9.4%

2.3%

Steven Matz pitched well in his winning debut, but it was his three hits that he’ll regret most as the Mets will now be starting him at third base on his non-pitching days.
21

40

35

37.9

32.2

31.6

.454

.474

5.2%

7.1%

12.3%

-4.3%

-3.5%

In Apri,l the Twins were 10-12, scored 86 runs and gave up 100. In June, the Twins are 10-16, while scoring 88 runs and giving up 105. In May, baseball had a Twins-related fever dream and woke up in a cold sweat.
22

32

42

28.0

27.1

27.5

.445

.465

0.6%

0.8%

1.4%

-0.5%

-2.0%

Melky Cabrera had three hits including a home run Sunday against Detroit making him the best M. Cabrera on the field that day (but not really even then).
23

37

41

35.6

32.2

33.2

.479

.459

1.6%

6.9%

8.6%

-0.8%

-0.0%

The Padres have some chips to trade, but they’re the ones from the bottom of the nachos and they’re all soaked with nacho slop and really ew.
24

34

40

35.1

37.0

36.2

.475

.456

0.0%

3.2%

3.2%

-2.0%

0.1%

Losing to Mets starter Steven Matz was difficult for Reds rookie Larry Radz, but he remains optimistic.
25

36

39

36.5

36.0

35.1

.474

.454

0.9%

3.8%

4.7%

0.5%

-2.9%

The Diamondbacks are starting Allen Webster and his 6.46 ERA today. Kinda makes a rehabbing Bronson Arroyo look that much more desirable, huh?
26

31

46

34.2

36.4

36.9

.473

.453

0.9%

0.5%

1.5%

-0.4%

-2.5%

Giancarlo Stanton has a broken bone in his hand and will miss six weeks worth of games which could slow his home run production, though if anyone can figure out how to homer while on the DL, it’s Stanton.
27

33

42

33.6

32.4

31.9

.448

.428

0.1%

0.5%

0.6%

-0.5%

-0.0%

Troy Tulowitzki may still end up with the Mets but only if the two teams can find someone else to pay his contract.
28

36

40

35.0

33.6

32.9

.437

.417

1.1%

1.2%

2.3%

0.5%

-3.1%

Is it worse that the Braves hit Nick Markakis third yesterday when he has zero home runs, or that Chris Johnson batted fourth and he has one?
29

29

48

29.8

27.9

28.7

.432

.413

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

Milwaukee beat a team that has 40 wins! Let’s ignore that the team they beat might be a 40 win team at the end of the year too.
30

27

50

25.2

24.2

24.7

.371

.353

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Cole Hamels has said he’ll be open minded about any team to which he could be traded, even going so far as to express interest in joining the Edmonton Oilers, Oakland Raiders, and Jacksonville Jaguars.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


2 comments have been left for this article.
rweiler

Still thinking that the number of D's in a team's name somehow factors into the adjusted hit list computation.

Jun 29, 2015 10:02 AM
up_image

0

down_image
 
gweedoh565

That would explain why the Torondo Blue Jays and Houston Asdros are so close to the top.

Jun 29, 2015 12:51 PM
up_image

+1

down_image
 
Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content.
<< Previous Article
Fantasy Rounders: Turn... (06/29)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (06/26)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Raising Aces: 2015 Dra... (06/29)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Fantasy Article Player Profile: Jaime Garcia
Eyewitness Accounts: June 30, 2015
Fantasy Rounders: South Pause
Premium Article Some Projection Left: The Top J2 Prospects
Premium Article Pitching Backward: Chaz Roe and the Mechanic...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: June 30, 2015
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Better Playing Through Che...

MORE FROM JUNE 29, 2015 09:06 AM
Premium Article Raising Aces: 2015 Draft Audit, Part 3
Fantasy Rounders: Turn On the Green Light
Premium Article Rubbing Mud: Dynamic Selectors
Premium Article Cold Takes: Yahtzee!
Premium Article What You Need to Know: June 29, 2015
Fantasy Article The Buyer's Guide: Jorge Soler
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of June 26-28, 20...

MORE BY MATTHEW KORY
2015-06-29 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 29, 2015
2015-06-24 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 24, 2015
2015-06-19 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 19, 2015
2015-06-15 - BP Boston
More...

MORE THE PROSPECTUS HIT LIST
2015-06-29 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 29, 2015
2015-06-26 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 26, 2015
2015-06-24 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 24, 2015
2015-06-22 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: June 22, 2015
More...