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PEAK refers to a series of metrics designed to evaluate a player's value over a consecutive six year period, as forecast by PECOTA.
For a player aged 25 or older, his PEAK score is simply the sum of his value in a particular cumulative category over the next six seasons.
Players aged 24 or younger may receive an additional adjustement based on their age. This is determined by extrapolating a generic aging curve to the last two season's of the player's Seven-Year PECOTA Forecast, up until a player is aged 30. For example, a 22-year-old star outfield prospect might have projected WARP scores as follows:
Age 22: 4.9
Age 23: 4.5
Age 24: 5.4
Age 25: 6.0
Age 26: 6.4
Age 27: 6.1
Age 28: 6.3
Age 29: 6.0 (extrapolated)
Age 30: 5.8 (extrapolated)
The prospect's PEAK score is determined by summing the highest projected score over a consecutive six-year period. In this case, we would skip the prospect's age-22 through -24 seasons and his PEAK would be the higher projected period from Age 25 to Age 30, for a PEAK WARP of 36.6, rather than the total of 33.3 we would have gotten by merely summing his next six seasons of projected WARP.
PEAK appears in the following BP Glossary Categories:
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