Beat PECOTA Game
Rules & Scoring: Players choose players whose PECOTA projections seem too high or too low. There is no minimum or maximum number of selections allowed. Only players who are projected to have at least 251 PA or 50 innings pitched on the BP Depth Charts are eligible to be selected. For each selection, the player will identify whether he/she is taking the "high" or the "low" against the PECOTA projection.
For every selection that was correctly identified as underperforming ("Worse") or overperforming ("Better") against PECOTA's projection, the player receives 10 points. For every selection that was incorrectly identified-i.e., a player who was selected to overperform actually underperforms-the player loses 11.5 points.
To receive credit for a correct selection, or to be fined for an incorrect selection, the MLB player in question must deviate from PECOTA's projection by at least 7 points of True Average (for hitters) or .3 runs of DRA (for pitchers). Any player performance that is within seven points of TAv or .3 runs of DRA will be considered a push, and no points will be given or taken away. In all cases, TAv will be rounded to 3 digits, and DRA to 2 digits after the decimal point, before comparisons. Further, a selected batter must collect 81 plate appearances and a selected pitcher must throw 20 1/3 innings to qualify. In the event the player does not, this will be considered a push, and no points will be given or taken away.