Last Update: 08-09
8 comments have been left for this report.
BP Comment Quick Links
when i first saw the W-L projection, I thought it was probably low. considering that the Braves and Nationals are probably both high, I'm more willing to believe that the Phillies will be up around 91-2. They are playing the Blue Jays, Rays, Red Sox and Yankees in interleague, though, and the Phillies tend to underperform. Looking at the April schedule the Phillies should be able to break out to a decent start: 6 games vs. the Nationals, 4 vs. Padres, 3 Rockies, 3 Marlins, and 3 Brewers.
Chris Snelling is currently a free agent.
180IP for Cole Hamels may be costing the Phillies a win or four in the standings. Granted Hamels went 40IP over his MLB career high last year, so his injury risk may be higher than usual, and he has been in the past an injury-prone player. If he can throw 200-210, one would assume about 5-6 more starts, and probably 3-4 more wins. Just my $.02, but I think it's reasonable.
this is bull crap. The Phillies finish first 2 years in a row. win a World Series and you still think we're no better than 2nd? Whatever. Road goes through Philly. Mets suck
Rather see Happ at 5 spot, Park in pen. Still a favorite for division.
Yeah this looks true now eh?
Big question for this team is actually the same as for the mets, how does their bullpen compare to last year. Brad Lidge can't be expect to keep up his ludicrous fb/hr rate especially in citizens bank, and another 5 win season seems out of the question. Matt diaz will not be the only one to take him yard this year. Next big question, whose going to be worse, joe blanton or oliver perez? And if Jamie moyer finally comes back to earth, this could end up being an team that has to work to make it to 84 wins.
Unless the Phillies are able to get a RH 4th outfielder type with a little pop and a little D, the 25th man to open the season looks to be Miguel Cairo, which would set Eric Bruntlett up to get some time in the OF as a defensive-ish replacement. Also, in the pen, Zagurski isn't on anyone's radar anymore, so he's not likely to put up any numbers for the club. And I don't even know who Borkowski is. He seems incredibly unlikely to actually pitch for the Phils. At this moment, the 2 most likely AAA guys who could be called up to the pen later in the season are probably Majewski and Koplove, who both pitched reasonably well in ST. Taschner seems to be filling a role of 'scrub who keeps the seat warm until Romero returns', so 40 IP might be a bit generous. By the same token, unless the model assumes JC will be injured as well as suspended, he will be around for 112 games and will probably see more than 35 IP.