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Orioles Team Audit page | Orioles PECOTA card page


Last Team Totals Update: 10-21    Dates reflect only changes to playing time, not PECOTA changes.

Record: 0-1
Runs Scored: 4
Runs Allowed: 4
AVG/OBP/SLG (TAv): .243/.296/.393 (.250)
Total WARP: 0.1 (0.1 pitching, 0.0 non-pitching, including 0.0 from pitchers)

Player projections represent rest-of-season only, not including games already played.

Position Players

Last Position Player Update: 09-12  Display By Fielding Position Display By Batting Order

Player Position Summary

Steve Clevenger: C 0% (0 PA)
Nelson Cruz: DH 100% (3 PA), LF 0% (0 PA), RF 0% (0 PA)
Alejandro De Aza: LF 75% (3 PA), RF 0% (0 PA)
Ryan Flaherty: SS 20% (1 PA), 3B 25% (1 PA)
J.J. Hardy: SS 125% (4 PA)
Nick Hundley: C 45% (2 PA)
Kelly Johnson: 3B 40% (2 PA), 1B 0% (0 PA), 2B 0% (0 PA)
Adam Jones: CF 100% (4 PA)
Caleb Joseph: C 50% (2 PA)
David Lough: LF 25% (1 PA), RF 0% (0 PA), CF 0% (0 PA)
Nick Markakis: RF 100% (4 PA), DH 0% (0 PA)
Jimmy Paredes: 3B 20% (1 PA)
Steve Pearce: 1B 75% (3 PA)
Jonathan Schoop: 2B 100% (3 PA)
Delmon Young: DH 0% (0 PA)

Pitchers

Last Pitcher Update: 09-06

Pos Name IP GS QS ERA WHIP BABIP H BB HR SO W L SV VORP WARP
Sta-1 Wei-Yin Chen 6 1 1 3.94 1.26 .291 6 1 1 5 0 1 0 0.5 0.1

Your comments and suggested changes are appreciated! Click here to send comments or depth chart changes.



6 comments have been left for this report.

BP Comment Quick Links

jcjividen
(15007)

Davis, Chris.

Feb 04, 2014 13:01 PM
rating: 2
 
Johnson Magic
(40728)

I like the projected rebound for Markakis (I'll believe it when I see it).

But, uh, did PECOTA over-weight the Brady Anderson comp in projecting Chris Davis? I'll take the over.

Feb 04, 2014 13:30 PM
rating: 1
 
ChicagoOriole
(34141)

Aaron Laffey? Really?

Feb 13, 2014 12:30 PM
rating: 0
 
Oblarg
(74734)

I love seeing PECOTA perpetually fail at projecting Orioles players for the past couple of years. This one will be no different.

Seriously, those numbers for Davis are hilarious.

Feb 20, 2014 14:55 PM
rating: 2
 
jefflanning
(20695)

So, here we are on the verge of August 2014.

Turns out Orioles fans would be thrilled if Chris Davis met some of his projected numbers.

But, the main point has to be that for the third straight year, and more than 430 games, PECOTA has substantially underestimated the Orioles on-field performance. By a lot.

At this point, it does not seem logical or reasonable to talk about "regression to the mean."

What is up?
* Is Buck Showalter a lot better manager than the average manager?
* Is PECOTA missing something significant?
* Something else?

I think Baseball Prospectus readers would like to see an analysis of this issue.

Jul 30, 2014 19:07 PM
rating: 2
 
Johnson Magic
(40728)

We can now throw out all the small sample size and regression to the mean dismissals...we've reached the point where there is significance to the error of PECOTA's projections during the Duquette/Showalter era.

Is there a lineup / bullpen usage component missing? Perhaps Showalter is optimizing that.

Is there a sustainable FOT skill component missing? Perhaps Duq really is having a material impact on the teams record by optimizing the roster turnover and composition.

Aug 21, 2014 12:06 PM
rating: 0
 
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