Last Update: 08-09
9 comments have been left for this report.
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You really think Drew hits 8th and Lopez hits 3rd? While Hudson wasn't great, and was miscast as a 3 hole hitter, he is a more proven producer than Lopez. I think the DBacks will miss him this year. Given the somewhat disappointing development of the D-Backs' core young hitters over the past 2 seasons, I might try a more outside the box lineup. You forecast Jackson as the highest OBP -- hit him leadoff (Young's career OBP is an abysmal .303; it should get better but while you wait he kills you in the leadoff spot). Move Tracy to 2nd, hit Drew 3rd, Reynolds 4th -- giving you your best gap hitter and best pure power hitter back to back. If you want to go R-L-R-L-R, flip flop Drew and Reynolds, or put Young 3rd, Drew 4 and Reynolds 5. Snyder is under-rated as a hitter, put him 6, Upton 7 and Lopez 8. The thing that kills this lineup is the strikeouts; if they could add 10 basis points to last year's OBP and cut K's by 10%, they probably pick up 20-30 runs. They also may have been a little unlucky -- they outscored opponents by 14 runs despite walking 136 more times, and having 73 more extra base hits than opponents (who outhit AZ by 48 hits). Finally, Bob Melvin seemed very willing to tinker with the lineup -- bet the Snakes had as many different lineups as anyone last year. You
What caused the drop in wins, yesterday D-Backs were suppose to win over 90 games? I'm a Dodger fan, just curious. No Manny on the Dodgers depth chart.
Rearranged the lineup, with Drew being the biggest beficiary. As fairacres noted, Melvin likes to play with the lineup a lot, and this group does not slot many "obvious" spots - it loks broad and balanced, without clear strengths or weaknesses. Melvin says he wants to open Lopez-Young-Drew, so I'll open that way as well.
Shouldn't the R, HR, RBI and SB numbers all change too, then? Particularly for Drew? Or do you have to rerun Pecota again for that?
Clay -- that looks more realistic than the first lineup. Still, while Lopez "looks" like a logical leadoff hitter, I just wonder if the DBacks really want him to get more PA's than some of the other guys in the lineup. I might opt for Drew in leadoff, drop Lopez to 8 and slide everyone up a notch. That might mean 50 or more PAs over the season for Drew than Lopez which should be a good thing. Maybe hit Tracy in the 4 hole early in the year until Upton gets going, and then move him to clean-up and drop Tracy down. Snyder would see more decent pitches hitting 7, and I think he is a decent bet to have a little better average this year to go with solid OBP and SLG for a catcher (his PECOTA feels about right to me). LA getting Manny makes them the favorites, but AZ's starting pitching could again be good, very good if Scherzer develops, and this might be the year that the young hitters' promise comes together (or Reynolds could hit 30 home runs, stike out 250 times, and set an MLB record for LOB).
Y. Petit IP stats need checking - 88 Ks in 25 IP, very impressive
Petit is also listed as a spot starter...those 88 Ks are projected in line with his total of 115 IP
What are the chances of Qualls keeping his closer role?
He looked good today. Not to worry too early, but what is up with Upton losing time to Brynes? Money?