Baseball Prospectus

Giants Team Audit page | Giants PECOTA card page

Last Team Totals Update: 05-22 Dates reflect only changes to playing time, not PECOTA changes.

Record: 60-56
Runs Scored: 470
Runs Allowed: 454
AVG/OBP/SLG (TAv): .254/.314/.376 (.259)
Total WARP: 26.1 (10.6 pitching, 15.5 non-pitching, including 1.1 from pitchers)

Player projections represent rest-of-season only, not including games already played.

Position Players

Last Position Player Update: 05-12 Display By Fielding Position Display By Batting Order

Player Position Summary

Joaquin Arias: SS 20% (92 PA), 3B 10% (47 PA), PH 15% (29 PA), 2B 5% (26 PA)
Brandon Belt: 1B 75% (364 PA)
Gregor Blanco: LF 55% (253 PA), RF 15% (71 PA), PH 10% (20 PA)
Brandon Crawford: SS 80% (375 PA)
Nick Noonan: 2B 15% (68 PA), 3B 10% (46 PA), PH 10% (20 PA)
Angel Pagan: CF 90% (471 PA)
Francisco Peguero: LF 15% (66 PA), PH 10% (20 PA)
Hunter Pence: RF 85% (420 PA)
Brett Pill: PH 25% (49 PA), 1B 5% (24 PA)
Buster Posey: C 70% (349 PA), 1B 20% (100 PA)
Guillermo Quiroz: C 5% (22 PA)
Hector Sanchez: C 25% (120 PA), PH 10% (20 PA)
Pablo Sandoval: 3B 80% (407 PA)
Marco Scutaro: 2B 80% (418 PA)
Andres Torres: LF 30% (134 PA), CF 10% (53 PA), PH 20% (39 PA)

Pitchers

Last Pitcher Update: 04-02

Pos	Name	IP	GS	QS	ERA	WHIP	BABIP	H	BB	HR	SO	W	L	SV	VORP	WARP
Sta-1	Matt Cain	147	22	14	3.10	1.12	.281	124	41	13	121	10	8	0	24.9	2.6
Sta-2	Madison Bumgarner	139	22	13	3.26	1.14	.300	125	33	12	115	9	9	0	21.2	2.2
Sta-3	Tim Lincecum	125	22	14	3.07	1.17	.310	103	44	9	135	8	8	0	23.4	2.4
Sta-4	Barry Zito	126	21	10	4.35	1.37	.300	122	51	13	86	7	10	0	2.0	0.2
Sta-5	Ryan Vogelsong	126	21	10	4.33	1.35	.313	122	48	13	104	7	10	0	2.3	0.2
Spot	Yusmeiro Petit	42	8	4	4.04	1.23	.309	41	11	6	36	2	3	0	2.7	0.3
Closer	Sergio Romo	39	0	0	2.12	0.93	.289	28	8	3	46	2	1	22	10.7	1.1
Setup	Jeremy Affeldt	43	0	0	3.35	1.21	.300	36	15	3	38	2	1	1	4.5	0.5
Setup	Javier Lopez	30	0	0	3.80	1.31	.305	27	11	2	22	2	1	2	1.4	0.1
Setup	Santiago Casilla	43	0	0	3.60	1.25	.296	36	17	3	38	2	1	6	3.1	0.3
Mid	Jose Mijares	33	0	0	3.77	1.27	.307	30	12	3	29	2	1	0	1.7	0.2
Mid	Sandy Rosario	16	0	0	4.49	1.39	.332	17	6	2	14	1	0	0	-0.7	-0.1
Mid	George Kontos	39	0	0	3.93	1.27	.298	35	14	4	34	2	1	0	1.2	0.1
Mid	Heath Hembree	26	0	0	3.43	1.23	.291	21	11	3	28	1	1	0	2.5	0.3
Long	Dan Runzler	16	0	0	3.84	1.36	.311	14	9	1	17	1	0	0	0.7	0.1
Long	Chad Gaudin	26	0	0	3.75	1.27	.307	24	10	2	23	1	1	0	1.4	0.1
Long	Jean Machi	16	0	0	4.23	1.36	.306	16	7	2	12	1	0	0	-0.2	0.0

Your comments and suggested changes are appreciated! Click here to send comments or depth chart changes.

5 comments have been left for this report.

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juiced

(41014)

PECOTA continues to have a blind spot for Vogelsong. He's done it for two years running there's gotta be more of a problem with how the system evaluates him than Vogelsong himself.

Feb 11, 2013 10:06 AM

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Brian Oakchunas

(9790)

I wonder if you think there's a problem with the way the system views Lincecum.

Feb 11, 2013 13:38 PM

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juiced

(41014)

Yes I do. I think PECOTA is much too bullish on Timmy.

Feb 12, 2013 10:54 AM

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sdbaker2

(41424)

I was somewhat surprised to hear that Romo will get the bulk of save chances this season, given how careful the Giants were with him last season. PECOTA gives Romo a 30% collapse rate, which I have to assume is mostly related to his injury/fatigue issues.

My interpretation of this is that PECOTA thinks there is a 30% chance that Romo will perform worse than 75% of his baseline. Am I off-base with this interpretation? It just feels like Romo's elbow by itself is a larger concern than this. Thoughts?

Feb 15, 2013 08:33 AM

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brinkmanstephenj

(72020)

Tiny Tim will return. Just like MacArthur...

Feb 15, 2013 21:03 PM

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