CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Fantasy Articles 

Search Fantasy Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

01-18

comment icon

2

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: First Base
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-18

comment icon

1

The Adjuster: First Base
by
Eric Roseberry

01-18

comment icon

2

Tale of the Tape: Tommy Joseph vs. Eric Thames
by
Bryan Joiner

01-18

comment icon

8

Get to Know: First Base Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

01-17

comment icon

2

Player Profile: Hanley Ramirez
by
Wilson Karaman

01-17

comment icon

15

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-17

comment icon

0

Welcome to Splitsville: First Base
by
Tim Finnegan

01-17

comment icon

2

Tale of the Tape: Victor Martinez vs. Carlos Santana
by
Alex Chamberlain

01-16

comment icon

11

State of the Position: First Base
by
George Bissell

01-16

comment icon

2

Fantasy Players to Target: First Basemen
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-16

comment icon

5

Early ADP Analysis: First Base
by
Matt Collins

01-16

comment icon

2

The Quinton: First Basemen, Roto Categories, and Total vs. Complementary Production
by
Jeff Quinton

01-13

comment icon

8

The -Only League Landscape: National League Catchers
by
Scooter Hotz

01-13

comment icon

6

Fantasy Players to Avoid: Catchers
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-13

comment icon

1

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Francisco Mejia vs. Chance Sisco
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-13

comment icon

0

Player Profile: Jonathan Lucroy
by
Jeff Quinton

01-12

comment icon

4

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Yan Gomes vs. Devin Mesoraco
by
Mark Barry

01-12

comment icon

3

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: Catchers on the Ocean Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

01-12

comment icon

2

The -Only League Landscape: American League Catchers
by
Mike Gianella

01-12

comment icon

10

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 50 Catchers
by
Bret Sayre

01-11

comment icon

2

Tale of the Tape: Welington Castillo vs. Brian McCann
by
Alex Chamberlain

01-11

comment icon

0

The Adjuster: Catchers
by
Eric Roseberry

01-11

comment icon

1

Get to Know: Catcher Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

01-11

comment icon

6

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Catchers
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-10

comment icon

12

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Catchers
by
Mike Gianella

01-10

comment icon

2

Tale of the Tape: Russell Martin vs. Matt Wieters
by
Bryan Joiner

01-10

comment icon

0

Player Profile: Buster Posey
by
Scooter Hotz

01-10

comment icon

3

Welcome to Splitsville: Catchers
by
Tim Finnegan

01-09

comment icon

8

Fantasy Players to Target: Catchers
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-09

comment icon

7

State of the Position: Catchers
by
George Bissell

01-09

comment icon

2

Early ADP Analysis: Catchers
by
Matt Collins

01-09

comment icon

6

The Quinton: Catchers and Answers to Easier Questions
by
Jeff Quinton

01-06

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: A Deeper Dive: OBP
by
Wilson Karaman

01-05

comment icon

1

The Over/Underachievers: On-Base Percentage
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-05

comment icon

3

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: A Deeper Dive: Wins
by
Scooter Hotz

01-04

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: Wins
by
Matt Collins

01-04

comment icon

5

Fantasy Freestyle: Using Statcast Analytics for Fantasy Decisions
by
Tim Finnegan

01-04

comment icon

5

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: On-Base Percentage
by
George Bissell

01-03

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: Wins
by
George Bissell

12-23

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: A Deeper Drive: Runs/RBI
by
Scooter Hotz

12-22

comment icon

1

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: R/RBI
by
Greg Wellemeyer

12-19

comment icon

4

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: Runs/RBI
by
George Bissell

12-16

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: A Deeper Dive: WHIP
by
Scooter Hotz

12-15

comment icon

2

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: WHIP
by
Wilson Karaman

12-15

comment icon

4

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: WHIP
by
George Bissell

12-14

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Moving Forward: Batting Average
by
Matt Collins

12-13

comment icon

1

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: Batting Average
by
Mike Gianella

12-12

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Batting Average: The Landscape
by
George Bissell

12-08

comment icon

1

Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

12-08

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Strikeouts: A Deeper Dive
by
Scooter Hotz

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 4, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Using Statcast Analytics for Fantasy Decisions

5

Tim Finnegan

How exit velocity, spin rate, and other new metrics can help guide your player choices this season.

As a fantasy owner, I like to look at what the progressive front offices inside the game are doing in their player evaluation. What are the brightest minds in baseball doing to pick players? I often find concepts and ideas that I carry over to my player evaluation in my leagues to help me construct my fantasy rosters.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 4, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: On-Base Percentage

5

George Bissell

A 30,000-foot-high survey of the opportunities and strategies to help your fantasy squad excel in the OBP department.

Welcome back to the second installment of our 2017 Fantasy Categorical Breakdown series. If you’ve been following closely, you’re aware that the birth of the Rob Manfred era has catalyzed a high-octane offensive environment and dramatically reshaped the fantasy landscape over just a two-year span. As league-wide home run totals continue to skyrocket, nearly a quarter of all plate appearances now end in a strikeout, and stolen bases have declined to their lowest level in decades.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 3, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: Wins

0

George Bissell

Specialized bullpens and individual pitchers' contextual factors have made compiling Ws trickier for fantasy owners.

Jose Quintana is the unluckiest starting pitcher in baseball. It’s not even that close. The 27-year-old southpaw has logged an astounding 96 quality starts since signing with the White Sox as a minor-league free agent castoff. Only 14 pitchers have recorded more quality starts over the last five years. Of that exclusive cluster, Quintana’s 46 wins rank dead last. Nobody else has fewer than 61. An apt comparison would be Bobby Flay masterfully grilling rib-eye steaks, only to watch his staggeringly incompetent sous chef drop half of them on the floor. Quintana has consistently pitched like an iron chef for nearly half a decade. However, his win total is straight out of Hell’s Kitchen.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 23, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: A Deeper Drive: Runs/RBI

0

Scooter Hotz

In Soviet Russia, stats count you.

With runs and RBI, playing time is the name of the game. Certainly, the lineup around a hitter matters in these categories: players need their teammates to knock them in and players need their teammates to get on base to drive them in. These team-based factors matter less than the most basic driver of these categories: plate appearances. Players can’t score runs or drive them in from the DL or from the bench. Look for players likely to be healthy for a full season, and look for players with little competition for playing time at their position, which often means players on bad teams. The ability to play multiple positions helps, too, as it gives the player more opportunities to get in the lineup.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 22, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: R/RBI

1

Greg Wellemeyer

These counting stats were out of control. Some in a good way, some not.

Overachievers

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 19, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: Runs/RBI

4

George Bissell

These counting stats don't draw as much attention as their flashier counterparts, but they're just as important.

If you’ve been following our Fantasy Categorical Breakdown series, you’re aware that the birth of the Rob Manfred era has catalyzed a high-octane offensive environment and dramatically reshaped the fantasy landscape over just a two-year span. As league-wide home run totals continue to skyrocket, nearly a quarter of all plate appearances now end in a strikeout, and stolen bases have declined to their lowest level in decades.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 16, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: A Deeper Dive: WHIP

0

Scooter Hotz

We've run out of WHIP puns, which means it's almost time to move onto another category.

With rate stats like WHIP, the value in the category doesn’t help much unless it’s paired with a big enough exposure base to move the needle for your team. For hitters, that means at-bats for batting average and plate appearances for OBP. For pitchers, that means innings for ERA and WHIP. To keep my WHIP low in deep AL-only and NL-only leagues, I don’t just look for guys who are good bets to post shiny WHIPs. When it comes to starters, I value health and grip on a spot in the rotation as much as I value WHIP since a good WHIP doesn’t do much in the standings without a decent chunk of innings. When it comes to relief arms, I look to fill out the back end of my bullpen with guys who are likely to put up good WHIPs who will also throw 70 innings or more. Lastly, I look for pitchers whose success in WHIP is driven by a low walk rate rather than a low hit rate. Walks and hits count the same in WHIP, but hit rate is more variable from season to season while walk rate is more stable relatively, making walk rate the more predictive WHIP component.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 15, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: WHIP

2

Wilson Karaman

Some whipped it good. Some whipped it not so good.

Today, George Bissell broke down the WHIP landscape, and we’ll concurrently take a look at some of the starters who over- and under-performed in the category.

Over-Achievers

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 15, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: WHIP

4

George Bissell

Allowing baserunners is a bad thing, and pitchers were consistently getting better at it. Until last year, that is.

If you’ve been following our Fantasy Categorical Breakdown series, you’re aware that the birth of the Rob Manfred era has catalyzed a high-octane offensive environment, and dramatically reshaped the fantasy landscape over just a two-year span. As league-wide home run totals continue to skyrocket, nearly a quarter of all plate appearances now end in a strikeout, and stolen bases have declined to their lowest level in decades. The primary aim of this series is to analyze the impact of these recent contextual trends and how fantasy owners should respond in 2017.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 14, 2016 8:28 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Moving Forward: Batting Average

0

Matt Collins

Maintaining batting average success is difficult - find out how likely these 2016 contributors are to being counted on going forward.

On Monday, George Bissell took a look at the trends of batting average around the league. In it, he found that this antiquated stat has been trending downwards across the league, which makes sense given the rising strikeout totals. Then, on Tuesday, Mike Gianella examined the players that outperformed and underperformed expectations in this very fickle statistical category. Today, I’ll end out breakdown of AVG with some players who took a step forward in the statistic, and a couple who figure to be interesting cases as we look ahead to 2017.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 13, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: Batting Average

1

Mike Gianella

Maybe the BABIP gods don't always have a plan.

Yesterday, George Bissell broke down the landscape around the league in batting average. He found that batting average has slipped slightly over the last decade. He pointed out that batting average is one of the most antiquated metrics we use in fantasy sports to measure hitter success, yet we still do have to try and figure out who is going to help or hurt us in the category. Here are a few hitters who either over or underperformed in the category in 2016.

Overachievers

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 12, 2016 8:27 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Batting Average: The Landscape

0

George Bissell

Less contact means less average, right?

Batting average is the benchmark by which hitters have been judged for a century. It remains an integral statistical component of traditional fantasy leagues. Perhaps I’m just too much of a sabermetric fantasy hipster (with my flannel shirt, on-base percentage format, and NPR coffee mug) to accept it as an adequate metric for evaluating a hitter’s total offensive performance. Among the troika of triple-slash stats, batting average reveals the least information about a batters profile. In addition to being utterly devoid of contextual factors (like park factors, BABIP, and quality of opposing defense) that have a direct impact, it also fails to take into account that not all hits are equal in value.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>