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02-12

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13

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 75: Shortstops
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

02-12

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0

The -Only League Landscape: American League Shortstops
by
Mike Gianella

02-12

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0

Baseball Prospectus Mock Draft
by
Mike Gianella

02-12

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4

Fantasy Players to Avoid: Shortstops
by
BP Fantasy Staff

02-12

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0

Player Profile: Eugenio Suarez
by
J.J. Jansons

02-11

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11

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 50 Shortstops
by
Bret Sayre

02-11

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0

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: Shortstops on the Ocean's Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

02-11

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3

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Franklin Barreto vs. Jorge Mateo
by
Greg Wellemeyer

02-10

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0

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Shortstops
by
J.J. Jansons

02-10

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5

Get to Know: Shortstop Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

02-10

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3

The -Only League Landscape: National League Shortstops
by
Scooter Hotz

02-09

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17

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Shortstops
by
Mike Gianella

02-09

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1

The Adjuster: Shortstop
by
Wilson Karaman

02-09

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2

Early ADP Analysis: Shortstop
by
George Bissell

02-09

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2

Tale of the Tape: Elvis Andrus vs. Brandon Crawford
by
Matt Collins

02-09

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7

Welcome to Splitsville: Shortstop
by
Dan Strafford

02-08

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2

The Quinton: Shortstops, Uncertainty, and Scarcity
by
Jeff Quinton

02-08

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11

State of the Position: Shortstop
by
J.P. Breen

02-08

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1

Fantasy Players to Target: Shortstop
by
BP Fantasy Staff

02-05

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2

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: Third Basemen on the Ocean Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

02-05

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3

The -Only League Landscape: American League Third Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

02-05

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24

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 50 Third Basemen
by
Bret Sayre

02-05

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0

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 74: Third Base
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

02-04

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7

Get to Know: Third Base Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

02-03

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9

The -Only League Landscape: National League Third Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

02-03

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4

Welcome to Splitsville: Third Base
by
Dan Strafford

02-03

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21

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Third Base
by
Greg Wellemeyer

02-02

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12

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Third Base
by
J.P. Breen

02-02

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3

The Adjuster: Third Base
by
Wilson Karaman

02-01

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2

The Quinton: Third Base, Year-to-Year Shifts, and Reference Points
by
Jeff Quinton

02-01

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9

Early ADP Analysis: Third Base
by
George Bissell

02-01

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2

Fantasy Players to Target: Third Basemen
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-29

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4

The -Only League Landscape: American League Second Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-29

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5

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 73: 2016 Mock Draft Review
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

01-29

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6

Player Profile: Brian Dozier
by
J.J. Jansons

01-29

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4

Fantasy Players to Avoid: Second Base
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-28

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5

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: Second Basemen on the Ocean Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

01-28

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15

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 50 Second Basemen
by
Bret Sayre

01-28

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2

Welcome to Splitsville: Second Base
by
Dan Strafford

01-28

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5

Player Profile: Devon Travis
by
J.P. Breen

01-27

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6

The -Only League Landscape: National League Second Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-27

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5

The Quinton: Trades That Aren't Being Made
by
Jeff Quinton

01-27

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5

Get to Know: Second-Base Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

01-27

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0

Player Profile: Brett Lawrie
by
George Bissell

01-27

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12

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Second Base
by
J.J. Jansons

01-26

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12

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Second Base
by
Mike Gianella

01-26

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8

The Adjuster: Second Base
by
Wilson Karaman

01-25

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7

State of the Position: Second Base
by
J.P. Breen

01-25

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11

Early ADP Analysis: Second Base
by
George Bissell

01-25

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1

Fantasy Players to Target: Second Basemen
by
BP Fantasy Staff

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February 3, 2016 6:00 am

The -Only League Landscape: National League Third Basemen

9

Mike Gianella

Sizing up the senior-circuit crop at the hot corner.

As noted in last week’s NL-only write up, the idea of position scarcity in fantasy leagues is mostly a myth, and third base is no different than almost every other position in the National League. Last year in 5x5, the top 10 NL third basemen earned $209, or only slightly less than the top 10 NL first basemen ($216) and the second basemen ($212) did. This calculation assumes that players with dual eligibility at 2B/3B are all used at second, so you could make the case that at the top third base was the strongest infield position in the NL last year.

Todd Frazier departed for the American League this winter, but the NL still has two third basemen who are absolute studs. Kris Bryant beat out Nolan Arenado in real life (with a .317 TAv to Arenado’s .299), but since fantasy leagues don’t adjust for Coors-aided numbers, Nolan Arenado was the man in NL-only. He was the only NL third baseman who earned $30 or more in 2015, but these numbers may not be repeatable as even in Coors it is extremely difficult to assume that Arenado is going to drive in 130 runs again this year. Thirty to 35 home runs are a realistic expectation given the venue, but a mild drop in home runs could happen too. Arenado should still be a top-20 player, but some slippage is possible.

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February 3, 2016 6:00 am

Welcome to Splitsville: Third Base

4

Dan Strafford

Examining hot-corner players whose platoon advantages could stand out in daily and season-long formats.

Last week in the remote town of Splitsville, USA, we took a look at the platoon power splits of our second base population coming into the 2016 season. In previous weeks, Doug Thorburn took a closer look at first base and catchers, as well. This time around we get to dive into the hot corner. Third base is a position dominated by righty power bats, so finding the most platoon-friendly ones among them will be interesting.

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February 3, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Third Base

21

Greg Wellemeyer

Stacking up the third sackers based on their value between now and the end of the 2018 season.

J.J. Jansons and I are taking turns doing the three-year rankings, and with catchers, first basemen, and second basemen in the rearview it’s time to focus on the hot corner.

These rankings function best as something like a cross between keeper preferences and dynasty rankings for those whose window of contention is open in the immediate future. Crucially, these rankings are mine alone. They no doubt vary from the opinions of other smart evaluators on this site, and that’s okay. Good, even. This wouldn’t be much fun if we all thought the same thing about every player and couldn’t learn from each other in the cases where we diverge.

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February 2, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Third Base

12

J.P. Breen

Breaking down the players eligible at the hot corner into fantasy value-based bins.

Third base has more star power than it has in roughly a decade, and it’s largely young star power. Just think, a year ago we only had Donaldson as a five-star fantasy option. Fast forward 12 months, and we’re legitimately discussing a hot-corner quartet that could dominate the fantasy scene for the next few years. Pretty cool.

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February 2, 2016 6:00 am

The Adjuster: Third Base

3

Wilson Karaman

A look at the third basemen who see their values rise and fall in OBP and points leagues.

Third base is one of the more important positional groups, and as I noted in yesterday’s “Third Basemen to Target” piece it is also one of the more top-heavy. You need to get some power here, as the position collectively belted the second-most homers, drove in the second-most runs, and scored the second-most runs of the six groups last year. The hot corner also happens to be one of the cooler positions in terms of wild value swings between league formats. As we’ll see in the OBP section below, the position’s overall walk rate isn’t particularly noteworthy, and by that same token the effect of strikeouts on points formats is relatively benign as well. Before we begin, note that you can check out previous articles in this series here:

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February 1, 2016 6:00 am

The Quinton: Third Base, Year-to-Year Shifts, and Reference Points

2

Jeff Quinton

How to avoid strategic errors when dealing with a position that has seen an influx of top talent.

Things have done changed a little bit at third base since last offseason. Josh Donaldson won an MVP and put up the sixth best fantasy season of any hitter last season. Manny Machado (35 HR and 20 SB) and Nolan Arenado (42 HR and 130 RBI) broke out in 2015, and were the ninth- and 11th-most valuable fantasy-baseball position players. And in case you have not heard, Kris Bryant was everything we hoped for—providing top-25 fantasy position-player production despite being held in the minors for the first eight games of the season.

Consequently, 2016 ADP looks a lot different than 2015 ADP when it comes to third basemen. Last season, Donaldson was the top third baseman being taken and that was happening at the 20th-overall pick on average. This year, though, Donaldson (five), Arenado (nine), Bryant (11), and Machado (15) are all going in the first or early-second round. Such a shift is warranted, so we should all give ourselves a pat on the back for making this year-to-year adjustment. That said, such shifts can cause decision-making and strategic errors elsewhere; and, as we know, we want to avoid those errors. We will take a look at these possible errors below and see how we can best avoid making them.

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February 1, 2016 6:00 am

Early ADP Analysis: Third Base

9

George Bissell

A look at where the third sackers are being selected in the first batch of 2016 fantasy drafts.

Welcome to the fourth installment of our new fantasy series focused primarily on analyzing early average draft position (ADP) trends. The goal of the series is to identify trends in the data over time to determine what we can learn to improve our draft-day strategy going forward. This week’s edition focuses on the hot corner, which features a trio of the most electrifying young sluggers in the game at the top of the position, and a slew of quality veteran options as well. The late rounds are relatively barren, but not completely bereft of talent if you know where to look. Regardless, the sheer volume of insane talent headlining the position makes up for it’s relative lack of depth.

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February 1, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Players to Target: Third Basemen

2

BP Fantasy Staff

These hot-corner players might be worth highlighting on your draft and auciton sheets this spring.

It’s tough out there in fantasy baseball-land; everyone has the same information, the same cheat sheets, and the same list of sleepers that you do. Fortunately, our expert fantasy staff at Baseball Prospectus is there for you, with five recommendations at third base that will blow your minds into the 22nd Century.

Nick Castellanos, Tigers
Castellanos won’t help too much with his batting average; let’s get that out of the way immediately. Even with a career .324 BABIP, he’s never eclipsed the .260 plateau. At only 23 years old, though, he showed a bit of pop down the stretch in 2015. His .208 ISO helped him launch nine homers in just 267 plate appearances. Extrapolate that over an entire season, and that’s 20-plus homer potential. The Tigers’ potent offense should also aid Castellanos’ fantasy value. He plated 74 runners a year ago and should benefit from the Kinsler-Cabrera-Upton-Martinez quartet in front of him in the batting order. The question is whether the former top-100 prospect can finally figure out right-handers, as he only hit .230/.277/.379 against them in 2015. Fantasy owners who can alter lineups everyday should value Castellanos a bit more than weekly leagues; however, he’s still somehow being drafted after the walking corpse that is David Wright in winter drafts. The top-tier guys are no-brainers this year. Castellanos is someone a bit further down the draft board that could put up solid fantasy numbers. —J.P. Breen


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January 29, 2016 6:00 am

The -Only League Landscape: American League Second Basemen

4

Mike Gianella

Scanning the menu of keystone fantasy options in the junior circuit.

Welcome back to Baseball Prospectus’ position-by-position look at AL-only players. After tackling catchers and first basemen the last two weeks, today we’ll take a look at second basemen.

One of the most significant differences between AL- and NL-only leagues has been at second base, particularly with how power shakes out in each league. In the NL, Neil Walker and Jedd Gyorko were the only second basemen who hit 15 home runs or more in 2015. Contrast this with the AL, where 11 second-base-eligible players hit at least 15. It is odd to think of second base as a power position, but that’s exactly what fantasy managers should be targeting in AL-only, particularly since Jose Altuve is the only player at the position who runs. Altuve had 38 steals in 2015; Brian Dozier and Jason Kipnis were next with 12 apiece. This lack of all-around production at second means that while there are several good players at the position, the only superstar is Altuve, who earned $39 in 2015 and has now put up a whopping $84 in earnings since 2014.

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January 29, 2016 6:00 am

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 73: 2016 Mock Draft Review

5

Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

The Outcomes rank keystoners for Scoresheet leagues, and recap the offseason mock draft on the podcast.

It may not seem this way to a traditional fantasy owner, but for Scoresheet owners concerned with defense and playing time, second base offers an abundance of riches right now. Just about every team in every type of league should come into the season feeling confident in their up-the-middle strength. The sturdiness of the position and lack of extreme star talent will also make it difficult to improve your station here, or to use the positional depth to execute trades.

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January 29, 2016 6:00 am

Player Profile: Brian Dozier

6

J.J. Jansons

Can the Twins second baseman paper over his batting-average slide with solid work in the other four categories?

Player Background

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January 29, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Players to Avoid: Second Base

4

BP Fantasy Staff

You might want to let someone else draft or buy these players in your leagues this spring.

In the seminal Simpsons episode “Homer vs. Dignity” (season 12, episode 5), Marge Simpson advises us to “Avoid The Noid. He ruins pizzas.” Here are six second basemen our staff recommends you avoid in your upcoming drafts or auctions.

Logan Forsythe, Rays
A funny thing has happened in the last few years. Second base, traditionally a bastion of paucity (that works right? No? Let me have this), has actually accrued some depth. Enough for our esteemed leader to rank a guy like Dustin Pedroia 15th in his dynasty rankings. That being the case, I come to you with the advice to avoid Logan Forsythe, for a couple reasons.


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