CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

Fantasy Articles 

Search Fantasy Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

07-30

comment icon

6

Dynasty Dynamics: Who We're Selling at the Deadline
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-29

comment icon

1

Deep Impact: Week 17
by
Ben Carsley

07-29

comment icon

14

The Stash List: 15th Edition
by
Bret Sayre

07-28

comment icon

0

The Buyer's Guide: Francisco Liriano
by
J.P. Breen

07-28

comment icon

5

Fantasy Freestyle: FAAB in Review: Asking the Non-Experts
by
Mike Gianella

07-28

comment icon

0

Interleague Report: Week 18
by
Jeff Quinton

07-28

comment icon

2

Closer to Me: Week 18
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-25

comment icon

9

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18
by
Wilson Karaman

07-24

comment icon

0

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: All About Failure
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-24

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: Sustained Success and the Red Queen Hypothesis
by
Jeff Quinton

07-24

comment icon

0

Free Agent Watch: Week 17
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-23

comment icon

10

Dynasty Dynamics: Players We're Buying at the Deadline
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-23

comment icon

14

The Stash List: 14th Edition
by
Bret Sayre

07-23

comment icon

3

Fantasy Freestyle: Useful Non-Closer Relievers
by
J.P. Breen

07-22

comment icon

3

My Model Portfolio: Three-and-a-Half Months Later
by
Bret Sayre

07-22

comment icon

1

Deep Impact: Week 16
by
Ben Carsley

07-21

comment icon

8

The Buyer's Guide: Jason Kipnis
by
J.P. Breen

07-21

comment icon

0

Interleague Report: Week 17
by
Jeff Quinton

07-21

comment icon

16

Closer to Me: Week 17
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-21

comment icon

10

Fantasy Freestyle: The MLB Trade Landscape, Buyers
by
Mike Gianella

07-18

comment icon

5

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 17
by
Wilson Karaman

07-18

comment icon

15

Fantasy Freestyle: Buy or Sell: Chris Davis
by
Craig Goldstein

07-17

comment icon

8

Fantasy Freestyle: Midseason Keeper League FAAB Strategy
by
Jeff Quinton

07-17

comment icon

0

Free Agent Watch: Week 16
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-17

comment icon

0

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: All-Star Week
by
Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-16

comment icon

12

Dynasty Dynamics: Top 50 Jumpers
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-15

comment icon

4

Fantasy Freestyle: 10 Crazy Predictions Fantasy Writers Should Have Made
by
Mike Gianella

07-15

comment icon

6

Deep Impact: Week 15
by
Ben Carsley

07-14

comment icon

1

Interleague Report: Week 16
by
Jeff Quinton

07-14

comment icon

41

Top 50 Dynasty League Prospects
by
Bret Sayre

07-14

comment icon

5

Closer to Me: Week 16
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-14

comment icon

2

The Buyer's Guide: Howie Kendrick
by
J.P. Breen

07-11

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: Buy or Sell: Charlie Morton
by
Wilson Karaman

07-11

comment icon

10

Fantasy Freestyle: What to Expect From Jimmy Nelson
by
Craig Goldstein

07-10

comment icon

1

Free Agent Watch: Week 15
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-10

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: League Norms and Trade Markets
by
Jeff Quinton

07-10

comment icon

5

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Crossover Season Begins
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-09

comment icon

6

Fantasy Freestyle: Don't Forget About Me
by
J.P. Breen

07-09

comment icon

7

Dynasty Dynamics: Progress Report: Prospect Edition, Part Two
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-08

comment icon

1

Deep Impact: Week 14
by
Ben Carsley

07-07

comment icon

1

The Buyer's Guide: Michael Brantley
by
J.P. Breen

07-07

comment icon

0

Interleague Report: Week 15
by
Jeff Quinton

07-07

comment icon

7

Closer to Me: Week 15
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-07

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Edition, Sellers
by
Mike Gianella

07-03

comment icon

2

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Maximizing Value in Midseason Trades
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-03

comment icon

11

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 15
by
Wilson Karaman

07-03

comment icon

4

Fantasy Freestyle: Rick Porcello: Buy or Sell?
by
Craig Goldstein

07-03

comment icon

2

Free Agent Watch: Week 14
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-02

comment icon

4

Fantasy Freestyle: Minor League Draft Pick Valuation
by
Jeff Quinton

07-02

comment icon

1

Dynasty Dynamics: Futures Team Meet and Greet: World
by
Ben Carsley

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 17, 2014 6:00 am

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: All-Star Week

0

Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

The Outcomes discuss the Home Run Derby, answer reader questions, and chat about various Scoresheet topics.

In this week’s podcast:
In this week’s podcast, the Three True Outcomes are down to Two True Outcomes, and without Ian chaos reigns supreme. Reader questions are answered. Some of them even helpfully! We talk about trading pitching for hitting, catcher keepers in the NL, and the Scoresheet rules on rookie eligibility. Because everything is better in a draft, we draft the Home Run Derby contestants, which is only made more exciting by the fact that you know who won. You remember who won the Home Run Derby, right? Finally, after wading through some real life baseball topics, we end up talking a little bit more about Scoresheet trade ethics.

And we’d love to hear any good stories you have about horrible rebuilding teams, so send them our way.


The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 16, 2014 11:04 am

Dynasty Dynamics: Top 50 Jumpers

12

Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

Breaking down minor leagues who could soar up the rankings into the top 50 fantasy prospects by season's end.

Bret Sayre’s midseason update of his Top 50 Dynasty League Prospects list is already 48 hours old, meaning it’s time to look ahead as to who may make the next rendition of the list.

Craig and I already namedropped a few prospects who we thought should’ve made this iteration of the rankings at the bottom of Bret’s piece, but we wanted to do something different here. Rather than argue for players who should’ve already received such an honor for Mr. Sayre, we want to help dynasty leaguers get ahead of the curve by calling attention to some prospects who could merit top-50 consideration by season's end.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

If you saw any of these outlandish things coming before the season started—well, you were right.

A popular preseason article topic for fantasy baseball writers is “10 Crazy Predictions.” These types of articles usually try to make wild predictions based on a somewhat logical premise. Typically, most of these predictions miss the mark, with perhaps one or two of them hitting the jackpot.

Truth is stranger than fiction, or so the old bromide goes. But every year, it never fails: Something happens that falls completely outside of the realm of anyone’s predictive powers, even for those who are trying to find outliers. Below is a non-inclusive listing of fantasy baseball events that no one in his or her right mind would have predicted in April that are absolute stunners.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 15, 2014 6:00 am

Deep Impact: Week 15

6

Ben Carsley

Examining a handful of players who might pique your interest in deep leagues.

I would be the Yoenis Cespedes of the Lazy Intro Derby.

Trevor Cahill, SP, ARI
Remember when Trevor Cahill was good? It wasn’t so long ago as it may feel, as the sinker-baller served as a capable mid-rotation starter as recently as 2012 and was passable in the rotation last year. He’s never really been a terrific fantasy asset because of the limited strikeouts he induces, but it’s hard to imagine just how far he’s fallen over the past season. Cahill looked like one of the more promising young starters in the game post-2012. This year, he lost starts to Mike Bolsinger.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 14, 2014 6:00 am

Interleague Report: Week 16

1

Jeff Quinton

A look at the upcoming AL-vs-NL and NL-vs-AL matchups, and how they might affect teams' lineups.

Please note that in the “DH” column, the player listed is the player that has been added or removed from the lineup, not necessarily the player in the DH slot. For example, if the Phillies move Dominic Brown to DH and put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the OF, then I will list Gwynn Jr. in the “DH” column because he is the player who is gaining at-bats.

Last Week

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 14, 2014 6:00 am

Top 50 Dynasty League Prospects

41

Bret Sayre

Running down the top minor leaguers who might emerge as fantasy studs.

With the All-Star break upon us, the time has come for some reflection. It’s the time of year when we can stop checking our fantasy teams on a daily basis—trust me, those standings won’t change until the second half starts back up—and use that time in a more productive manner. Like mowing the lawn or giving your sister a call. Maybe you’ve been meaning to pick up a new book. Or, then again, maybe you’re the kind of person who wants to spend the beginning of his/her All-Star break reading way too many words about re-ranking the top 50 prospects in baseball from a fantasy angle. Sound good? Good.

In the first three-and-a-half months of the 2014 season, we’ve lost 14 of the top 50 fantasy prospects to the majors, including six of the first 16. So with talent lost comes talent found. There are 16 fresh faces in this hallowed space, and the charge is led by Rangers’ slugger Joey Gallo, who climbed 72 spots to nearly find a place in the top 10 overall. There are plenty of other big jumpers alongside the otherworldly power source, but why give the milk away for free when you could just read the list below.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 14, 2014 6:00 am

Closer to Me: Week 16

5

Mauricio Rubio

Surveying the ninth-inning situations around the league.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Addison Reed is limping into the midway point as he’s sporting a 4.30 ERA and has allowed nine home runs this year in 37 2/3 innings of work. That’s an abnormally high number of home runs to have given up, and it’s inexcusable to do what he’s done so far as the closer. Kirk Gibson has stuck by Reed to this point in the season, and there are some signs that it’s the right decision. Reed has a 26.3 percent strikeout rate and a 5.6 percent walk rate. The WHIP is sitting at 1.19, which isn’t terrible. The long ball has done him in, and it’s an issue he will have to correct in the second half if he wants to keep his job. Brad Ziegler is hanging out on the periphery in case Reed continues to struggle.

Chicago White Sox
I’m running out of ways to say that this bullpen is bad. Javy Guerra wasted a(nother) brilliant John Danks performance (that’s a separate freestyle that has yet to be written) by giving up a two-run Yan Gomes home run in the eighth. It did allow for a Cody Allen save, so that was cool, but mercy. I have no solutions here. There’s no one at the minor league level who I think could come up and solve the issue in the short term. Daniel Webb, who I thought has the type of arm and mentality to be a closer, has a 15 percent walk rate. Matt Lindstrom and Nate Jones are still dead.



The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 14, 2014 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: Howie Kendrick

2

J.P. Breen

The Angel had a fine first half by fantasy keystone standards, but can he sustain or improve on it?

The Buyer’s Guide has been rolling along for the better part of two months at this point. I’ve been dishing out buy, hold and sell recommendations each Monday, and as your high school mathematics teacher likely reminded you dozens of times, it’s imperative to go back and check your work.

Past articles:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 11, 2014 6:30 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Buy or Sell: Charlie Morton

0

Wilson Karaman

The sinkerballer has seen his strikeout rate spike recently, but can he keep it up?

For those of you who loyally read my weekly Starting Pitcher Planner column (which will return at its regularly scheduled time next week, incidentally), it should come as no surprise that I’m a fan of Charlie Morton’s work. And lately that’s been an easier position to embrace, as the sinkerballer has turned in an outstanding stretch since the calendar flipped to June. Over his past seven starts he’s thrown 45 innings of 2.80 ERA, 1.02 WHIP baseball—and that includes one poor start against the Cubs that singlehandedly accounts for 42 percent of the runs he’s allowed during the period. But what is perhaps most interesting about this string of starts is that he has bucked a career strikeout rate that hovered just north of 6.0 K/9 to whiff 49 batters across those 45 frames. Morton emerged from his Tommy John cocoon as a consistent back-end starter in medium-depth leagues last year, and looked to be on a nice path towards reprising the role again through the first couple months of this season. But the strikeout rate gains over an increasingly intriguing sample size suddenly make him a much more attention-grabbing option for mixed leaguers. So what’s going on? Where did all these whiffs come from, and is this a sustainable development?

Let’s start with the usual suspects. Quick glances at Morton’s velocity and pitch movement by month don’t yield much in the way of explanation. After seeing his two-seam velocity peak at 92.9 miles an hour in May he’s actually seen that number drop down 92.1 in June and 91.8 so far in two July starts. So that’s not moving in the right direction at all. And speaking of movement, when we take a peek at his horizontal movement we find that after manipulating about 10 1/2 inches of horizontal movement on his two-seamer back in May he’s down to about 9 1/4 inches now. Huh. So basically, Morton’s hot stretch coincides with lower velocity and less movement on his pitches, usually two signs reserved for situations in which a pitcher may be unhealthy or otherwise experiencing a period of unproductivity.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 11, 2014 6:30 am

Fantasy Freestyle: What to Expect From Jimmy Nelson

10

Craig Goldstein

The Brewers righty is coming back to the big leagues; here's a look at what he could do for your fantasy squad.

Jimmy Nelson is going to make his second start of the season on Friday. You’re forgiven if you missed the first one—though it was good (5.2 IP, 5 H, 3 BB, 6 K, 0 ER)—and you’re forgiven if you don’t remember our Call-Up article on him, because it took place during the call-up heavy month of September, last season. Nelson replaces Marco Estrada in the Brewers rotation at a time when the Brewers desperately need to maintain their 1 ½-game lead in the NL Central, lest they fall back into a crowded wild card race. Replacing Estrada with Nelson at this crucial time shows one of two things: The Brewer’s complete lack of faith in Estrada ironing out his home run issues (which are bad, even for him), or their belief in the abilities of Nelson, not necessarily to live up to his potential, but to be better than Estrada will be for the remainder of the season.

Speaking of that potential, here’s what erstwhile BP-er Jason Cole had to say last September about Nelson:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 10, 2014 6:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week 15

1

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

If these players are on your league's waiver wire, they might be worth a look, depending on the format in which you play.

Welcome back to our weekly walk through some of the players who may want to keep an extra eye on in your leagues. Mike and I will be tackling this topic on Thursdays again and focusing on a singular hitter and pitcher in four of the more popular formats: shallow mixed, deep mixed, NL-only, and AL-only. These are certainly not the only players who are worth pickups, but it gives us a nice opportunity to write about players we have close tabs on in our leagues.

12-TEAM MIXED

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 10, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: League Norms and Trade Markets

0

Jeff Quinton

How understanding league norms could help you make the most of your fantasy swaps.

Many a fantasy baseball player is trying to make a trade right now. Many trades will be made that should not have been made. Many trades will not be made that should have been made. League norms, while usually helpful, can play a role in distorting fantasy baseball trades and trade talks. More specifically, league norms often cause us to make trades outside of what the market dictates. Again, this can cause trades that should be made to go unmade and trades that should not be made to be made. We will take a look at league norms and how they impact trades. We will then look at what we can do about it.

League Norms:
I am usually all into books and journal articles and stuff, but sometimes good ol’ Wikipedia has just what the internet writer ordered:


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>