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06-26

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The Buyer's Guide: Mike Montgomery
by
Eric Roseberry

06-23

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11

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 13
by
Mark Barry

06-23

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Sticking It Out With Avisail Garcia
by
Matt Collins

06-23

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3

Free Agent Watch: Week 12
by
George Bissell

06-22

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8

The Stash List: 12th Edition
by
Greg Wellemeyer

06-22

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4

Dynasty Dynamics: The Saddest Milestone
by
Ben Carsley

06-22

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: The Art of the Deal: Transforming a No into a Yes
by
Mike Gianella

06-21

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4

Deep League Report: Week 12
by
Scooter Hotz

06-21

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Alex Wood: Elite Fantasy Performer?
by
Eric Roseberry

06-20

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The Buyer's Guide: Mallex Smith
by
Eric Roseberry

06-20

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0

Closer Report: Week 12
by
Matt Collins

06-19

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The Evolution and Decline of Francisco Lindor
by
George Bissell

06-16

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Fighting The Last War
by
Scooter Hotz

06-16

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2

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 12
by
Mark Barry

06-16

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0

Free Agent Watch: Week 11
by
George Bissell

06-15

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: The Pitching Landscape Has Changed
by
Mike Gianella

06-15

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10

The Stash List: 11th Edition
by
Greg Wellemeyer

06-14

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3

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: The 2017 MLB Draft: A Scoresheet Perspective
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

06-14

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Stash List Supplemental
by
Greg Wellemeyer

06-14

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2

Deep League Report: Week 11
by
Scooter Hotz

06-14

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2

Dynasty Dynamics: 11-player update
by
Ben Carsley

06-13

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0

Closer Report: Week 11
by
Matt Collins

06-12

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: David Price: Checking In
by
Mark Barry

06-12

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0

The Buyer's Guide: Rockies righty Jeff Hoffman
by
Eric Roseberry

06-12

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1

In-Season Fantasy Valuations: Second Edition—2017
by
Mike Gianella

06-09

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10

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 11
by
Mark Barry

06-09

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6

Free Agent Watch: Week 10
by
George Bissell

06-09

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: The Next Five Relievers
by
Matt Collins

06-08

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13

The Stash List: The 10th Edition
by
Greg Wellemeyer

06-07

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: I Believe In Andrelton Simmons
by
Eric Roseberry

06-07

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8

Deep League Report: Week 10
by
Scooter Hotz

06-06

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0

Closer Report: Week 10
by
Matt Collins

06-05

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0

The Buyer's Guide: Steven Souza
by
Eric Roseberry

06-02

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1

The Stash List: Ninth Edition
by
Greg Wellemeyer

06-02

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11

Updating the Tiers: Starting Pitcher
by
Mike Gianella

06-02

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Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 10
by
Mark Barry

06-02

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2

Updating the Tiers: Relief Pitcher
by
Matt Collins

06-01

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4

Updating the Tiers: Third Base
by
Wilson Karaman

06-01

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12

Updating the Tiers: Shortstop
by
Eric Roseberry

06-01

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19

Updating the Tiers: Outfield
by
Bret Sayre

05-31

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5

The Buyer's Guide: Dinelson Lamet
by
Tim Finnegan

05-31

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18

Updating the Tiers: Second Base
by
Scooter Hotz

05-31

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5

Updating the Tiers: First Base
by
George Bissell

05-31

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5

Updating the Tiers: Catcher
by
Mark Barry

05-30

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1

The Buyer's Guide: Jed Lowrie
by
Eric Roseberry

05-30

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6

Closer Report: Week 9
by
Matt Collins

05-26

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TDGX Transactions: Week 8
by
J.J. Jansons

05-26

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: So About That Nick Castellanos Breakout
by
Wilson Karaman

05-26

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2

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 9
by
Mark Barry

05-26

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Fantasy Freestyle: Miggy's Decline?
by
Matt Collins

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June 16, 2017 8:29 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Fighting The Last War

4

Scooter Hotz

In a new season, don't be haunted by old ghosts. Try fresh tactics.

There’s an old saying that “generals always fight the last war.” The origin of the saying is unclear, but the idea behind it is not. During their current engagements, people tend to do the things that has worked well and avoid the things that didn’t work well during their previous engagement, rather than choose their course of action based on the current circumstances. And it’s not limited to war—a variation on the statement insists that “economists always fight the last depression.”

In my deep AL-only league keeper league, I’ve had the same issue the past few times I’ve had a contending team. I didn’t trade away my prospects and/or cheep keepers to the teams that dumped early because I didn’t like the prices I was paying. Each time, I felt like the contenders who made those deals overpaid and that I would overtake them when I made subsequent deals at better exchange rates. Each time, I was wrong.

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June 16, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 12

2

Mark Barry

Corey Kluber is described as robot-like for several reasons, including his dependability. So start him twice. The same goes for Clayton Kershaw and Jon Lester.

It's time to preview the hurlers scheduled for two starts in the upcoming week. As the old wrestling promoters would always say: “Card Subject to Change,” because injuries and tinkering managers can make this less than a science. Should new information present itself, we can go over it in the comments.

Most of these recommendations are based on a combination of ADP/auction price and PECOTA projections for opponent strength. As the season progresses and we get more concrete data points for how the pitchers and their opponents perform, the formula will evolve into a performance-based projection. For more information on some key terms—Auto-Start, Start, Consider and Sit—click here.

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June 16, 2017 6:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week 11

0

George Bissell

Cameron Maybin and Mallex Smith make for valuable speedsters in mixed leagues, while Matt Adams continues to show value filling in for Freddie Freeman. Meanwhile, it's time to talk Turley—Nik Turley—and to speak Franchy—Franchy Cordero.

12-team mixed leagues (must be available in at least 50 percent of ESPN, Yahoo, or CBS leagues)

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June 15, 2017 1:53 pm

Fantasy Freestyle: The Pitching Landscape Has Changed

2

Mike Gianella

Middle relievers with big strikeout totals are gaining in value, which has fundamental implications for how fantasy baseball should be played.

A large portion of the conversation in fantasy circles has revolved around how the spike in home runs has altered the landscape—and with good reason. Home runs have increased from 4,186 in 2014 to 4,909 in 2015 to 5,610 in 2016. Entering action Wednesday, major-league hitters were on pace to hit 6,133 home runs in 2017. It is with good reason this has been analyzed ad infinitum. But since this fertile soil has been properly tilled, we can look at a different trend that is slipping under the radar somewhat.

Table 1: Major League Baseball Starting Pitchers, 2013-2017

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June 15, 2017 6:00 am

The Stash List: 11th Edition

10

Greg Wellemeyer

Cameron Maybin, Joc Pederson, Lewis Brinson, and Derek Fisher all graduate, but there's a new batch of stashables.

Here are the four types of players eligible for inclusion:

Minor leaguers: anyone currently in the minors.
Major leaguers on the DL: anyone currently on the disabled list who is owned in fewer than 25 percent of ESPN leagues.
Closers-in-waiting: any reliever who is not actively getting saves and is owned in fewer than 25 percent of ESPN leagues.
Others-in-waiting: any other player who is not currently active in the role that would net him the most fantasy value.




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Breaking our self-imposed semi-hiatus to focus on one of the highlights of the Scoresheet calendar: the 40th round.

We’re breaking our self-imposed semi-hiatus to focus on one of the highlights of the Scoresheet calendar: the 40th round. We wanted to present a brief analysis of the 2017 draft before the standard Wednesday supplemental. Before we begin, the standard caveats apply. Namely, if you want in-depth analysis on each of these prospects, you can find the coverage elsewhere on Baseball Prospectus. We make no claims towards being draft experts, even if we collectively make up about a third of MLB Network’s viewing audience on draft night.

What we try to do is analyze players keeping their Scoresheet value in mind—you’ll see some of our standard advice apply here. We tend to prefer college players over high school players with all but the highest upside, not because we’re Moneyball fetishists, but because we think low-A players, especially pitchers, tend to be wasted draft spots unless they’re easy keepers. We’ll go for up-the-middle talent and devalue first basemen to an even more extreme degree than in real life. And we’ll look for players with potential for “keeper value,” which is probably closer to a mean approximation of their real-life value than their ceiling or floor.

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June 14, 2017 8:07 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Stash List Supplemental

1

Greg Wellemeyer

Going deep, deep, deep undercover to find prospects (or non-prospects) for your deepest of leagues. Bring your diving bell!

Do you play in a deeper or mono league and wish the Stash List had some names that weren’t already owned in your league? You’ve come to the right spot. Last time I did this, I gave you Dinelson Lamet and Eric Skoglund, both of whom are in the majors and have flashed a little something. On the other hand, I also gave you Ryan O’Hearn, a first base prospect who’s hitting .214/.308/.317 in the month-plus since that piece ran. Such is the nature of deep speculation. I’m not deterred. Let’s do some more.

Colin Moran (3B)—Houston Astros

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June 14, 2017 6:00 am

Deep League Report: Week 11

2

Scooter Hotz

Hello, Bourjos! In the AL, Peter Bourjos returns to relevancy with the Rays—perhaps—and Alen Hanson gets an opportunity with the White Sox—maybe. On the NL side, Kirby Yates might be the "right" man for the job in the Padres bullpen, and Jose Pirela has a chance to play without much competition.

Week 11 is a good week at the Deep League Report. There are a lot more innings to go around on the pitching side and a lot more playing time available on the hitting side. Four of the six featured pitchers are starters and at least three of the hitters should get more playing time than someone on the bad side of a platoon. It’s a good week to be active in the free agent pool and on the waiver wire in deep AL-only and NL-only leagues. Get to work.

AL-only position players

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June 14, 2017 6:00 am

Dynasty Dynamics: 11-player update

2

Ben Carsley

White Sox prospect Alec Hansen has been working on his game in the low minors for an extended period, and it appears to be paying off. Plus, analysis of 10 more guys!

The Good

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June 13, 2017 7:13 am

Closer Report: Week 11

0

Matt Collins

You'll never guess what's going on with the Phillies bullpen. No, really, no one will ever guess in a million years, it's just awful.

Welcome back to the Closer Report. This past week was a little more eventful than the previous few, with a couple changes atop depth charts and some injuries further down. Before we jump into the movement, just a reminder you can keep up with the changes with the Closer Grid. Now, let’s get to some of that content.

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June 12, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: David Price: Checking In

0

Mark Barry

Is the Price all right?

If you rely on sports radio or shouty talking heads, David Price’s first year in Boston was an unmitigated disaster. Another playoff struggle led to so many fun, informative, well-reasoned, inspired...oops sorry, blacked out for a second...I meant mind-numbing rants about clutchness and #thewilltowin. However, if you dug a little deeper and rely on the numbers, he was, well, very David Price.

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June 12, 2017 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: Rockies righty Jeff Hoffman

0

Eric Roseberry

Jeff Hoffman has been a great help to the Colorado Rockies so far. But there are indicators that his dominating ride might be hitting turbulance soon.

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