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07-30

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6

Dynasty Dynamics: Who We're Selling at the Deadline
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-29

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1

Deep Impact: Week 17
by
Ben Carsley

07-29

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14

The Stash List: 15th Edition
by
Bret Sayre

07-28

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0

The Buyer's Guide: Francisco Liriano
by
J.P. Breen

07-28

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: FAAB in Review: Asking the Non-Experts
by
Mike Gianella

07-28

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0

Interleague Report: Week 18
by
Jeff Quinton

07-28

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2

Closer to Me: Week 18
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-25

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9

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18
by
Wilson Karaman

07-24

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0

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: All About Failure
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-24

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Sustained Success and the Red Queen Hypothesis
by
Jeff Quinton

07-24

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0

Free Agent Watch: Week 17
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-23

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10

Dynasty Dynamics: Players We're Buying at the Deadline
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-23

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14

The Stash List: 14th Edition
by
Bret Sayre

07-23

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Useful Non-Closer Relievers
by
J.P. Breen

07-22

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3

My Model Portfolio: Three-and-a-Half Months Later
by
Bret Sayre

07-22

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1

Deep Impact: Week 16
by
Ben Carsley

07-21

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8

The Buyer's Guide: Jason Kipnis
by
J.P. Breen

07-21

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0

Interleague Report: Week 17
by
Jeff Quinton

07-21

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16

Closer to Me: Week 17
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-21

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The MLB Trade Landscape, Buyers
by
Mike Gianella

07-18

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5

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 17
by
Wilson Karaman

07-18

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15

Fantasy Freestyle: Buy or Sell: Chris Davis
by
Craig Goldstein

07-17

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Midseason Keeper League FAAB Strategy
by
Jeff Quinton

07-17

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0

Free Agent Watch: Week 16
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-17

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0

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: All-Star Week
by
Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-16

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12

Dynasty Dynamics: Top 50 Jumpers
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-15

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: 10 Crazy Predictions Fantasy Writers Should Have Made
by
Mike Gianella

07-15

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6

Deep Impact: Week 15
by
Ben Carsley

07-14

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1

Interleague Report: Week 16
by
Jeff Quinton

07-14

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41

Top 50 Dynasty League Prospects
by
Bret Sayre

07-14

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5

Closer to Me: Week 16
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-14

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2

The Buyer's Guide: Howie Kendrick
by
J.P. Breen

07-11

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Buy or Sell: Charlie Morton
by
Wilson Karaman

07-11

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: What to Expect From Jimmy Nelson
by
Craig Goldstein

07-10

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1

Free Agent Watch: Week 15
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-10

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: League Norms and Trade Markets
by
Jeff Quinton

07-10

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5

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Crossover Season Begins
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-09

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Don't Forget About Me
by
J.P. Breen

07-09

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7

Dynasty Dynamics: Progress Report: Prospect Edition, Part Two
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-08

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1

Deep Impact: Week 14
by
Ben Carsley

07-07

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1

The Buyer's Guide: Michael Brantley
by
J.P. Breen

07-07

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0

Interleague Report: Week 15
by
Jeff Quinton

07-07

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7

Closer to Me: Week 15
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-07

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Edition, Sellers
by
Mike Gianella

07-03

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2

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Maximizing Value in Midseason Trades
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-03

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11

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 15
by
Wilson Karaman

07-03

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Rick Porcello: Buy or Sell?
by
Craig Goldstein

07-03

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2

Free Agent Watch: Week 14
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-02

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Minor League Draft Pick Valuation
by
Jeff Quinton

07-02

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1

Dynasty Dynamics: Futures Team Meet and Greet: World
by
Ben Carsley

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July 30, 2014 6:00 am

Dynasty Dynamics: Who We're Selling at the Deadline

6

Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

If one of your league-mates wants to buy high on any of these players, Ben and Craig would advice you to let him go.

Last week we brought you six players we’re buying in a dynasty format, so naturally, we thought it prudent to bring you another six-pack of players, this time focusing on who we’re selling, using the same long-term perspective.

Ben: Brock Holt, Everything, BOS
Brock Holt is a pretty decent baseball player. He can play both corner infield spots, both corner outfield spots and second base, and he can fake it in center or at short for a few games. He’s fast enough to be an occasional threat on the bases, he has a patient approach at the plate and he has the bat speed necessary to barrel up good velocity. There are lots of nice things you can say about Brock Holt (o/), and I think he’ll be a unique, valuable major leaguer for a long time.


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July 29, 2014 10:48 am

Deep Impact: Week 17

1

Ben Carsley

Breaking down a handful of players who might pique your interest in deep leagues.

I’m too sad thinking about Jon Lester to write a real intro.

Chris Capuano, LHP, Yankees
Capuano seems to have more lives than a cat, which, proverbially speaking, has nine lives. He was brilliant as a reliever with the Red Sox in the early days of 2014, but was then decidedly less brilliant as the season went on, leading to his release in June. Capuano then signed a minor league deal with the Rockies and was acquired by the Yankees late last week. Yes, Capuano has called Fenway Park and Yankees Stadium home this season, and could potentially have called Coors Field home, too. Capuano does not give a damn about your fantasy league.


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July 29, 2014 6:00 am

The Stash List: 15th Edition

14

Bret Sayre

The latest on Mookie Betts, Javier Baez, Noah Syndergaard, and other players who should be on your fantasy radar in case they earn promotions.

The Graduates: Neftali Feliz (22)
This past week saw the sad-sack Rangers finally deal off their closer (who had been one of the best in baseball to this point) Joakim Soria to the Tigers, freeing their former star closer to retake the role. Unfortunately, Feliz still doesn’t have his pre-Tommy John velocity back and it’s manifesting itself in diminished strikeout numbers (he has four in 11 1/3 innings). He can keep the job without the whiffs, as they don’t really have a great alternative, but his value will be diminished if it doesn’t pick up a little.

The Departed: Joey Gallo (HM)
As much fun as this would be, there’s just zero incentive for the Rangers to rush Gallo when he hasn’t even gotten a half-season’s worth of at-bats at Double-A.



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July 28, 2014 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: Francisco Liriano

0

J.P. Breen

The Pirates lefty has fared well in July, but is that reason to believe that the tide has turned on his 2014 season?

It’s no secret that Francisco Liriano remains one of the more electric arms in baseball. He still has a lively fastball, as well as a devastating slider-changeup combination that can induce a myriad of swings-and-misses. When he throws strikes consistently and stays healthy, he can be dominant. Last year, he missed a few starts and only threw 161 innings, but he decimated the NL Central with a 3.02 ERA (2.92 FIP) and struck out more than a batter per inning. Ultimately, he was a top-30 starter and a wonderful surprise in all formats.

Fantasy owners remained skittish when drafting Liriano this spring. His average draft position didn’t reflect his 2013 performance, as owners worried about his health and whether he had truly discovered something that would lead to consistent, reliable performance on the mound.

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July 28, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: FAAB in Review: Asking the Non-Experts

5

Mike Gianella

Mike digs into some league-mates' strategies when bidding on NL-only imports Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel.

Every decision influences the next set of decisions that we make. Like a pebble in a pond, what we do today has a definitive impact on what we do tomorrow.

In fantasy baseball, this is true in every facet of the game. The auction or draft we have impacts what kind of trades or free agent moves we make during the season. The trades we make impact whether or not we make additional trades. The free agent pickups we make impact future free agent pickups and future trades. This series of actions and subsequent actions goes on until the season is over. In keeper leagues it goes on until you leave the league or the mortal coil.

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July 28, 2014 6:00 am

Interleague Report: Week 18

0

Jeff Quinton

Looking at the upcoming AL-vs-NL and NL-vs-AL matchups, and how they might affect teams' lineups.

Please note that in the “DH” column, the player listed is the player that has been added or removed from the lineup, not necessarily the player in the DH slot. For example, if the Phillies move Dominic Brown to DH and put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the OF, then I will list Gwynn Jr. in the “DH” column because he is the player that is gaining at bats.

Last Week

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July 28, 2014 6:00 am

Closer to Me: Week 18

2

Mauricio Rubio

Keeping tabs on the ninth-inning situations around the league.

Chicago White Sox
Jake Petricka notched back-to-back saves on July 21 and 24 in place of the injured Zach Putnam. He’s said to be getting more save opportunities than not for the White Sox and he’s been dependable all season with a few minor hiccups. Contrast that with Ronald Belisario, who has continued to be a mess in his outings, and I think there’s a clear path to saves for Petricka in the short term. Matt Lindstrom is looming, but he isn’t so compelling that he will immediately take the job from Petricka upon his arrival. My advice: Hold on to Petricka in the short term and wait for health to clear itself up regarding Lindstrom.

Chicago Cubs
There are a few rumors flying around Neil Ramirez and his demotion to Triple-A Iowa. Let’s clear a few things up. I don’t think the demotion was made with converting him into a starter in mind. Ramirez has worked well with a simplified repertoire and he is finally in a groove. There were some arm concerns earlier in the year so for me this seems like a move that was made to rest the pitcher more than anything. The Cubs have an odd roster crunch that includes a revolving door for the fifth starter job. There’s going to be a shuttle between Chicago and Iowa until the roster issues are cleared up. I think Ramirez is a reliever in the short and long term as I think it’s unlikely they waste the development time and risk the possibility of ruining him to try and squeeze starter upside out of him. In the meantime, Hector Rondon is still your guy in this ‘pen.



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July 25, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18

9

Wilson Karaman

Helping you set your fantasy rotation for the next week with a look at the two-start pitchers.

Welcome to the Weekly Pitching Planner! This is a hectic time of the season, as the trade deadline for both real and many fantasy baseball approaches. The NL will be on tap to showcase the greatest amount of two-start talent this week, as the schedule gods conspire to give NL-only owners 24 options to just 17 for the AL. As of press time the Mariners have not announced a starter for their Tuesday-Sunday slot, but my money would be on Hisashi Iwakuma taking the ball in Cleveland and Baltimore. If that’s the case, I like him as a start despite the less-than-ideal draws. Obviously with the deadline looming there are also likely to be some teams left in flux if and when deals are made, so this week will be an important one in which to keep up on the latest news before setting your lineup.

On to the nuts and bolts: Outside of the elites, two-start pitchers are often as much or more trouble than they’re worth. Rare is the week in which the stars align to offer your starters not just one but two consecutive tasty matchups. As a result you’ll notice that sometimes the better starters will find themselves in the “consider” category, because they might have one good matchup but a second tough one. And similarly, less-talented hurlers might just meander their way into “start” territory on account of a plum schedule. The pitchers will be split by league, and then by categories:

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July 24, 2014 10:00 am

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: All About Failure

0

Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

From the Astros draft saga to the Scoresheet mistakes, the Outcomes devote this week's podcast to what's gone wrong.

This week on the podcast, we tackled topics concerning failure. We did our part to run in circles around the Astros draft saga and also answered some reader questions. We also spent some time considering and discussing our collective failures as Scoresheet owners in 2014. One of the things we’d like to do is setup a framework for analyzing teams that underperform, in order to identify potential improvements, patterns of mistakes, or other ways that we could have done better on draft day.

The first step is to gather information and data, including the draft day valuations, the real life MLB performance of players to date, and the Scoresheet performance of players to date. The Baseball Prospectus Team Tracker is a helpful tool to get this information, and the remainder can be found on the Scoresheet league pages. Be careful when analyzing team-level results, especially if you’ve made personnel changes (i.e. traded away short term value), because they may not be indicative of mistakes you made on draft day, but the aftermath of going Full Rebuild (tm?).

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July 24, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Sustained Success and the Red Queen Hypothesis

2

Jeff Quinton

Outperforming your competition year after year requires not only improvement but also staying a step ahead.

While I have been providing mid-season strategy articles of late, I came across the Red Queen effect the other day and began thinking about its impact on fantasy baseball. As a result, this article holds relevance throughout the entire season (maybe more so in the offseason), but does not hold specific relevance to this point in the season.

I am most likely a better fantasy baseball player today than I was two years ago. You are most likely a better fantasy baseball player than you were two years ago. Anyone who has been playing fantasy baseball for some amount of time is probably better now than they were before. If we are all improving, then getting better is helpful in that we do not fall behind, but it does not necessarily get us ahead. And that, kiddos, is the kicker. In other words, improving yourself and gaining an advantage are two very different things. In order to consistently succeed, we need to both improve and gain an advantage, but competition makes this inherently difficult. We will take a look at why it is difficult to sustain success and if anything can be done to overcome those difficulties.

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July 24, 2014 6:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week 17

0

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

If these players are on your league's waiver wire, they might be worth a look, depending on the format in which you play.

Welcome back to our weekly walk through some of the players who may want to keep an extra eye on in your leagues. Mike and I will be tackling this topic on Thursdays again and focusing on a singular hitter and pitcher in four of the more popular formats: shallow mixed, deep mixed, NL-only and AL-only. These are certainly not the only players who are worthy pickups, but it gives us a nice opportunity to write about players we have close tabs on in our leagues.

12-TEAM MIXED

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July 23, 2014 6:00 am

Dynasty Dynamics: Players We're Buying at the Deadline

10

Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

Running down a half-dozen hitters and pitchers you might want to consider acquiring before your league's trading period ends.

The trade deadline happens soon. This means that if you’d like to change the personnel on your team without utilizing the waiver wire exclusively, you’ll need to make a deal before the deadline passes, in many leagues. Weird how that works, we know.

While the deadline is a crazy time in leagues of every composition, they’re especially hectic in dynasty formats. Good teams are often willing to go all-in, as winning a dynasty championship is a difficult feat to accomplish. Mediocre teams generally break one way or the other. And even teams who are out of it have every incentive to be quite active, as there’s always 2015 and beyond.

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