Postseason Odds Report
8/25/04 2:26 AM
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AL East W L W3% SOS ROY% W' Div WC Total Key W
Baltimore 57 66 .496 .540 .456 74.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% --
Boston 70 53 .628 .509 .619 94.1 16.2% 60.1% 76.3% 91
N.Y. Yankees 76 47 .567 .492 .575 98.4 83.8% 11.0% 94.9% 92
Tampa Bay 56 68 .465 .515 .450 73.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% --
Toronto 53 72 .456 .519 .437 69.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% --
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AL Central W L W3% SOS ROY% W' Div WC Total Key W
Chicago White Sox 60 62 .515 .494 .521 80.8 2.3% 0.2% 2.5% 89
Cleveland 63 62 .486 .502 .484 80.9 2.2% 0.2% 2.4% 89
Detroit 59 65 .520 .488 .532 79.2 0.7% 0.1% 0.8% 89
Kansas City 44 77 .374 .509 .365 59.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% --
Minnesota 70 54 .521 .510 .511 89.4 94.7% 0.0% 94.8% 82
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AL West W L W3% SOS ROY% W' Div WC Total Key W
Anaheim 71 54 .537 .513 .524 90.4 23.3% 12.7% 36.0% 91
Oakland 71 53 .580 .499 .581 93.1 66.8% 6.9% 73.7% 90
Seattle 46 77 .463 .516 .447 63.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% --
Texas 69 54 .520 .520 .500 88.5 9.9% 8.7% 18.6% 92
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NL East W L W3% SOS ROY% W' Div WC Total Key W
Atlanta 70 53 .537 .478 .559 91.8 97.9% 0.1% 98.0% 83
Florida 62 60 .498 .495 .503 82.1 1.4% 0.5% 1.9% 90
Montreal 53 71 .413 .518 .395 68.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% --
N.Y. Mets 59 64 .502 .492 .511 78.9 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 90
Philadelphia 62 63 .491 .480 .511 80.9 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 90
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NL Central W L W3% SOS ROY% W' Div WC Total Key W
Chicago Cubs 68 56 .590 .464 .625 91.7 0.1% 80.2% 80.3% 88
Cincinnati 59 64 .434 .506 .428 75.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 92
Houston 62 62 .522 .508 .514 81.5 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 92
Milwaukee 55 68 .486 .506 .480 73.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% --
Pittsburgh 58 66 .456 .507 .449 75.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% --
St. Louis 82 42 .615 .494 .620 105.6 99.9% 0.0% 100.0% 90
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NL West W L W3% SOS ROY% W' Div WC Total Key W
Arizona 39 87 .389 .506 .383 52.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% --
Colorado 55 69 .440 .512 .427 71.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% --
Los Angeles 72 52 .556 .491 .566 93.5 88.7% 2.8% 91.4% 88
San Diego 66 58 .498 .504 .495 84.8 1.6% 3.1% 4.7% 91
San Francisco 69 57 .520 .492 .528 88.0 9.7% 12.7% 22.4% 90
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Legend
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W, L Wins and Losses (Unadjusted)
W3% Third-order winning percentage, based on EqRS, EqRA, and quality of opponents.
See adjusted standings page for additional detail.
SOS Strength of Schedule for remainder of season, based on opponents' W3%
ROY% Rest of Year winning%, based on W3% and SOS. ROY% is calculated using the
log5 formula.
W' Expected wins at end-of-season based on ROY%.
Div Odds of winning division.
WC Odds of winning Wild Card.
Total Odds of reaching postseason.
Key W "Key Wins". If a team wins this number of games, it will be more likely than
not to reach the postseason. Key Wins are not calculated for a team with a
negligible chance of reaching the postseason.
Questions or comments?
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