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04-28

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8

BP Unfiltered: My Predicted Standings
by
Sam Miller

04-19

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1

BP Unfiltered: A "Holiday" For Everyone
by
Craig Goldstein, Ben Carsley and Bret Sayre

04-15

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1

BP Unfiltered: Our Generation’s Hall of Famers, Ranked By Subjective Trade Valuation of Mid-Career Baseball Cards In A Semi-Premium Early-1990s Set
by
Sam Miller

04-15

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4

BP Unfiltered: The Wonderful Things That Vin Scully Might Lead You To Think About
by
Meg Rowley

04-01

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0

BP Unfiltered: Mental Skills on the North Side: Seven Perspectives
by
Rian Watt

03-17

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6

BP Unfiltered: A Short Story About The 2015 Baseball Season
by
Sam Miller

03-10

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23

BP Unfiltered: The Worst Possible Reshuffling of MLB Cities and MLB Team Names, Probably
by
Sam Miller

02-18

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3

BP Unfiltered: The Worldwide Takeover of 'We're Not Selling Jeans Here'
by
Sam Miller

02-15

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1

BP Unfiltered: LAST DAY to Vote for the SABR Analytics Research Awards
by
BP Staff

02-15

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5

BP Unfiltered: 2016 Scoresheet Keeper Rankings
by
Ben Murphy, Ian Lefkowitz and Jared Weiss

02-14

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0

BP Unfiltered: 2016 Scoresheet Keeper Rankings
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

02-12

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0

BP Unfiltered: Glenn Burke, Historically Significant Baserunner
by
Sam Miller

02-11

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2

BP Unfiltered: 10 Things People Learned From the BP Annual (Updated)
by
Craig Goldstein

02-09

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5

BP Unfiltered: Was Waylon Smithers A Good General Manager?
by
Ryan Davis

02-01

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1

BP Unfiltered: Rooting Against Chaos, Rooting Against Ian Kennedy
by
Patrick Dubuque

01-28

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3

BP Unfiltered: The Annie Savoy Exception
by
Patrick Dubuque

01-22

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4

BP Unfiltered: How Greinke vs. Arrieta vs. Kershaw Played Out
by
Tom Tango

01-22

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0

BP Unfiltered: Greg Spira Baseball Research Award Open for Nominations
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-07

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2

BP Unfiltered: New BP Catcher Stats!
by
Stephen Reichert

01-06

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0

BP Unfiltered: The Orioles Are Having a Baseball Analytics Hackathon
by
BP Staff

12-10

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2

BP Unfiltered: The Piazza-but-not-Bagwell Voter
by
Sam Miller

12-04

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1

BP Unfiltered: 'It's nearly useless'
by
Jeff Long

11-02

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2

BP Unfiltered: Why The Broadcasters Hated Your Team
by
Jeff Quinton

11-01

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3

BP Unfiltered: Navigating Notable Instances of Postseason Expression
by
Ezra Wise

10-29

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1

BP Unfiltered: On PECOTA, the Royals, and 72 Wins
by
Sam Miller

10-29

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0

BP Unfiltered: Suspect Staff Voting in the Internet Baseball Awards
by
Ian Frazer

10-22

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0

BP Unfiltered: Donnie Baseball Was Never out of His Element
by
Craig Goldstein

10-22

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6

BP Unfiltered: Everybody Gets A Stupid Outfield Thing!
by
Kate Morrison

10-21

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1

BP Unfiltered: A Little More on Cubs' Issues Holding Runners
by
Sahadev Sharma

10-21

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1

BP Unfiltered: We Got Kyle Schwarber To Say 'Man Parts'
by
Rian Watt

10-13

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1

BP Unfiltered: Why Didn't The Royals Steal Home?
by
Dustin Palmateer

10-05

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1

BP Unfiltered: Scouting Ichiro as a Pitcher
by
Dan Rozenson

09-25

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4

BP Unfiltered: Classifying Park Factors for DRA
by
Jonathan Judge

09-09

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16

BP Unfiltered: One Particular View of Kris Bryant's Home Run
by
Sam Miller

07-31

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0

BP Unfiltered: The 2015 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis Thread
by
Baseball Prospectus

06-05

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0

BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 6/5/15
by
Ian Frazer

05-30

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0

BP Unfiltered: '32 Predictions' Crowd Answers
by
BP Staff

05-29

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0

BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/29/15
by
Ian Frazer

05-22

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0

BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/22/15
by
Ian Frazer

05-15

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4

BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/15/15
by
Ian Frazer

05-15

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0

BP Unfiltered: Saberseminar Tickets On Sale Now!
by
Dan Brooks

05-10

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2

BP Unfiltered: Wandy Rodriguez Throws A Hidden Reverse Humber
by
Kate Morrison

05-08

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0

BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/8/15
by
Ian Frazer

05-01

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0

BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/1/15
by
Ian Frazer

04-30

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2

BP Unfiltered: The Comeback
by
Matthew Trueblood

04-29

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30

BP Unfiltered: Every Team's Emergency Catcher
by
Sam Miller

04-24

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1

BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 4/24/15
by
Ian Frazer

04-20

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4

BP Unfiltered: To Answer Your Question About Performance After Intentional Walks
by
Sam Miller

04-17

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1

BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 4/17/15
by
Ian Frazer

04-16

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5

BP Unfiltered: The Power of Seven?
by
Russell A. Carleton

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>

How PECOTA and the Royals diverged so sharply this year.

None of us ever thought that PECOTA's 72-win projection for the Royals would go quietly—it's just too rich to ignore when writing about Kansas City's two-game lead in the World Series. About a month ago, I performed a review on that projection for Fox Sports' JABO. It went like this:

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Parsing some of our outlier votes.

As you might know, voting for the Greg Spira Memorial Internet Baseball Awards is well underway, and because I’m special, I have access to a tally of the votes submitted so far. There are two running counts: Those of BP’s readership and those of BP’s staff. The second cohort should be more educated, right? It should have the most rational, defensible votes, should it not?

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The Dodgers fired their manager, who did fine.

When I was a kid, I earned the nickname “Donny” from my sister thanks to my habit of breaking into a discussion by asking “what’s going on? what are you talking about?” and the recent success of The Big Lebowski. I can’t count the number of times I was told I was out of my element. It’s this phrase, heard in the thundering tone of John Goodman’s Walter Sobchak, that came to me throughout Don Mattingly’s tenure with the Los Angeles Dodgers.

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Wrigley and Minute Maid shouldn't have the only stupid outfield things.

This article was written with large contributions from Sean O’Rourke and Michael Baumann.

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The Mets took advantage of the Cubs' inability to hold runners. Why is this such an issue for them and how are they combating it?

A quick follow up on last night’s piece about the Mets stealing a critical base in the Game Three victory and their ability to do exactly that all series. The numbers back up the fact that it wasn’t just some random occurrence for the last three games, the Mets were able to exploit a weakness they saw in the Cubs and the inability of their pitchers to hold runners.

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When Schwarber switch-hits, no beans are safe.

This all happened an hour ago, roughly two hours before the first pitch of a critical NLCS Game Four. The speaker: Kyle Schwarber. The recorder: Me. The context? This scene, which played out in the left field grass at Wrigley some hours earlier:

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In the eighth inning, the Astros seemed to be daring them—and the Royals are not noted for their baserunning timidity.

Something strange happened in yesterday's Astros-Royals game—well, a lot of strange things probably happened, but one of them particularly caught my attention. Astros' closer Luke Gregerson entered the game in the eighth inning after Houston's bullpen blew a four-run lead, bringing with him a glacially slow delivery.

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Ichiro called it a dream come true--but for him, or for us?

Game 162 is great for finishing off loose ends. How many wins will a pitcher or a team finish with this year? Who will make the wild card play-in game? How would Ichiro do as a pitcher?

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And an explanation of random effects vs. fixed effects.

Jared Cross, the esteemed author of the Steamer projection system, asked a very good question over at Tango's blog that I wanted to address in more detail. Referencing Deserved Run Average (“DRA”), our new descriptive pitcher value metric at Baseball Prospectus, Jared asked:

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The view of those with the view.

On Sunday, Kris Bryant hit what might have been the longest home run of the year, at 495 feet. When we see one of these home runs on the internet, we have one of two experiences: 1) We see a ball hit out of our screen's frame with what appears to be considerable distance and trajectory; some combination of batter, pitcher or catcher body language provides a clue that it is far enough to avoid being caught; and then we cut to a ball landing, far away; or 2) Somebody shows you a video and says "this is an absurd home run," and you watch, sure in the knowledge that what follows will be a long home run. There is little suspense, and there is little in the way of a journey; as far as our perception goes, the ball might as well have teleported to its landing spot. The ball might as well have been filmed in two separate shots, like made baskets in the basketball episodes of Family Matters. In fact, I wouldn't call either of these "experiences." They're moments of storywatching, at best. Still fun, mind you. In fact, let's storywatch this right now!

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Here's where you can find all of this year's trade deadline coverage in one spot.

At Baseball Prospectus, we'll be bringing you analysis of every trade and transaction up through Friday's 4 p.m. (ET) non-waiver trade deadline. Check back here for the latest links to our coverage, in chronological order.

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Links galore for your edification

I remember the first time I heard about Sam and Ben's project of running the Sonoma Stompers' analytics department. I immediately thought back to the last time I was in Sonoma, which was actually last summer, because my cousin was getting married there. I remember the car ride in from San Francisco and seeing the rolling hills that line the road inland, and seeing cows standing on those hills. I thought, "Man, it would be really funny if those cows would lose their footing and just roll down those hills," and at that moment, my mind made the connection to why bovine (and other types of) animals probably have hooves: So they can get better footing and don't roll down hills and become material for widely circulated GIFs.

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