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8 BP Unfiltered: My Predicted Standings by Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: A "Holiday" For Everyone by Craig Goldstein, Ben Carsley and Bret Sayre
1 BP Unfiltered: Our Generation’s Hall of Famers, Ranked By Subjective Trade Valuation of Mid-Career Baseball Cards In A Semi-Premium Early-1990s Set by Sam Miller
4 BP Unfiltered: The Wonderful Things That Vin Scully Might Lead You To Think About by Meg Rowley
0 BP Unfiltered: Mental Skills on the North Side: Seven Perspectives by Rian Watt
6 BP Unfiltered: A Short Story About The 2015 Baseball Season by Sam Miller
23 BP Unfiltered: The Worst Possible Reshuffling of MLB Cities and MLB Team Names, Probably by Sam Miller
3 BP Unfiltered: The Worldwide Takeover of 'We're Not Selling Jeans Here' by Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: LAST DAY to Vote for the SABR Analytics Research Awards by BP Staff
5 BP Unfiltered: 2016 Scoresheet Keeper Rankings by Ben Murphy, Ian Lefkowitz and Jared Weiss
0 BP Unfiltered: 2016 Scoresheet Keeper Rankings by Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss
0 BP Unfiltered: Glenn Burke, Historically Significant Baserunner by Sam Miller
2 BP Unfiltered: 10 Things People Learned From the BP Annual (Updated) by Craig Goldstein
5 BP Unfiltered: Was Waylon Smithers A Good General Manager? by Ryan Davis
1 BP Unfiltered: Rooting Against Chaos, Rooting Against Ian Kennedy by Patrick Dubuque
3 BP Unfiltered: The Annie Savoy Exception by Patrick Dubuque
4 BP Unfiltered: How Greinke vs. Arrieta vs. Kershaw Played Out by Tom Tango
0 BP Unfiltered: Greg Spira Baseball Research Award Open for Nominations by Baseball Prospectus
2 BP Unfiltered: New BP Catcher Stats! by Stephen Reichert
0 BP Unfiltered: The Orioles Are Having a Baseball Analytics Hackathon by BP Staff
2 BP Unfiltered: The Piazza-but-not-Bagwell Voter by Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: 'It's nearly useless' by Jeff Long
2 BP Unfiltered: Why The Broadcasters Hated Your Team by Jeff Quinton
3 BP Unfiltered: Navigating Notable Instances of Postseason Expression by Ezra Wise
1 BP Unfiltered: On PECOTA, the Royals, and 72 Wins by Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: Suspect Staff Voting in the Internet Baseball Awards by Ian Frazer
0 BP Unfiltered: Donnie Baseball Was Never out of His Element by Craig Goldstein
6 BP Unfiltered: Everybody Gets A Stupid Outfield Thing! by Kate Morrison
1 BP Unfiltered: A Little More on Cubs' Issues Holding Runners by Sahadev Sharma
1 BP Unfiltered: We Got Kyle Schwarber To Say 'Man Parts' by Rian Watt
1 BP Unfiltered: Why Didn't The Royals Steal Home? by Dustin Palmateer
1 BP Unfiltered: Scouting Ichiro as a Pitcher by Dan Rozenson
4 BP Unfiltered: Classifying Park Factors for DRA by Jonathan Judge
16 BP Unfiltered: One Particular View of Kris Bryant's Home Run by Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: The 2015 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis Thread by Baseball Prospectus
0 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 6/5/15 by Ian Frazer
0 BP Unfiltered: '32 Predictions' Crowd Answers by BP Staff
0 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/29/15 by Ian Frazer
0 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/22/15 by Ian Frazer
4 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/15/15 by Ian Frazer
0 BP Unfiltered: Saberseminar Tickets On Sale Now! by Dan Brooks
2 BP Unfiltered: Wandy Rodriguez Throws A Hidden Reverse Humber by Kate Morrison
0 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/8/15 by Ian Frazer
0 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/1/15 by Ian Frazer
2 BP Unfiltered: The Comeback by Matthew Trueblood
30 BP Unfiltered: Every Team's Emergency Catcher by Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 4/24/15 by Ian Frazer
4 BP Unfiltered: To Answer Your Question About Performance After Intentional Walks by Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 4/17/15 by Ian Frazer
5 BP Unfiltered: The Power of Seven? by Russell A. Carleton
How PECOTA and the Royals diverged so sharply this year.
None of us ever thought that
's 72-win projection for the Royals would go quietly—it's just too rich to ignore when writing about Kansas City's two-game lead in the World Series. About a month ago, I performed a review on that projection for Fox Sports' JABO. It went like this: PECOTA Read the full article...
October 29, 2015 12:14 pm
Parsing some of our outlier votes.
As you might know,
voting for the Greg Spira Memorial Internet Baseball Awards is well underway, and because I’m special, I have access to a tally of the votes submitted so far. There are two running counts: Those of BP’s readership and those of BP’s staff. The second cohort should be more educated, right? It should have the most rational, defensible votes, should it not? Read the full article... The Dodgers fired their manager, who did fine.
When I was a kid, I earned the nickname “Donny” from my sister thanks to my habit of breaking into a discussion by asking “what’s going on? what are you talking about?” and the recent success of The Big Lebowski. I can’t count the number of times I was told I was out of my element. It’s this phrase, heard in the thundering tone of ’s Walter Sobchak, that came to me throughout John Goodman ’s tenure with the Don Mattingly . Los Angeles Dodgers Read the full article... Wrigley and Minute Maid shouldn't have the only stupid outfield things.
This article was written with large contributions from Sean O’Rourke and Michael Baumann. Read the full article... The Mets took advantage of the Cubs' inability to hold runners. Why is this such an issue for them and how are they combating it?
A quick follow up
on last night’s piece about the Mets stealing a critical base in the Game Three victory and their ability to do exactly that all series. The numbers back up the fact that it wasn’t just some random occurrence for the last three games, the Mets were able to exploit a weakness they saw in the Cubs and the inability of their pitchers to hold runners. Read the full article... When Schwarber switch-hits, no beans are safe.
This all happened an hour ago, roughly two hours before the first pitch of a critical NLCS Game Four. The speaker:
. The recorder: Me. The context? This scene, which played out in the left field grass at Wrigley some hours earlier: Kyle Schwarber Read the full article... In the eighth inning, the Astros seemed to be daring them—and the Royals are not noted for their baserunning timidity.
Something strange happened in yesterday's Astros-Royals game—well, a lot of strange things probably happened, but one of them particularly caught my attention. Astros' closer
entered the game in the eighth inning after Houston's bullpen blew a four-run lead, bringing with him a glacially slow delivery. Luke Gregerson Read the full article... Ichiro called it a dream come true--but for him, or for us?
Game 162 is great for finishing off loose ends. How many wins will a pitcher or a team finish with this year? Who will make the wild card play-in game? How would Ichiro do as a pitcher?
Read the full article...
September 25, 2015 10:30 am
And an explanation of random effects vs. fixed effects.
Jared Cross, the esteemed author of the
Steamer projection system, asked a very good question over at Tango's blog that I wanted to address in more detail. Referencing Deserved Run Average (“ ”), our new descriptive pitcher value metric at Baseball Prospectus, Jared asked: DRA Read the full article...
September 9, 2015 6:04 pm
The view of those with the view.
hit what Kris Bryant might have been the longest home run of the year, at 495 feet. When we see one of these home runs on the internet, we have one of two experiences: 1) We see a ball hit out of our screen's frame with what appears to be considerable distance and trajectory; some combination of batter, pitcher or catcher body language provides a clue that it is far enough to avoid being caught; and then we cut to a ball landing, far away; or 2) Somebody shows you a video and says "this is an absurd home run," and you watch, sure in the knowledge that what follows will be a long home run. There is little suspense, and there is little in the way of a journey; as far as our perception goes, the ball might as well have teleported to its landing spot. The ball might as well have been filmed in two separate shots, like made baskets in the basketball episodes of Family Matters. In fact, I wouldn't call either of these "experiences." They're moments of storywatching, at best. Still fun, mind you. In fact, let's storywatch this right now!
Read the full article... Here's where you can find all of this year's trade deadline coverage in one spot.
At Baseball Prospectus, we'll be bringing you analysis of every trade and transaction up through Friday's 4 p.m. (ET) non-waiver trade deadline. Check back here for the latest links to our coverage, in chronological order.
Read the full article... Links galore for your edification
I remember the first time I heard about Sam and Ben's project of running the Sonoma Stompers' analytics department. I immediately thought back to the last time I was in Sonoma, which was actually last summer, because my cousin was getting married there. I remember the car ride in from San Francisco and seeing the rolling hills that line the road inland, and seeing cows standing on those hills. I thought, "Man, it would be really funny if those cows would lose their footing and just roll down those hills," and at that moment, my mind made the connection to why bovine (and other types of) animals probably have hooves: So they can get better footing and don't roll down hills and become material for widely circulated GIFs.
Read the full article...