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1 BP Unfiltered: Scouting Ichiro as a Pitcher by Dan Rozenson
4 BP Unfiltered: Classifying Park Factors for DRA by Jonathan Judge
16 BP Unfiltered: One Particular View of Kris Bryant's Home Run by Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: The 2015 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis Thread by Baseball Prospectus
0 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 6/5/15 by Ian Frazer
0 BP Unfiltered: '32 Predictions' Crowd Answers by BP Staff
0 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/29/15 by Ian Frazer
0 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/22/15 by Ian Frazer
4 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/15/15 by Ian Frazer
0 BP Unfiltered: Saberseminar Tickets On Sale Now! by Dan Brooks
2 BP Unfiltered: Wandy Rodriguez Throws A Hidden Reverse Humber by Kate Morrison
0 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/8/15 by Ian Frazer
0 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 5/1/15 by Ian Frazer
2 BP Unfiltered: The Comeback by Matthew Trueblood
30 BP Unfiltered: Every Team's Emergency Catcher by Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 4/24/15 by Ian Frazer
4 BP Unfiltered: To Answer Your Question About Performance After Intentional Walks by Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 4/17/15 by Ian Frazer
5 BP Unfiltered: The Power of Seven? by Russell A. Carleton
1 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 4/10/15 by Ian Frazer
0 BP Unfiltered: The Best Part of the Twins Season So Far by Zachary Levine
8 BP Unfiltered: Forever Young by Sam Miller
2 BP Unfiltered: A Story About Baseball and a Father and Son I've Never Met by Sam Miller
2 BP Unfiltered: The 32 Predictions Contest 2015 by Sky Kalkman
0 BP Unfiltered: Every Team’s Moneyball, Literally Every Team, In One Post by Andrew Koo
1 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 4/3/15 by Ian Frazer
1 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 3/27/15 by Ian Frazer
12 BP Unfiltered: Which Position Would Win A Tournament of Positions? by Sam Miller
6 BP Unfiltered: Everything You Could Have Learned This Week, 3/20/15 by Ian Frazer
2 BP Unfiltered: More On This Week's Play Index by Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: Dreams of Fields by Jeff Quinton
3 BP Unfiltered: The Most Volatile Starting Rotations, the Least Volatile Starters by Sam Miller
8 BP Unfiltered: A Brief Introduction by Jim Walsh
2 BP Unfiltered: Probably My Favorite Clayton Kershaw Fun Fact by Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: A Kershaw Day fun fact by Zachary Levine
3 BP Unfiltered: Does This Record Mean Anything? by Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: The Special Status of the Last Man on a Prospect List by Sam Miller
17 BP Unfiltered: Everybody Played Shortstop by Sam Miller
4 BP Unfiltered: How Many Teams Does It Take to Beat the Dodgers? by Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: SABR Analytics Conference Research Awards Finalists: Vote Now by Baseball Prospectus
10 BP Unfiltered: 2015 Three True Outcomes Scoresheet Keeper Rankings by Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss
0 BP Unfiltered: On Baseball's New Marketing Agency And Appealing to the Masses by Jeff Quinton
26 BP Unfiltered: People Are Currently Reading The 2015 BP Annual And You Could Be Next by Jason Wojciechowski
2 BP Unfiltered: The 32 Predictions Contest Results by Sky Kalkman
5 BP Unfiltered: Get to Know: Concepts That Confuse BP Fantasy Readers by Ben Carsley
0 BP Unfiltered: Kansas City Royals Need Systems Architect/Developer by Baseball Prospectus
3 BP Unfiltered: The First Thing I Will Look For When MVP Results Are Announced Today by Sam Miller
2 BP Unfiltered: Grading the 'MLB Executive' Predictions, 2012 and 2013 by Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: The Reason Bumgarner Should Start (Even Though He Won't) by Sam Miller
3 BP Unfiltered: Why NOT to Start Madison Bumgarner by Russell A. Carleton
Ichiro called it a dream come true--but for him, or for us?
Game 162 is great for finishing off loose ends. How many wins will a pitcher or a team finish with this year? Who will make the wild card play-in game? How would Ichiro do as a pitcher?
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September 25, 2015 10:30 am
And an explanation of random effects vs. fixed effects.
Jared Cross, the esteemed author of the
Steamer projection system, asked a very good question over at Tango's blog that I wanted to address in more detail. Referencing Deserved Run Average (“ ”), our new descriptive pitcher value metric at Baseball Prospectus, Jared asked: DRA Read the full article...
September 9, 2015 6:04 pm
The view of those with the view.
hit what Kris Bryant might have been the longest home run of the year, at 495 feet. When we see one of these home runs on the internet, we have one of two experiences: 1) We see a ball hit out of our screen's frame with what appears to be considerable distance and trajectory; some combination of batter, pitcher or catcher body language provides a clue that it is far enough to avoid being caught; and then we cut to a ball landing, far away; or 2) Somebody shows you a video and says "this is an absurd home run," and you watch, sure in the knowledge that what follows will be a long home run. There is little suspense, and there is little in the way of a journey; as far as our perception goes, the ball might as well have teleported to its landing spot. The ball might as well have been filmed in two separate shots, like made baskets in the basketball episodes of Family Matters. In fact, I wouldn't call either of these "experiences." They're moments of storywatching, at best. Still fun, mind you. In fact, let's storywatch this right now!
Read the full article... Here's where you can find all of this year's trade deadline coverage in one spot.
At Baseball Prospectus, we'll be bringing you analysis of every trade and transaction up through Friday's 4 p.m. (ET) non-waiver trade deadline. Check back here for the latest links to our coverage, in chronological order.
Read the full article... Links galore for your edification
I remember the first time I heard about Sam and Ben's project of running the Sonoma Stompers' analytics department. I immediately thought back to the last time I was in Sonoma, which was actually last summer, because my cousin was getting married there. I remember the car ride in from San Francisco and seeing the rolling hills that line the road inland, and seeing cows standing on those hills. I thought, "Man, it would be really funny if those cows would lose their footing and just roll down those hills," and at that moment, my mind made the connection to why bovine (and other types of) animals probably have hooves: So they can get better footing and don't roll down hills and become material for widely circulated GIFs.
Read the full article... How we predicted the season.
In April, you all submitted your answers for
Sky Kalkman's seventh annual 32 Predictions contest. Ninety-eight percent of us thought would be better than Bryce Harper . Well done, us! As for all the others... take a look. These are the crowd favorites for each answer, and the degree of favoritism: Torii Hunter Read the full article...
When I was interviewing a high school baseball coach earlier this week, he told me that a leadoff walk comes around to score 88 percent of the time. That's wrong! That's so very, incredibly wrong. I'll tell you who really needs to read this and learn a little something: It's [REDACTED] of [REDACTED] High School in [REDACTED], Missouri. Stop spreading baseball misinformation to impressionable minds!
Read the full article... On hard slides, hard-hit balls, scorer bias, Barry Bonds, and Ian's dishwasher.
Earlier this week, I moved into a new apartment. It's much better than my old one: It has a couch, a better kitchen with a dishwasher and a roommate who's not a slob. I also bought a new TV and a PlayStation 4. I learned that having nice things is better than not having nice things! So, party at my place, and you're all invited. We'll watch MLB.tv and debate the existence and merits of lineup protection and talk about what else we did or could have learned.
Read the full article... On clutch hitting, the physics of radar guns, cutters, batted ball velocity, and more.
What did you do this week? I determined, by a completely objective analysis, that Mexican food is the best type of food there is. It covers a wide range of flavors, textures and preferences: Sweet to savory, cool to crazy spicy, crunchy to smooth, vegetarian to carnivore. It's usually affordable, can be eaten in casual or formal settings, and is widely available all across the United States. Anyone who disagrees with me is wrong, and I have little respect for your opinion. Other thing I did this week: Learned all this stuff.
Read the full article... The annual event is a stathead's dream.
Tickets are now on sale for Sabermetrics, Scouting, and the Science of Baseball 2015. They can be purchased through Ticketleap at:
http://saberseminar. ticketleap.com/ss15/ Read the full article... What's a hidden reverse Humber, you wonder?
On the right day (or days), even the most unexceptional of pitchers can achieve remarkable things.
Read the full article... On prospecting with stats, beating the shift, measuring the economics of DH, and studying concussions.
I walked out of my last college class yesterday. Since I'm now basically finished with higher education, I don't plan on reading or writing ever again. So this week's articles were dictated to me by my computer's text-to-speech software, and I had my mother type up this post. Thanks mom, love ya!
Read the full article...